ATo vs 87s: preflop equity

If ATo and 87s get all the chips in before the flop, ATo owns 59.18% of the pot in the long run and 87s owns 40.82%.

ATo

59.18%

Wins 58.98%, ties 0.40%

87s

40.82%

Wins 40.62%, ties 0.40%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

ATo against 87s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for ATo against 87s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
ATo58.9790.40440.61759.181
87s40.6170.40458.97940.819

We compare an offsuit hand with a suited hand. Neither hand shares a rank with the other, so this is a contest of high cards, connection and suits.

The lead is steady rather than large, and the flop still has plenty of say in who wins. 0.40% of boards are ties, so the equity of each hand is its win rate plus half of that.

For context, ATo sits at number 19 of 169 starting hands and 87s at number 100 when each is run against a random hand.

Boards behind the percentages: 82,190,592 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
ATo48,475,000332,00033,383,000
87s33,383,000332,00048,475,000

48 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards gives the exact total. The won, tied and lost counts are approximations from the five-decimal percentages, rounded to the nearest thousand.

ATo against 87s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
ATo1.4501.6962.4620.690
87s0.6902.4621.6961.450

The final column gives the least the pot must offer for each unit called for a call to break even at this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

The flop changes the picture. ATo does best on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better, at 66.37%, and worst on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower), at 36.05%. On low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) the numbers flip and 87s is the one ahead.

ATo against 87s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsATo winsTies87s winsATo equity
Rainbow, ten or higher24.71766.2750.19433.53166.372
Rainbow, nine or lower6.31335.8640.36263.77436.045
Two-tone46.66757.3950.21642.38957.503
Monotone5.21256.4312.34341.22657.603
Paired17.09162.0710.64537.28462.393

Flop types: rainbow means three different suits, two-tone means one suit twice, monotone means one suit three times, paired means a repeated rank.

Compared with a random hand

Relative to a random opponent, ATo changes by -3.54 points (baseline 62.72%) and 87s by -7.12 points (baseline 47.94%).

ATo and 87s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
ATo, all flops59.18162.722-3.5410.94354
ATo, rainbow, ten or higher66.37262.722+3.6501.05819
ATo, rainbow, nine or lower36.04562.722-26.6770.57468
ATo, two-tone57.50362.722-5.2190.91679
ATo, monotone57.60362.722-5.1190.91839
ATo, paired62.39362.722-0.3290.99475
87s, all flops40.81947.936-7.1170.85153
87s, rainbow, ten or higher33.62847.936-14.3080.70152
87s, rainbow, nine or lower63.95547.936+16.0191.33417
87s, two-tone42.49747.936-5.4390.88654
87s, monotone42.39747.936-5.5390.88445
87s, paired37.60747.936-10.3290.78453

Does a shared suit matter?

The suit split reads 59.84% for ATo with a shared suit and 58.52% without one. ATo does better with a shared suit, by 1.32 points.

ATo against 87s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsATo winsTies87s winsATo equity
Share a suit2450.0059.6200.44539.93559.842
No shared suit2450.0058.3390.36241.29958.520

How often this matchup comes up

This page stands for 48 specific-card matchups (0.0030% of 1,624,350 ordered deals), or 96 once you count the seats both ways (0.0059%).

A worked example

A $100 all-in from each player makes a $200 pot, and the exact equity says ATo gets $118.36 of it on average and 87s gets $81.64.

Per 1,000 deals: ATo wins about 590, 87s wins about 406, and about 4 end in a split pot.

The same matchup from the other side

Read it from the other side: 87s against ATo is the same matchup with the numbers swapped, so 87s holds 40.82% and ATo holds 59.18%. That address sends you back to this page.

Open the calculator with AsTh against 8d7d already entered, a deal with no shared suit, and change any card to try your own hand. The matchups after it each swap one hand for a nearby one in the ranking.

How this was computed

Nothing here is simulated. The 48 deals of ATo against 87s fall into a few suit patterns, each dealt against all 1,712,304 boards, with both best five-card hands compared on every board. Ties give each hand half a win, and the flop rows count a board under each of its ten flops.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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