ATo vs A6s: preflop equity

Dealt all in against each other, ATo takes 67.29% of the pot on average and A6s takes the other 32.71%.

ATo

67.29%

Wins 62.38%, ties 9.82%

A6s

32.71%

Wins 27.80%, ties 9.82%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

ATo against A6s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for ATo against A6s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
ATo62.3819.81527.80467.288
A6s27.8049.81562.38132.712

ATo is an offsuit hand and A6s is a suited hand. The two hands share a rank, and the one with the better other card dominates: it wins most kicker battles when that shared rank hits.

That is a clear edge, 67.29% to 32.71%, but A6s still wins often enough that one hand proves nothing. Ties are 9.82% of the outcomes here; each tied board gives both hands half the pot.

In the ranking of all 169 starting hands, ATo is number 19 and A6s is number 31.

Boards behind the percentages: 61,642,944 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
ATo38,453,0006,050,00017,139,000
A6s17,139,0006,050,00038,453,000

36 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards gives the exact total. The won, tied and lost counts are approximations from the five-decimal percentages, rounded to the nearest thousand.

ATo against A6s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
ATo2.0571.6033.5970.486
A6s0.4863.5971.6032.057

The final column gives the least the pot must offer for each unit called for a call to break even at this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

The flop changes the picture. ATo does best on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better, at 74.39%, and worst on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower), at 56.85%. ATo stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal.

ATo against A6s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsATo winsTiesA6s winsATo equity
Rainbow, ten or higher23.90570.2038.38121.41674.393
Rainbow, nine or lower7.04255.5212.66041.81956.851
Two-tone46.52763.3616.69529.94466.709
Monotone5.19259.3157.24233.44362.936
Paired17.33452.66623.84423.49064.588

A rainbow flop shows three suits, a two-tone flop repeats one suit, a monotone flop is a single suit, and a paired flop repeats a rank.

Compared with a random hand

A random hand would give ATo 62.72% and A6s 59.91%. Against each other the change is +4.57 points for ATo and -27.20 for A6s.

ATo and A6s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
ATo, all flops67.28862.722+4.5661.07280
ATo, rainbow, ten or higher74.39362.722+11.6711.18608
ATo, rainbow, nine or lower56.85162.722-5.8710.90640
ATo, two-tone66.70962.722+3.9871.06357
ATo, monotone62.93662.722+0.2141.00341
ATo, paired64.58862.722+1.8661.02975
A6s, all flops32.71259.906-27.1940.54606
A6s, rainbow, ten or higher25.60759.906-34.2990.42745
A6s, rainbow, nine or lower43.14959.906-16.7570.72028
A6s, two-tone33.29159.906-26.6150.55572
A6s, monotone37.06459.906-22.8420.61870
A6s, paired35.41259.906-24.4940.59113

Does a shared suit matter?

Does suit overlap move the numbers? ATo has 68.10% when the hands share a suit and 66.88% when they do not. ATo does better with a shared suit, by 1.22 points.

ATo against A6s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsATo winsTiesA6s winsATo equity
Share a suit1233.3363.1289.93926.93368.097
No shared suit2466.6762.0079.75328.24066.884

How often this matchup comes up

How often does it happen? 36 of the 1,624,350 ordered deals (0.0022%) are ATo against A6s, and 72 (0.0044%) if either hand may sit in either seat.

A worked example

Put $100 each into a $200 pot and deal every board once: ATo averages $134.58 back, ahead of its $100 by $34.58, while A6s averages $65.42, short of its $100 by $34.58.

A thousand deals look like this: ATo takes 624, A6s takes 278, 98 are ties.

The same matchup from the other side

The reversed view, A6s against ATo, shows 32.71% for A6s and 67.29% for ATo. It is the same count, so it redirects here.

Open the calculator with AsTh against Ad6d already entered, a deal with no shared suit, and change any card to try your own hand. The matchups after it each swap one hand for a nearby one in the ranking.

How this was computed

We counted every case. Each suit pattern of the 36 specific ATo against A6s deals meets all 1,712,304 boards, and the better five-card hand wins; a split pot is half a win each. The flop table reads each board under all ten of its three-card flops.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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