ATo
67.12%
Wins 66.25%, ties 1.75%
JTs
32.88%
Wins 32.00%, ties 1.75%
ATo against JTs: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATo | 66.251 | 1.745 | 32.004 | 67.124 |
| JTs | 32.004 | 1.745 | 66.251 | 32.876 |
ATo, an offsuit hand, plays JTs, a suited hand. The two hands share a rank, and the one with the better other card dominates: it wins most kicker battles when that shared rank hits.
ATo is well ahead, and JTs needs a specific kind of board to catch up. About 1.75% of boards chop the pot, which is why equity sits slightly above the win figure for both hands.
Ranked by equity against a random hand, ATo is number 19 of the 169 starting hands and JTs is number 45.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| ATo | 40,839,000 | 1,076,000 | 19,728,000 |
| JTs | 19,728,000 | 1,076,000 | 40,839,000 |
Exact total: 36 deals times 1,712,304 boards. The other three counts come from the five-decimal percentages and are rounded to the nearest thousand, so read them as approximate.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATo | 2.042 | 1.509 | 3.125 | 0.490 |
| JTs | 0.490 | 3.125 | 1.509 | 2.042 |
The last column is the smallest pot odds, written as a pot-to-call ratio, at which a call breaks even with this equity.
Who is ahead on which flops
ATo prefers low rainbow flops (nine high or lower), where it holds 76.03%, and likes monotone flops least, where it holds 63.11%. ATo stays ahead on all five textures.
| Flop | Share of flops | ATo wins | Ties | JTs wins | ATo equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 23.177 | 64.930 | 1.642 | 33.428 | 65.751 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 7.771 | 75.247 | 1.574 | 23.179 | 76.034 |
| Two-tone | 46.527 | 64.344 | 1.521 | 34.135 | 65.105 |
| Monotone | 5.192 | 61.564 | 3.085 | 35.351 | 63.107 |
| Paired | 17.333 | 70.508 | 2.156 | 27.336 | 71.586 |
Flop types: rainbow means three different suits, two-tone means one suit twice, monotone means one suit three times, paired means a repeated rank.
Compared with a random hand
Relative to a random opponent, ATo changes by +4.40 points (baseline 62.72%) and JTs by -24.65 points (baseline 57.53%).
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATo, all flops | 67.124 | 62.722 | +4.402 | 1.07018 |
| ATo, rainbow, ten or higher | 65.751 | 62.722 | +3.029 | 1.04829 |
| ATo, rainbow, nine or lower | 76.034 | 62.722 | +13.312 | 1.21224 |
| ATo, two-tone | 65.105 | 62.722 | +2.383 | 1.03799 |
| ATo, monotone | 63.107 | 62.722 | +0.385 | 1.00614 |
| ATo, paired | 71.586 | 62.722 | +8.864 | 1.14132 |
| JTs, all flops | 32.876 | 57.528 | -24.652 | 0.57148 |
| JTs, rainbow, ten or higher | 34.249 | 57.528 | -23.279 | 0.59534 |
| JTs, rainbow, nine or lower | 23.966 | 57.528 | -33.562 | 0.41660 |
| JTs, two-tone | 34.895 | 57.528 | -22.633 | 0.60657 |
| JTs, monotone | 36.893 | 57.528 | -20.635 | 0.64131 |
| JTs, paired | 28.414 | 57.528 | -29.114 | 0.49392 |
Does a shared suit matter?
Suit overlap shows up in the numbers. With a suit in common ATo has 68.12% equity, and with none in common it has 66.63%. ATo does better with a shared suit, by 1.49 points.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | ATo wins | Ties | JTs wins | ATo equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 12 | 33.33 | 67.210 | 1.819 | 30.971 | 68.119 |
| No shared suit | 24 | 66.67 | 65.772 | 1.707 | 32.521 | 66.626 |
How often this matchup comes up
You will meet this exact matchup 0.0044% of the time in a random heads-up deal: 72 of 1,624,350, counting either seat order.
A worked example
A $100 all-in from each player makes a $200 pot, and the exact equity says ATo gets $134.24 of it on average and JTs gets $65.76.
Think in thousands: about 663 of 1,000 go to ATo, about 320 go to JTs, and about 17 are chopped.
The same matchup from the other side
If you came looking for JTs against ATo, the numbers are the same with the hands swapped: 32.88% and 67.12%.
Keep exploring
Open the calculator with AsTh against JdTd already entered, a deal with no shared suit, and change any card to try your own hand. The matchups after it each swap one hand for a nearby one in the ranking.
How this was computed
Method: exact enumeration. The 36 specific deals are grouped by suit pattern, each is run against all 1,712,304 boards, and both seven-card hands are scored. Equity adds half of every tie, and flop textures are tallied over the ten flops inside each board.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
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