ATo vs T9o: preflop equity

Over all 1,712,304 boards that can follow this deal, ATo finishes with 72.08% of the pot and T9o with 27.92%.

ATo

72.08%

Wins 70.98%, ties 2.20%

T9o

27.92%

Wins 26.82%, ties 2.20%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

ATo against T9o: the numbers

Exact preflop results for ATo against T9o, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
ATo70.9802.20126.81972.081
T9o26.8192.20170.98027.919

This is a contest between two offsuit hands, ATo and T9o. Sharing a rank is the signature of a dominated hand, since the weaker hand is usually out-kicked when the shared rank shows up.

ATo is the clear favorite, though T9o gets there on roughly one board in 4. Ties are part of the picture: 2.20% of boards end in a split pot, and each side counts that as half a win.

For context, ATo sits at number 19 of 169 starting hands and T9o at number 78 when each is run against a random hand.

Boards behind the percentages: 184,928,832 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
ATo131,262,0004,070,00049,596,000
T9o49,596,0004,070,000131,262,000

108 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards gives the exact total. The won, tied and lost counts are approximations from the five-decimal percentages, rounded to the nearest thousand.

ATo against T9o read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
ATo2.5821.4093.7290.387
T9o0.3873.7291.4092.582

The final column gives the least the pot must offer for each unit called for a call to break even at this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

The flop changes the picture. ATo does best on paired flops, at 76.45%, and worst on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower), at 57.47%. ATo stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal.

ATo against T9o by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsATo winsTiesT9o winsATo equity
Rainbow, ten or higher24.00374.6601.93423.40675.627
Rainbow, nine or lower7.04255.9872.96041.05357.467
Two-tone46.47770.1732.08427.74371.215
Monotone5.14467.2302.84329.92768.651
Paired17.33475.2532.38922.35876.448

Read the flop types this way: rainbow has three suits, two-tone has two cards of one suit, monotone has three, and paired repeats a rank.

Compared with a random hand

A random hand would give ATo 62.72% and T9o 51.53%. Against each other the change is +9.36 points for ATo and -23.61 for T9o.

ATo and T9o here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
ATo, all flops72.08162.722+9.3591.14921
ATo, rainbow, ten or higher75.62762.722+12.9051.20575
ATo, rainbow, nine or lower57.46762.722-5.2550.91622
ATo, two-tone71.21562.722+8.4931.13541
ATo, monotone68.65162.722+5.9291.09453
ATo, paired76.44862.722+13.7261.21884
T9o, all flops27.91951.532-23.6130.54178
T9o, rainbow, ten or higher24.37351.532-27.1590.47297
T9o, rainbow, nine or lower42.53351.532-8.9990.82537
T9o, two-tone28.78551.532-22.7470.55858
T9o, monotone31.34951.532-20.1830.60834
T9o, paired23.55251.532-27.9800.45704

Does a shared suit matter?

The suit split reads 72.24% for ATo with a shared suit and 71.51% without one. ATo does better with a shared suit, by 0.73 points.

ATo against T9o by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsATo winsTiesT9o winsATo equity
Share a suit8477.7871.1292.22826.64372.243
No shared suit2422.2270.4582.10827.43471.512

How often this matchup comes up

The class pair covers 108 combinations of specific cards in a fixed seat order, 0.0066% of 1,624,350, and 216 (0.0133%) in either order.

A worked example

Worked example: both players commit $100, so $200 sits in the middle. Over every board, ATo's average share is $144.16 (a gain of $44.16) and T9o's is $55.84 (a loss of $44.16).

Think in thousands: about 710 of 1,000 go to ATo, about 268 go to T9o, and about 22 are chopped.

The same matchup from the other side

Read it from the other side: T9o against ATo is the same matchup with the numbers swapped, so T9o holds 27.92% and ATo holds 72.08%. That address sends you back to this page.

Try AsTh against Td9c in the calculator: the hands share no suit, and every card can be changed. The links after it are the closest matchups in the ranking.

How this was computed

Each figure is a complete count over boards. Take the 108 specific deals, group them by suit pattern, deal all 1,712,304 boards against each, and compare the two seven-card hands. Equity counts a tie as half a win; the flop rows use every one of a board's ten flops.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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