ATs vs 87s: preflop equity

Counting every board, the equity split is 61.70% for ATs and 38.30% for 87s, so ATs leads by 23.40 points.

ATs

61.70%

Wins 61.48%, ties 0.45%

87s

38.30%

Wins 38.07%, ties 0.45%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

ATs against 87s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for ATs against 87s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
ATs61.4770.45438.06961.704
87s38.0690.45461.47738.296

ATs and 87s are both suited hands. Neither hand shares a rank with the other, so this is a contest of high cards, connection and suits.

A 23.40 point lead is real, and 87s still takes about 381 of every 1,000 deals outright. The tie share is 0.45%: on those boards the pot is chopped and neither hand wins outright.

By strength against a random hand, ATs holds place 13 of 169 and 87s holds place 100.

Boards behind the percentages: 27,396,864 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
ATs16,843,000124,00010,430,000
87s10,430,000124,00016,843,000

The board total is exact, 16 deals at 1,712,304 boards each. Won, tied and lost counts are rounded to the nearest thousand from the five-decimal percentages.

ATs against 87s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
ATs1.6111.6272.6270.621
87s0.6212.6271.6271.611

The last column is the break-even price: the pot odds a call needs to offer, as a ratio of pot to call.

Who is ahead on which flops

ATs prefers rainbow flops topped by a ten or better, where it holds 67.73%, and likes low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) least, where it holds 38.45%. Low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) favor 87s, the hand that is behind overall.

ATs against 87s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsATs winsTies87s winsATs equity
Rainbow, ten or higher24.59567.6340.18732.17967.727
Rainbow, nine or lower6.31438.2740.35361.37338.451
Two-tone46.72760.8270.20638.96760.930
Monotone5.27357.2893.38939.32258.983
Paired17.09164.2570.64535.09864.580

Flop types: rainbow means three different suits, two-tone means one suit twice, monotone means one suit three times, paired means a repeated rank.

Compared with a random hand

Against one random hand instead, ATs holds 64.60% and 87s holds 47.94%. Facing each other changes that by -2.90 points for ATs and -9.64 points for 87s.

ATs and 87s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
ATs, all flops61.70464.602-2.8980.95514
ATs, rainbow, ten or higher67.72764.602+3.1251.04837
ATs, rainbow, nine or lower38.45164.602-26.1510.59520
ATs, two-tone60.93064.602-3.6720.94316
ATs, monotone58.98364.602-5.6190.91302
ATs, paired64.58064.602-0.0220.99966
87s, all flops38.29647.936-9.6400.79890
87s, rainbow, ten or higher32.27347.936-15.6630.67325
87s, rainbow, nine or lower61.54947.936+13.6131.28398
87s, two-tone39.07047.936-8.8660.81505
87s, monotone41.01747.936-6.9190.85566
87s, paired35.42047.936-12.5160.73890

Does a shared suit matter?

Split by suits, the deals give ATs 63.93% when the hands overlap in a suit and 60.96% when they do not. ATs does better with a shared suit, by 2.97 points.

ATs against 87s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsATs winsTies87s winsATs equity
Share a suit425.0063.6640.52735.80963.928
No shared suit1275.0060.7480.42938.82360.962

How often this matchup comes up

This page stands for 16 specific-card matchups (0.0010% of 1,624,350 ordered deals), or 32 once you count the seats both ways (0.0020%).

A worked example

Take a $200 pot built from $100 each. ATs' equity of 61.70% is worth $123.40, a $23.40 edge, and 87s' 38.30% is worth $76.60, which is $23.40 under its stake.

Over a long run, 1,000 deals split into about 615 for ATs, 381 for 87s and 4 tied.

The same matchup from the other side

One page covers both views. From 87s' side the equity is 38.30%, and from ATs' side it is 61.70%.

Try AsTs against 8h7h in the calculator: the hands share no suit, and every card can be changed. The links after it are the closest matchups in the ranking.

How this was computed

Method: exact enumeration. The 16 specific deals are grouped by suit pattern, each is run against all 1,712,304 boards, and both seven-card hands are scored. Equity adds half of every tie, and flop textures are tallied over the ten flops inside each board.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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