ATs vs A7s: preflop equity

Averaged over every possible board, ATs is ahead of A7s by 37.36 points of equity, 68.68% to 31.32%.

ATs

68.68%

Wins 63.86%, ties 9.65%

A7s

31.32%

Wins 26.49%, ties 9.65%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

ATs against A7s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for ATs against A7s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
ATs63.8559.65326.49268.681
A7s26.4929.65363.85531.319

This is a contest between two suited hands, ATs and A7s. Sharing a rank is the signature of a dominated hand, since the weaker hand is usually out-kicked when the shared rank shows up.

A lead of 37.36 points is large but not decisive: A7s still takes about 265 of every 1,000 deals. A split pot comes up on 9.65% of boards, so the wins and the equity differ by half of that.

Ranked by equity against a random hand, ATs is number 13 of the 169 starting hands and A7s is number 24.

Boards behind the percentages: 20,547,648 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
ATs13,121,0001,983,0005,443,000
A7s5,443,0001,983,00013,121,000

The board total is exact, 12 deals at 1,712,304 boards each. Won, tied and lost counts are rounded to the nearest thousand from the five-decimal percentages.

ATs against A7s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
ATs2.1931.5663.7750.456
A7s0.4563.7751.5662.193

In the last column, a pot-to-call ratio at or above the figure makes a call break even or better at this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

Split by what the flop looks like, ATs peaks at 74.90% on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better and bottoms out at 59.22% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower). ATs stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal.

ATs against A7s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsATs winsTiesA7s winsATs equity
Rainbow, ten or higher23.86770.7398.32520.93674.902
Rainbow, nine or lower7.04257.2563.92238.82259.217
Two-tone46.54365.2476.61128.14268.552
Monotone5.21559.3537.70232.94563.204
Paired17.33354.67122.56722.76265.955

A rainbow flop shows three suits, a two-tone flop repeats one suit, a monotone flop is a single suit, and a paired flop repeats a rank.

Compared with a random hand

Against one random hand instead, ATs holds 64.60% and A7s holds 60.98%. Facing each other changes that by +4.08 points for ATs and -29.66 points for A7s.

ATs and A7s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
ATs, all flops68.68164.602+4.0791.06314
ATs, rainbow, ten or higher74.90264.602+10.3001.15944
ATs, rainbow, nine or lower59.21764.602-5.3850.91664
ATs, two-tone68.55264.602+3.9501.06114
ATs, monotone63.20464.602-1.3980.97836
ATs, paired65.95564.602+1.3531.02094
A7s, all flops31.31960.984-29.6650.51356
A7s, rainbow, ten or higher25.09860.984-35.8860.41155
A7s, rainbow, nine or lower40.78360.984-20.2010.66875
A7s, two-tone31.44860.984-29.5360.51568
A7s, monotone36.79660.984-24.1880.60337
A7s, paired34.04560.984-26.9390.55826

Does a shared suit matter?

Every legal deal of ATs against A7s leaves the hands with no suit in common, so the suit split does not apply here.

ATs against A7s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsATs winsTiesA7s winsATs equity
Share a suit00.00not possiblenot possiblenot possiblenot possible
No shared suit12100.0063.8559.65326.49268.681

How often this matchup comes up

This page stands for 12 specific-card matchups (0.0007% of 1,624,350 ordered deals), or 24 once you count the seats both ways (0.0015%).

A worked example

Say each player puts $100 in before the flop, making a $200 pot. On average ATs takes back $137.36 of it, which is $37.36 more than it put in, and A7s takes back $62.64, $37.36 less than it put in.

Run 1,000 deals and the tally comes out near 639 for ATs, 265 for A7s and 96 ties.

The same matchup from the other side

One page covers both views. From A7s' side the equity is 31.32%, and from ATs' side it is 68.68%.

Try AsTs against Ah7h in the calculator: the hands share no suit, and every card can be changed. The links after it are the closest matchups in the ranking.

How this was computed

This is an exact count with no sampling. For the 12 ways to deal one ATs and one A7s without reusing a card, grouped by suit pattern, every one of the 1,712,304 possible boards is dealt and both seven-card hands are compared. A tie counts as half a win in the equity column, and each board is counted once under each of its ten three-card flops.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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