JJ
80.98%
Wins 80.76%, ties 0.45%
44
19.02%
Wins 18.79%, ties 0.45%
JJ against 44: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ | 80.755 | 0.453 | 18.792 | 80.981 |
| 44 | 18.792 | 0.453 | 80.755 | 19.019 |
Here pocket pairs face each other, JJ on one side and 44 on the other. Both hands are pairs, so the bigger pair is ahead on every board that does not pair a card below it.
This is one of the lopsided matchups: 44 wins only 18.79% of the boards outright. Split pots make up 0.45% of the boards, and both equity figures count them as half a win each.
In the ranking of all 169 starting hands, JJ is number 4 and 44 is number 48.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| JJ | 49,780,000 | 279,000 | 11,584,000 |
| 44 | 11,584,000 | 279,000 | 49,780,000 |
The total is exact: 36 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards. The three counts are approximate, worked out from the percentages to five decimals and rounded to the nearest thousand.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ | 4.258 | 1.238 | 5.321 | 0.235 |
| 44 | 0.235 | 5.321 | 1.238 | 4.258 |
In the last column, a pot-to-call ratio at or above the figure makes a call break even or better at this equity.
Who is ahead on which flops
Break the boards down by their first three cards and JJ is strongest on paired flops (86.61%) and weakest on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) (66.95%). JJ stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal.
| Flop | Share of flops | JJ wins | Ties | 44 wins | JJ equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 24.595 | 83.756 | 0.221 | 16.023 | 83.867 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 6.314 | 66.459 | 0.977 | 32.564 | 66.947 |
| Two-tone | 46.363 | 79.661 | 0.361 | 19.978 | 79.842 |
| Monotone | 5.152 | 74.454 | 2.016 | 23.530 | 75.462 |
| Paired | 17.576 | 86.422 | 0.373 | 13.205 | 86.609 |
Rainbow flops have three suits, two-tone flops repeat one suit, monotone flops are all one suit, and paired flops repeat a rank.
Compared with a random hand
Against one random hand instead, JJ holds 77.47% and 44 holds 57.02%. Facing each other changes that by +3.51 points for JJ and -38.00 points for 44.
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ, all flops | 80.981 | 77.469 | +3.512 | 1.04533 |
| JJ, rainbow, ten or higher | 83.867 | 77.469 | +6.398 | 1.08259 |
| JJ, rainbow, nine or lower | 66.947 | 77.469 | -10.522 | 0.86418 |
| JJ, two-tone | 79.842 | 77.469 | +2.373 | 1.03063 |
| JJ, monotone | 75.462 | 77.469 | -2.007 | 0.97409 |
| JJ, paired | 86.609 | 77.469 | +9.140 | 1.11798 |
| 44, all flops | 19.019 | 57.023 | -38.004 | 0.33353 |
| 44, rainbow, ten or higher | 16.133 | 57.023 | -40.890 | 0.28292 |
| 44, rainbow, nine or lower | 33.053 | 57.023 | -23.970 | 0.57964 |
| 44, two-tone | 20.158 | 57.023 | -36.865 | 0.35351 |
| 44, monotone | 24.538 | 57.023 | -32.485 | 0.43032 |
| 44, paired | 13.391 | 57.023 | -43.632 | 0.23484 |
Does a shared suit matter?
Does suit overlap move the numbers? JJ has 81.11% when the hands share a suit and 80.32% when they do not. JJ does better with a shared suit, by 0.79 points.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | JJ wins | Ties | 44 wins | JJ equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 30 | 83.33 | 80.881 | 0.466 | 18.653 | 81.114 |
| No shared suit | 6 | 16.67 | 80.128 | 0.385 | 19.487 | 80.320 |
How often this matchup comes up
Out of 1,624,350 ways to deal two seats two cards each, 36 are JJ in one seat and 44 in the other (0.0022%); with the seats swapped too, 72 (0.0044%).
A worked example
A $100 all-in from each player makes a $200 pot, and the exact equity says JJ gets $161.96 of it on average and 44 gets $38.04.
In 1,000 deals of exactly this matchup, expect about 808 won outright by JJ, about 188 won outright by 44 and about 4 split.
The same matchup from the other side
The mirror image, 44 against JJ, is 19.02% to 80.98%, and its address redirects to this page.
Keep exploring
Open the calculator with JsJh against 4d4c already entered, a deal with no shared suit, and change any card to try your own hand. The matchups after it each swap one hand for a nearby one in the ranking.
How this was computed
We counted every case. Each suit pattern of the 36 specific JJ against 44 deals meets all 1,712,304 boards, and the better five-card hand wins; a split pot is half a win each. The flop table reads each board under all ten of its three-card flops.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
Bring your own hands to a session
Review the spots you actually play against these numbers in a Game Assessment, and leave with a one-page written plan.
Book a session