TT
80.98%
Wins 80.72%, ties 0.52%
44
19.02%
Wins 18.76%, ties 0.52%
TT against 44: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TT | 80.720 | 0.517 | 18.763 | 80.978 |
| 44 | 18.763 | 0.517 | 80.720 | 19.022 |
Both hands are pocket pairs: TT and 44. A pair against a smaller pair is the classic crush: the smaller pair needs one of its two remaining cards to make a set.
This is one of the lopsided matchups: 44 wins only 18.76% of the boards outright. About 0.52% of boards chop the pot, which is why equity sits slightly above the win figure for both hands.
Ranked by equity against a random hand, TT is number 5 of the 169 starting hands and 44 is number 48.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| TT | 49,758,000 | 319,000 | 11,566,000 |
| 44 | 11,566,000 | 319,000 | 49,758,000 |
The board total is exact, 36 deals at 1,712,304 boards each. Won, tied and lost counts are rounded to the nearest thousand from the five-decimal percentages.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TT | 4.257 | 1.239 | 5.330 | 0.235 |
| 44 | 0.235 | 5.330 | 1.239 | 4.257 |
In the last column, a pot-to-call ratio at or above the figure makes a call break even or better at this equity.
Who is ahead on which flops
TT prefers paired flops, where it holds 86.43%, and likes low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) least, where it holds 67.27%. TT stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal.
| Flop | Share of flops | TT wins | Ties | 44 wins | TT equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 24.595 | 83.683 | 0.294 | 16.023 | 83.830 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 6.314 | 66.921 | 0.693 | 32.386 | 67.267 |
| Two-tone | 46.363 | 79.693 | 0.364 | 19.943 | 79.875 |
| Monotone | 5.152 | 74.467 | 2.029 | 23.504 | 75.481 |
| Paired | 17.576 | 86.071 | 0.724 | 13.205 | 86.433 |
Read the flop types this way: rainbow has three suits, two-tone has two cards of one suit, monotone has three, and paired repeats a rank.
Compared with a random hand
Compared with a random opponent, this matchup shifts TT from 75.01% by +5.97 points and 44 from 57.02% by -38.00 points.
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TT, all flops | 80.978 | 75.012 | +5.966 | 1.07953 |
| TT, rainbow, ten or higher | 83.830 | 75.012 | +8.818 | 1.11755 |
| TT, rainbow, nine or lower | 67.267 | 75.012 | -7.745 | 0.89675 |
| TT, two-tone | 79.875 | 75.012 | +4.863 | 1.06483 |
| TT, monotone | 75.481 | 75.012 | +0.469 | 1.00625 |
| TT, paired | 86.433 | 75.012 | +11.421 | 1.15226 |
| 44, all flops | 19.022 | 57.023 | -38.001 | 0.33358 |
| 44, rainbow, ten or higher | 16.170 | 57.023 | -40.853 | 0.28357 |
| 44, rainbow, nine or lower | 32.733 | 57.023 | -24.290 | 0.57403 |
| 44, two-tone | 20.125 | 57.023 | -36.898 | 0.35293 |
| 44, monotone | 24.519 | 57.023 | -32.504 | 0.42998 |
| 44, paired | 13.567 | 57.023 | -43.456 | 0.23792 |
Does a shared suit matter?
Suit overlap shows up in the numbers. With a suit in common TT has 81.11% equity, and with none in common it has 80.32%. TT does better with a shared suit, by 0.79 points.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | TT wins | Ties | 44 wins | TT equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 30 | 83.33 | 80.846 | 0.530 | 18.624 | 81.111 |
| No shared suit | 6 | 16.67 | 80.092 | 0.449 | 19.459 | 80.316 |
How often this matchup comes up
The class pair covers 36 combinations of specific cards in a fixed seat order, 0.0022% of 1,624,350, and 72 (0.0044%) in either order.
A worked example
Worked example: both players commit $100, so $200 sits in the middle. Over every board, TT's average share is $161.96 (a gain of $61.96) and 44's is $38.04 (a loss of $61.96).
Run 1,000 deals and the tally comes out near 807 for TT, 188 for 44 and 5 ties.
The same matchup from the other side
The reversed view, 44 against TT, shows 19.02% for 44 and 80.98% for TT. It is the same count, so it redirects here.
Keep exploring
Try TsTh against 4d4c in the calculator: the hands share no suit, and every card can be changed. The links after it are the closest matchups in the ranking.
How this was computed
Nothing here is simulated. The 36 deals of TT against 44 fall into a few suit patterns, each dealt against all 1,712,304 boards, with both best five-card hands compared on every board. Ties give each hand half a win, and the flop rows count a board under each of its ten flops.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
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