TT
64.88%
Wins 63.93%, ties 1.90%
JTo
35.12%
Wins 34.17%, ties 1.90%
TT against JTo: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TT | 63.930 | 1.897 | 34.173 | 64.878 |
| JTo | 34.173 | 1.897 | 63.930 | 35.122 |
The matchup pits a pocket pair against an offsuit hand. The pair already holds one of the other hand's ranks, and that overlap cuts down the cards the other hand can pair with.
The lead is steady rather than large, and the flop still has plenty of say in who wins. Ties are part of the picture: 1.90% of boards end in a split pot, and each side counts that as half a win.
Place 5 of 169 belongs to TT and place 57 belongs to JTo in the ranking against a random hand.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| TT | 39,408,000 | 1,169,000 | 21,065,000 |
| JTo | 21,065,000 | 1,169,000 | 39,408,000 |
The board total is exact, 36 deals at 1,712,304 boards each. Won, tied and lost counts are rounded to the nearest thousand from the five-decimal percentages.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TT | 1.847 | 1.564 | 2.926 | 0.541 |
| JTo | 0.541 | 2.926 | 1.564 | 1.847 |
The last column is the break-even price: the pot odds a call needs to offer, as a ratio of pot to call.
Who is ahead on which flops
Split by what the flop looks like, TT peaks at 78.16% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) and bottoms out at 58.82% on monotone flops. TT stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal.
| Flop | Share of flops | TT wins | Ties | JTo wins | TT equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 23.053 | 57.898 | 2.330 | 39.772 | 59.063 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 7.771 | 77.334 | 1.647 | 21.019 | 78.157 |
| Two-tone | 46.215 | 62.248 | 2.060 | 35.692 | 63.278 |
| Monotone | 5.130 | 57.609 | 2.416 | 39.975 | 58.817 |
| Paired | 17.831 | 72.063 | 0.877 | 27.060 | 72.502 |
Flop types: rainbow means three different suits, two-tone means one suit twice, monotone means one suit three times, paired means a repeated rank.
Compared with a random hand
How much does the opponent matter? Compared with its random-hand 75.01%, TT changes by -10.13 points, and JTo, from 55.25%, by -20.13.
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TT, all flops | 64.878 | 75.012 | -10.134 | 0.86490 |
| TT, rainbow, ten or higher | 59.063 | 75.012 | -15.949 | 0.78738 |
| TT, rainbow, nine or lower | 78.157 | 75.012 | +3.145 | 1.04193 |
| TT, two-tone | 63.278 | 75.012 | -11.734 | 0.84357 |
| TT, monotone | 58.817 | 75.012 | -16.195 | 0.78410 |
| TT, paired | 72.502 | 75.012 | -2.510 | 0.96654 |
| JTo, all flops | 35.122 | 55.248 | -20.126 | 0.63572 |
| JTo, rainbow, ten or higher | 40.937 | 55.248 | -14.311 | 0.74097 |
| JTo, rainbow, nine or lower | 21.843 | 55.248 | -33.405 | 0.39536 |
| JTo, two-tone | 36.722 | 55.248 | -18.526 | 0.66468 |
| JTo, monotone | 41.183 | 55.248 | -14.065 | 0.74542 |
| JTo, paired | 27.498 | 55.248 | -27.750 | 0.49772 |
Does a shared suit matter?
Suit overlap shows up in the numbers. With a suit in common TT has 64.79% equity, and with none in common it has 65.05%. TT does better with no shared suit, by 0.26 points.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | TT wins | Ties | JTo wins | TT equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 24 | 66.67 | 63.826 | 1.932 | 34.242 | 64.792 |
| No shared suit | 12 | 33.33 | 64.136 | 1.827 | 34.037 | 65.050 |
How often this matchup comes up
You will meet this exact matchup 0.0044% of the time in a random heads-up deal: 72 of 1,624,350, counting either seat order.
A worked example
To see what the equity is worth, imagine $100 each in a $200 pot. TT is worth $129.76 on average (+$29.76); JTo is worth $70.24 (-$29.76).
In 1,000 deals of exactly this matchup, expect about 639 won outright by TT, about 342 won outright by JTo and about 19 split.
The same matchup from the other side
If you came looking for JTo against TT, the numbers are the same with the hands swapped: 35.12% and 64.88%.
Keep exploring
Open the calculator with TsTh against JdTc already entered, a deal with no shared suit, and change any card to try your own hand. The matchups after it each swap one hand for a nearby one in the ranking.
How this was computed
The page is built from a full enumeration: 1,712,304 boards, every suit pattern of the 36 specific deals, both seven-card hands evaluated. A tie is worth half a win to each hand, and a board is tallied under each of its ten possible flops for the texture rows.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
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