TT
81.42%
Wins 81.14%, ties 0.56%
33
18.58%
Wins 18.30%, ties 0.56%
TT against 33: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TT | 81.142 | 0.557 | 18.301 | 81.421 |
| 33 | 18.301 | 0.557 | 81.142 | 18.579 |
TT meets 33, and both are pocket pairs. Both hands are pairs, so the bigger pair is ahead on every board that does not pair a card below it.
This is one of the lopsided matchups: 33 wins only 18.30% of the boards outright. The tie share is 0.56%: on those boards the pot is chopped and neither hand wins outright.
In the ranking of all 169 starting hands, TT is number 5 and 33 is number 66.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| TT | 50,018,000 | 343,000 | 11,281,000 |
| 33 | 11,281,000 | 343,000 | 50,018,000 |
Exact total: 36 deals times 1,712,304 boards. The other three counts come from the five-decimal percentages and are rounded to the nearest thousand, so read them as approximate.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TT | 4.382 | 1.232 | 5.464 | 0.228 |
| 33 | 0.228 | 5.464 | 1.232 | 4.382 |
In the last column, a pot-to-call ratio at or above the figure makes a call break even or better at this equity.
Who is ahead on which flops
If you know the kind of flop that came, the numbers shift: TT holds 86.66% on paired flops and 68.74% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower). TT stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal.
| Flop | Share of flops | TT wins | Ties | 33 wins | TT equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 24.595 | 83.933 | 0.294 | 15.773 | 84.080 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 6.314 | 68.308 | 0.870 | 30.822 | 68.743 |
| Two-tone | 46.363 | 80.158 | 0.398 | 19.444 | 80.357 |
| Monotone | 5.152 | 74.820 | 2.289 | 22.891 | 75.964 |
| Paired | 17.576 | 86.296 | 0.724 | 12.980 | 86.658 |
Read the flop types this way: rainbow has three suits, two-tone has two cards of one suit, monotone has three, and paired repeats a rank.
Compared with a random hand
Compared with a random opponent, this matchup shifts TT from 75.01% by +6.41 points and 33 from 53.69% by -35.11 points.
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TT, all flops | 81.421 | 75.012 | +6.409 | 1.08544 |
| TT, rainbow, ten or higher | 84.080 | 75.012 | +9.068 | 1.12089 |
| TT, rainbow, nine or lower | 68.743 | 75.012 | -6.269 | 0.91643 |
| TT, two-tone | 80.357 | 75.012 | +5.345 | 1.07126 |
| TT, monotone | 75.964 | 75.012 | +0.952 | 1.01269 |
| TT, paired | 86.658 | 75.012 | +11.646 | 1.15526 |
| 33, all flops | 18.579 | 53.693 | -35.114 | 0.34602 |
| 33, rainbow, ten or higher | 15.920 | 53.693 | -37.773 | 0.29650 |
| 33, rainbow, nine or lower | 31.257 | 53.693 | -22.436 | 0.58214 |
| 33, two-tone | 19.643 | 53.693 | -34.050 | 0.36584 |
| 33, monotone | 24.036 | 53.693 | -29.657 | 0.44766 |
| 33, paired | 13.342 | 53.693 | -40.351 | 0.24849 |
Does a shared suit matter?
When the hands share a suit, TT holds 81.55%; when they do not, it holds 80.76%. TT does better with a shared suit, by 0.79 points.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | TT wins | Ties | 33 wins | TT equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 30 | 83.33 | 81.270 | 0.568 | 18.162 | 81.554 |
| No shared suit | 6 | 16.67 | 80.506 | 0.502 | 18.992 | 80.757 |
How often this matchup comes up
Counting specific cards, TT against 33 appears in 36 of the 1,624,350 ordered heads-up deals (0.0022%), and in 72 when the seats are swapped too (0.0044%).
A worked example
Put $100 each into a $200 pot and deal every board once: TT averages $162.84 back, ahead of its $100 by $62.84, while 33 averages $37.16, short of its $100 by $62.84.
Per 1,000 deals: TT wins about 811, 33 wins about 183, and about 6 end in a split pot.
The same matchup from the other side
If you came looking for 33 against TT, the numbers are the same with the hands swapped: 18.58% and 81.42%.
Keep exploring
Try TsTh against 3d3c in the calculator: the hands share no suit, and every card can be changed. The links after it are the closest matchups in the ranking.
How this was computed
All 1,712,304 five-card boards are dealt for every suit pattern among the 36 specific deals of TT against 33, and both hands are scored on each. That is a full count, so the percentages are exact. Ties are half a win each, and each board appears once per flop it contains.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
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