TT
82.31%
Wins 80.96%, ties 2.70%
T9s
17.69%
Wins 16.34%, ties 2.70%
TT against T9s: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TT | 80.958 | 2.704 | 16.338 | 82.310 |
| T9s | 16.338 | 2.704 | 80.958 | 17.690 |
Here a pocket pair (TT) meets a suited hand (T9s). One hand holds a card of the same rank as the pair, which removes a card the pair needs and makes the pair a bigger favorite.
TT is a big favorite here before anyone sees a flop. Ties are part of the picture: 2.70% of boards end in a split pot, and each side counts that as half a win.
Ranked by equity against a random hand, TT is number 5 of the 169 starting hands and T9s is number 64.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| TT | 16,635,000 | 556,000 | 3,357,000 |
| T9s | 3,357,000 | 556,000 | 16,635,000 |
12 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards gives the exact total. The won, tied and lost counts are approximations from the five-decimal percentages, rounded to the nearest thousand.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TT | 4.653 | 1.235 | 6.121 | 0.215 |
| T9s | 0.215 | 6.121 | 1.235 | 4.653 |
The last column is the break-even price: the pot odds a call needs to offer, as a ratio of pot to call.
Who is ahead on which flops
The flop changes the picture. TT does best on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better, at 85.14%, and worst on monotone flops, at 73.88%. TT stays ahead on all five textures.
| Flop | Share of flops | TT wins | Ties | T9s wins | TT equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 23.740 | 83.741 | 2.802 | 13.457 | 85.142 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 7.042 | 83.473 | 2.896 | 13.631 | 84.921 |
| Two-tone | 46.236 | 79.377 | 2.598 | 18.025 | 80.676 |
| Monotone | 5.151 | 72.256 | 3.252 | 24.492 | 73.882 |
| Paired | 17.831 | 82.872 | 2.615 | 14.513 | 84.180 |
A rainbow flop shows three suits, a two-tone flop repeats one suit, a monotone flop is a single suit, and a paired flop repeats a rank.
Compared with a random hand
How much does the opponent matter? Compared with its random-hand 75.01%, TT changes by +7.30 points, and T9s, from 54.03%, by -36.34.
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TT, all flops | 82.310 | 75.012 | +7.298 | 1.09729 |
| TT, rainbow, ten or higher | 85.142 | 75.012 | +10.130 | 1.13505 |
| TT, rainbow, nine or lower | 84.921 | 75.012 | +9.909 | 1.13210 |
| TT, two-tone | 80.676 | 75.012 | +5.664 | 1.07551 |
| TT, monotone | 73.882 | 75.012 | -1.130 | 0.98494 |
| TT, paired | 84.180 | 75.012 | +9.168 | 1.12222 |
| T9s, all flops | 17.690 | 54.028 | -36.338 | 0.32742 |
| T9s, rainbow, ten or higher | 14.858 | 54.028 | -39.170 | 0.27501 |
| T9s, rainbow, nine or lower | 15.079 | 54.028 | -38.949 | 0.27910 |
| T9s, two-tone | 19.324 | 54.028 | -34.704 | 0.35767 |
| T9s, monotone | 26.118 | 54.028 | -27.910 | 0.48342 |
| T9s, paired | 15.820 | 54.028 | -38.208 | 0.29281 |
Does a shared suit matter?
These two classes cannot share a suit in any legal deal, so there is only one row to read: TT holds 82.31% in every deal of this matchup.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | TT wins | Ties | T9s wins | TT equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 0 | 0.00 | not possible | not possible | not possible | not possible |
| No shared suit | 12 | 100.00 | 80.958 | 2.704 | 16.338 | 82.310 |
How often this matchup comes up
You will meet this exact matchup 0.0015% of the time in a random heads-up deal: 24 of 1,624,350, counting either seat order.
A worked example
Try it with money: two players each put in $100 and the whole board runs out every possible way. TT averages $164.62 from the $200, up $64.62; T9s averages $35.38, down $64.62.
Over a long run, 1,000 deals split into about 810 for TT, 163 for T9s and 27 tied.
The same matchup from the other side
The reversed view, T9s against TT, shows 17.69% for T9s and 82.31% for TT. It is the same count, so it redirects here.
Keep exploring
Try TsTh against Td9d in the calculator: the hands share no suit, and every card can be changed. The links after it are the closest matchups in the ranking.
How this was computed
This is an exact count with no sampling. For the 12 ways to deal one TT and one T9s without reusing a card, grouped by suit pattern, every one of the 1,712,304 possible boards is dealt and both seven-card hands are compared. A tie counts as half a win in the equity column, and each board is counted once under each of its ten three-card flops.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
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