TT
67.51%
Wins 67.29%, ties 0.43%
J9s
32.49%
Wins 32.28%, ties 0.43%
TT against J9s: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TT | 67.291 | 0.430 | 32.279 | 67.506 |
| J9s | 32.279 | 0.430 | 67.291 | 32.494 |
TT is a pocket pair and J9s is a suited hand. The pair is ahead of one card and behind the other, so the board decides how that plays out.
That is a clear edge, 67.51% to 32.49%, but J9s still wins often enough that one hand proves nothing. 0.43% of boards are ties, so the equity of each hand is its win rate plus half of that.
The hand ranking puts TT at 5 and J9s at 55 out of 169 starting hands.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| TT | 27,653,000 | 177,000 | 13,265,000 |
| J9s | 13,265,000 | 177,000 | 27,653,000 |
The board total is exact, 24 deals at 1,712,304 boards each. Won, tied and lost counts are rounded to the nearest thousand from the five-decimal percentages.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TT | 2.077 | 1.486 | 3.098 | 0.481 |
| J9s | 0.481 | 3.098 | 1.486 | 2.077 |
The last column is the break-even price: the pot odds a call needs to offer, as a ratio of pot to call.
Who is ahead on which flops
Split by what the flop looks like, TT peaks at 79.29% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) and bottoms out at 62.77% on monotone flops. TT stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal.
| Flop | Share of flops | TT wins | Ties | J9s wins | TT equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 23.867 | 65.687 | 0.189 | 34.124 | 65.781 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 7.042 | 78.917 | 0.737 | 20.346 | 79.285 |
| Two-tone | 46.545 | 65.487 | 0.290 | 34.223 | 65.632 |
| Monotone | 5.212 | 61.574 | 2.389 | 36.037 | 62.769 |
| Paired | 17.334 | 71.339 | 0.424 | 28.237 | 71.551 |
A rainbow flop shows three suits, a two-tone flop repeats one suit, a monotone flop is a single suit, and a paired flop repeats a rank.
Compared with a random hand
Each hand has a baseline against a random hand: 75.01% for TT, 55.66% for J9s. Here the change is -7.50 and -23.17 points.
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TT, all flops | 67.506 | 75.012 | -7.506 | 0.89994 |
| TT, rainbow, ten or higher | 65.781 | 75.012 | -9.231 | 0.87694 |
| TT, rainbow, nine or lower | 79.285 | 75.012 | +4.273 | 1.05696 |
| TT, two-tone | 65.632 | 75.012 | -9.380 | 0.87495 |
| TT, monotone | 62.769 | 75.012 | -12.243 | 0.83679 |
| TT, paired | 71.551 | 75.012 | -3.461 | 0.95386 |
| J9s, all flops | 32.494 | 55.662 | -23.168 | 0.58377 |
| J9s, rainbow, ten or higher | 34.219 | 55.662 | -21.443 | 0.61476 |
| J9s, rainbow, nine or lower | 20.715 | 55.662 | -34.947 | 0.37216 |
| J9s, two-tone | 34.368 | 55.662 | -21.294 | 0.61744 |
| J9s, monotone | 37.231 | 55.662 | -18.431 | 0.66888 |
| J9s, paired | 28.449 | 55.662 | -27.213 | 0.51110 |
Does a shared suit matter?
Looking only at deals where the hands share a suit, TT has 67.72%; looking only at deals where they do not, 67.29%. TT does better with a shared suit, by 0.43 points.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | TT wins | Ties | J9s wins | TT equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 12 | 50.00 | 67.488 | 0.471 | 32.041 | 67.723 |
| No shared suit | 12 | 50.00 | 67.093 | 0.390 | 32.517 | 67.288 |
How often this matchup comes up
You will meet this exact matchup 0.0030% of the time in a random heads-up deal: 48 of 1,624,350, counting either seat order.
A worked example
Worked example: both players commit $100, so $200 sits in the middle. Over every board, TT's average share is $135.02 (a gain of $35.02) and J9s' is $64.98 (a loss of $35.02).
Run 1,000 deals and the tally comes out near 673 for TT, 323 for J9s and 4 ties.
The same matchup from the other side
The mirror image, J9s against TT, is 32.49% to 67.51%, and its address redirects to this page.
Keep exploring
Open the calculator with TsTh against Jd9d already entered, a deal with no shared suit, and change any card to try your own hand. The matchups after it each swap one hand for a nearby one in the ranking.
How this was computed
We counted every case. Each suit pattern of the 24 specific TT against J9s deals meets all 1,712,304 boards, and the better five-card hand wins; a split pot is half a win each. The flop table reads each board under all ten of its three-card flops.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
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