JJ vs A9s: preflop equity

Dealt all in against each other, JJ takes 68.44% of the pot on average and A9s takes the other 31.56%.

JJ

68.44%

Wins 68.25%, ties 0.39%

A9s

31.56%

Wins 31.36%, ties 0.39%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

JJ against A9s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for JJ against A9s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
JJ68.2490.39031.36168.444
A9s31.3610.39068.24931.556

JJ, a pocket pair, plays A9s, a suited hand. The pair sits between the other hand's two cards: one is higher and one is lower, so the pair is exposed to the higher card.

JJ is well ahead, and A9s needs a specific kind of board to catch up. 0.39% of boards are ties, so the equity of each hand is its win rate plus half of that.

Among the 169 starting hands, JJ is number 4 and A9s is number 18 by strength against a random hand.

Boards behind the percentages: 41,095,296 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
JJ28,047,000160,00012,888,000
A9s12,888,000160,00028,047,000

The total is exact: 24 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards. The three counts are approximate, worked out from the percentages to five decimals and rounded to the nearest thousand.

JJ against A9s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
JJ2.1691.4653.1890.461
A9s0.4613.1891.4652.169

In the last column, a pot-to-call ratio at or above the figure makes a call break even or better at this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

Low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) are the best for JJ (77.88%); monotone flops are the worst (63.76%). JJ stays ahead on all five textures.

JJ against A9s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsJJ winsTiesA9s winsJJ equity
Rainbow, ten or higher23.86767.6590.14032.20167.729
Rainbow, nine or lower7.04277.4050.94721.64877.879
Two-tone46.54566.5630.29733.14066.712
Monotone5.21262.5662.38935.04563.760
Paired17.33471.5770.15628.26771.655

Flop types: rainbow means three different suits, two-tone means one suit twice, monotone means one suit three times, paired means a repeated rank.

Compared with a random hand

Against one random hand instead, JJ holds 77.47% and A9s holds 62.78%. Facing each other changes that by -9.03 points for JJ and -31.22 points for A9s.

JJ and A9s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
JJ, all flops68.44477.469-9.0250.88350
JJ, rainbow, ten or higher67.72977.469-9.7400.87427
JJ, rainbow, nine or lower77.87977.469+0.4101.00529
JJ, two-tone66.71277.469-10.7570.86114
JJ, monotone63.76077.469-13.7090.82304
JJ, paired71.65577.469-5.8140.92495
A9s, all flops31.55662.781-31.2250.50264
A9s, rainbow, ten or higher32.27162.781-30.5100.51402
A9s, rainbow, nine or lower22.12162.781-40.6600.35235
A9s, two-tone33.28862.781-29.4930.53022
A9s, monotone36.24062.781-26.5410.57724
A9s, paired28.34562.781-34.4360.45149

Does a shared suit matter?

Of the deals of this matchup, 12 share a suit (JJ at 68.73%) and 12 do not (68.16%). JJ does better with a shared suit, by 0.57 points.

JJ against A9s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsJJ winsTiesA9s winsJJ equity
Share a suit1250.0068.5160.43131.05368.732
No shared suit1250.0067.9820.34831.67068.156

How often this matchup comes up

You will meet this exact matchup 0.0030% of the time in a random heads-up deal: 48 of 1,624,350, counting either seat order.

A worked example

With $100 from each side, the $200 pot is split on average as $136.88 for JJ and $63.12 for A9s; the first side gains $36.88 per all-in and the second gives up $36.88.

Over a long run, 1,000 deals split into about 682 for JJ, 314 for A9s and 4 tied.

The same matchup from the other side

One page covers both views. From A9s' side the equity is 31.56%, and from JJ's side it is 68.44%.

Try JsJh against Ad9d in the calculator: the hands share no suit, and every card can be changed. The links after it are the closest matchups in the ranking.

How this was computed

Method: exact enumeration. The 24 specific deals are grouped by suit pattern, each is run against all 1,712,304 boards, and both seven-card hands are scored. Equity adds half of every tie, and flop textures are tallied over the ten flops inside each board.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

Bring your own hands to a session

Review the spots you actually play against these numbers in a Game Assessment, and leave with a one-page written plan.

Book a session