JJ vs KJo: preflop equity

The exact count puts JJ at 68.29% and KJo at 31.71% when the two hands see all five board cards.

JJ

68.29%

Wins 67.46%, ties 1.65%

KJo

31.71%

Wins 30.89%, ties 1.65%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

JJ against KJo: the numbers

Exact preflop results for JJ against KJo, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
JJ67.4611.65130.88868.287
KJo30.8881.65167.46131.713

We compare a pocket pair with an offsuit hand. One hand holds a card of the same rank as the pair, which removes a card the pair needs and makes the pair a bigger favorite.

JJ is the clear favorite, though KJo gets there on roughly one board in 3. Of every 100 boards, about 1.65 are split pots, and the equity figures already include them.

Among the 169 starting hands, JJ is number 4 and KJo is number 26 by strength against a random hand.

Boards behind the percentages: 61,642,944 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
JJ41,585,0001,018,00019,040,000
KJo19,040,0001,018,00041,585,000

The board total is exact, 36 deals at 1,712,304 boards each. Won, tied and lost counts are rounded to the nearest thousand from the five-decimal percentages.

JJ against KJo read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
JJ2.1531.4823.2380.464
KJo0.4643.2381.4822.153

The final column gives the least the pot must offer for each unit called for a call to break even at this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

By flop texture, JJ's equity runs from 61.39% on monotone flops up to 85.70% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower). JJ stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal.

JJ against KJo by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsJJ winsTiesKJo winsJJ equity
Rainbow, ten or higher23.05360.6171.88337.50061.559
Rainbow, nine or lower7.77184.7081.98013.31285.698
Two-tone46.21565.9841.81932.19766.893
Monotone5.13060.2702.24037.49061.390
Paired17.83174.6880.60824.70474.992

Read the flop types this way: rainbow has three suits, two-tone has two cards of one suit, monotone has three, and paired repeats a rank.

Compared with a random hand

The table below sets each hand against its own random-hand baseline: a change of -9.18 points for JJ, from 77.47%, and -28.86 for KJo, from 60.57%.

JJ and KJo here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
JJ, all flops68.28777.469-9.1820.88148
JJ, rainbow, ten or higher61.55977.469-15.9100.79463
JJ, rainbow, nine or lower85.69877.469+8.2291.10622
JJ, two-tone66.89377.469-10.5760.86348
JJ, monotone61.39077.469-16.0790.79245
JJ, paired74.99277.469-2.4770.96803
KJo, all flops31.71360.569-28.8560.52358
KJo, rainbow, ten or higher38.44160.569-22.1280.63466
KJo, rainbow, nine or lower14.30260.569-46.2670.23613
KJo, two-tone33.10760.569-27.4620.54660
KJo, monotone38.61060.569-21.9590.63745
KJo, paired25.00860.569-35.5610.41288

Does a shared suit matter?

Of the deals of this matchup, 24 share a suit (JJ at 68.22%) and 12 do not (68.43%). The two rows differ by only 0.21 points, so suits barely change this matchup.

JJ against KJo by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsJJ winsTiesKJo winsJJ equity
Share a suit2466.6767.3741.68530.94168.217
No shared suit1233.3367.6341.58530.78168.426

How often this matchup comes up

The class pair covers 36 combinations of specific cards in a fixed seat order, 0.0022% of 1,624,350, and 72 (0.0044%) in either order.

A worked example

Say each player puts $100 in before the flop, making a $200 pot. On average JJ takes back $136.58 of it, which is $36.58 more than it put in, and KJo takes back $63.42, $36.58 less than it put in.

Per 1,000 deals: JJ wins about 675, KJo wins about 309, and about 16 end in a split pot.

The same matchup from the other side

One page covers both views. From KJo's side the equity is 31.71%, and from JJ's side it is 68.29%.

Try JsJh against KdJc in the calculator: the hands share no suit, and every card can be changed. The links after it are the closest matchups in the ranking.

How this was computed

Method: exact enumeration. The 36 specific deals are grouped by suit pattern, each is run against all 1,712,304 boards, and both seven-card hands are scored. Equity adds half of every tie, and flop textures are tallied over the ten flops inside each board.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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