TT vs KJo: preflop equity

Averaged over every possible board, TT is ahead of KJo by 13.12 points of equity, 56.56% to 43.44%.

TT

56.56%

Wins 56.37%, ties 0.39%

KJo

43.44%

Wins 43.24%, ties 0.39%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

TT against KJo: the numbers

Exact preflop results for TT against KJo, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
TT56.3680.38943.24356.562
KJo43.2430.38956.36843.438

TT and KJo are a pocket pair and an offsuit hand, in that order. This is a pair against two overcards, a matchup that stays close because the other hand only needs one of its ranks to appear.

A 13.12 point lead is real, and KJo still takes about 432 of every 1,000 deals outright. Of every 100 boards, about 0.39 are split pots, and the equity figures already include them.

In the ranking of all 169 starting hands, TT is number 5 and KJo is number 26.

Boards behind the percentages: 123,285,888 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
TT69,494,000480,00053,313,000
KJo53,313,000480,00069,494,000

The total is exact: 72 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards. The three counts are approximate, worked out from the percentages to five decimals and rounded to the nearest thousand.

TT against KJo read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
TT1.3021.7742.3130.768
KJo0.7682.3131.7741.302

In the last column, a pot-to-call ratio at or above the figure makes a call break even or better at this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

Split by what the flop looks like, TT peaks at 75.69% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) and bottoms out at 48.98% on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better. On rainbow flops topped by a ten or better the numbers flip and KJo is the one ahead.

TT against KJo by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsTT winsTiesKJo winsTT equity
Rainbow, ten or higher23.26048.9080.14550.94748.981
Rainbow, nine or lower7.77175.1930.99223.81575.689
Two-tone46.48555.1030.34244.55555.274
Monotone5.15151.4701.71946.81152.330
Paired17.33362.7850.18037.03562.875

A rainbow flop shows three suits, a two-tone flop repeats one suit, a monotone flop is a single suit, and a paired flop repeats a rank.

Compared with a random hand

Relative to a random opponent, TT changes by -18.45 points (baseline 75.01%) and KJo by -17.13 points (baseline 60.57%).

TT and KJo here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
TT, all flops56.56275.012-18.4500.75404
TT, rainbow, ten or higher48.98175.012-26.0310.65298
TT, rainbow, nine or lower75.68975.012+0.6771.00903
TT, two-tone55.27475.012-19.7380.73687
TT, monotone52.33075.012-22.6820.69762
TT, paired62.87575.012-12.1370.83820
KJo, all flops43.43860.569-17.1310.71717
KJo, rainbow, ten or higher51.01960.569-9.5500.84233
KJo, rainbow, nine or lower24.31160.569-36.2580.40138
KJo, two-tone44.72660.569-15.8430.73843
KJo, monotone47.67060.569-12.8990.78704
KJo, paired37.12560.569-23.4440.61294

Does a shared suit matter?

When the hands share a suit, TT holds 56.48%; when they do not, it holds 56.98%. TT does better with no shared suit, by 0.50 points.

TT against KJo by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsTT winsTiesKJo winsTT equity
Share a suit6083.3356.2770.40543.31856.479
No shared suit1216.6756.8230.31042.86756.978

How often this matchup comes up

Out of 1,624,350 ways to deal two seats two cards each, 72 are TT in one seat and KJo in the other (0.0044%); with the seats swapped too, 144 (0.0089%).

A worked example

Say each player puts $100 in before the flop, making a $200 pot. On average TT takes back $113.12 of it, which is $13.12 more than it put in, and KJo takes back $86.88, $13.12 less than it put in.

Run 1,000 deals and the tally comes out near 564 for TT, 432 for KJo and 4 ties.

The same matchup from the other side

KJo versus TT is this same page seen from the other hand: 43.44% for KJo, 56.56% for TT.

Try TsTh against KdJc in the calculator: the hands share no suit, and every card can be changed. The links after it are the closest matchups in the ranking.

How this was computed

Each figure is a complete count over boards. Take the 72 specific deals, group them by suit pattern, deal all 1,712,304 boards against each, and compare the two seven-card hands. Equity counts a tie as half a win; the flop rows use every one of a board's ten flops.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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