99
55.32%
Wins 55.12%, ties 0.39%
KJo
44.68%
Wins 44.49%, ties 0.39%
99 against KJo: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 99 | 55.124 | 0.390 | 44.486 | 55.319 |
| KJo | 44.486 | 0.390 | 55.124 | 44.681 |
99, a pocket pair, plays KJo, an offsuit hand. A pair against two higher cards is the classic race: the pair is usually a small favorite or close to even, and each overcard that pairs is a way to take the lead.
The lead is steady rather than large, and the flop still has plenty of say in who wins. A split pot comes up on 0.39% of boards, so the wins and the equity differ by half of that.
Among the 169 starting hands, 99 is number 6 and KJo is number 26 by strength against a random hand.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| 99 | 67,960,000 | 481,000 | 54,845,000 |
| KJo | 54,845,000 | 481,000 | 67,960,000 |
Exact total: 72 deals times 1,712,304 boards. The other three counts come from the five-decimal percentages and are rounded to the nearest thousand, so read them as approximate.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 99 | 1.238 | 1.814 | 2.248 | 0.808 |
| KJo | 0.808 | 2.248 | 1.814 | 1.238 |
The last column is the break-even price: the pot odds a call needs to offer, as a ratio of pot to call.
Who is ahead on which flops
Break the boards down by their first three cards and 99 is strongest on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) (80.68%) and weakest on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better (47.74%). KJo takes over on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better, so the favorite before the flop is the underdog on those boards.
| Flop | Share of flops | 99 wins | Ties | KJo wins | 99 equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 24.717 | 47.663 | 0.162 | 52.175 | 47.744 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 6.314 | 80.155 | 1.044 | 18.801 | 80.677 |
| Two-tone | 46.485 | 53.943 | 0.327 | 45.730 | 54.106 |
| Monotone | 5.151 | 50.682 | 1.708 | 47.610 | 51.536 |
| Paired | 17.333 | 61.132 | 0.253 | 38.615 | 61.259 |
Read the flop types this way: rainbow has three suits, two-tone has two cards of one suit, monotone has three, and paired repeats a rank.
Compared with a random hand
How much does the opponent matter? Compared with its random-hand 72.06%, 99 changes by -16.74 points, and KJo, from 60.57%, by -15.89.
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 99, all flops | 55.319 | 72.057 | -16.738 | 0.76771 |
| 99, rainbow, ten or higher | 47.744 | 72.057 | -24.313 | 0.66259 |
| 99, rainbow, nine or lower | 80.677 | 72.057 | +8.620 | 1.11963 |
| 99, two-tone | 54.106 | 72.057 | -17.951 | 0.75088 |
| 99, monotone | 51.536 | 72.057 | -20.521 | 0.71521 |
| 99, paired | 61.259 | 72.057 | -10.798 | 0.85015 |
| KJo, all flops | 44.681 | 60.569 | -15.888 | 0.73769 |
| KJo, rainbow, ten or higher | 52.256 | 60.569 | -8.313 | 0.86275 |
| KJo, rainbow, nine or lower | 19.323 | 60.569 | -41.246 | 0.31902 |
| KJo, two-tone | 45.894 | 60.569 | -14.675 | 0.75771 |
| KJo, monotone | 48.464 | 60.569 | -12.105 | 0.80015 |
| KJo, paired | 38.741 | 60.569 | -21.828 | 0.63962 |
Does a shared suit matter?
Of the deals of this matchup, 60 share a suit (99 at 55.24%) and 12 do not (55.74%). 99 does better with no shared suit, by 0.50 points.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | 99 wins | Ties | KJo wins | 99 equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 60 | 83.33 | 55.032 | 0.406 | 44.562 | 55.235 |
| No shared suit | 12 | 16.67 | 55.583 | 0.310 | 44.107 | 55.738 |
How often this matchup comes up
How often does it happen? 72 of the 1,624,350 ordered deals (0.0044%) are 99 against KJo, and 144 (0.0089%) if either hand may sit in either seat.
A worked example
Put $100 each into a $200 pot and deal every board once: 99 averages $110.64 back, ahead of its $100 by $10.64, while KJo averages $89.36, short of its $100 by $10.64.
Think in thousands: about 551 of 1,000 go to 99, about 445 go to KJo, and about 4 are chopped.
The same matchup from the other side
One page covers both views. From KJo's side the equity is 44.68%, and from 99's side it is 55.32%.
Keep exploring
The calculator link fills in 9s9h against KdJc, a deal where the two hands share no suit. Change any card to test your own hand. The neighboring matchups below swap one of the two hands for one of similar strength.
How this was computed
All 1,712,304 five-card boards are dealt for every suit pattern among the 72 specific deals of 99 against KJo, and both hands are scored on each. That is a full count, so the percentages are exact. Ties are half a win each, and each board appears once per flop it contains.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
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