JJ
81.99%
Wins 81.77%, ties 0.44%
TT
18.01%
Wins 17.79%, ties 0.44%
JJ against TT: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ | 81.767 | 0.438 | 17.795 | 81.986 |
| TT | 17.795 | 0.438 | 81.767 | 18.014 |
Two pocket pairs meet here: JJ against TT. A pair against a smaller pair is the classic crush: the smaller pair needs one of its two remaining cards to make a set.
That is a heavy lead: TT needs the board to help it on most runouts and still falls behind far more often than not. Ties are 0.44% of the outcomes here; each tied board gives both hands half the pot.
In the ranking of all 169 starting hands, JJ is number 4 and TT is number 5.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| JJ | 50,404,000 | 270,000 | 10,969,000 |
| TT | 10,969,000 | 270,000 | 50,404,000 |
36 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards gives the exact total. The won, tied and lost counts are approximations from the five-decimal percentages, rounded to the nearest thousand.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ | 4.551 | 1.223 | 5.620 | 0.220 |
| TT | 0.220 | 5.620 | 1.223 | 4.551 |
The last column is the smallest pot odds, written as a pot-to-call ratio, at which a call breaks even with this equity.
Who is ahead on which flops
The flop changes the picture. JJ does best on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower), at 89.32%, and worst on monotone flops, at 76.24%. JJ stays ahead on all five textures.
| Flop | Share of flops | JJ wins | Ties | TT wins | JJ equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 23.138 | 79.039 | 0.169 | 20.792 | 79.124 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 7.771 | 88.824 | 0.988 | 10.188 | 89.318 |
| Two-tone | 46.363 | 80.889 | 0.360 | 18.751 | 81.069 |
| Monotone | 5.152 | 75.370 | 1.737 | 22.893 | 76.238 |
| Paired | 17.576 | 86.428 | 0.373 | 13.199 | 86.614 |
Flop types: rainbow means three different suits, two-tone means one suit twice, monotone means one suit three times, paired means a repeated rank.
Compared with a random hand
A random hand would give JJ 77.47% and TT 75.01%. Against each other the change is +4.52 points for JJ and -57.00 for TT.
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ, all flops | 81.986 | 77.469 | +4.517 | 1.05831 |
| JJ, rainbow, ten or higher | 79.124 | 77.469 | +1.655 | 1.02136 |
| JJ, rainbow, nine or lower | 89.318 | 77.469 | +11.849 | 1.15295 |
| JJ, two-tone | 81.069 | 77.469 | +3.600 | 1.04647 |
| JJ, monotone | 76.238 | 77.469 | -1.231 | 0.98411 |
| JJ, paired | 86.614 | 77.469 | +9.145 | 1.11805 |
| TT, all flops | 18.014 | 75.012 | -56.998 | 0.24015 |
| TT, rainbow, ten or higher | 20.876 | 75.012 | -54.136 | 0.27830 |
| TT, rainbow, nine or lower | 10.682 | 75.012 | -64.330 | 0.14240 |
| TT, two-tone | 18.931 | 75.012 | -56.081 | 0.25237 |
| TT, monotone | 23.762 | 75.012 | -51.250 | 0.31678 |
| TT, paired | 13.386 | 75.012 | -61.626 | 0.17845 |
Does a shared suit matter?
Of the deals of this matchup, 30 share a suit (JJ at 82.12%) and 6 do not (81.30%). JJ does better with a shared suit, by 0.82 points.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | JJ wins | Ties | TT wins | JJ equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 30 | 83.33 | 81.897 | 0.454 | 17.649 | 82.124 |
| No shared suit | 6 | 16.67 | 81.115 | 0.359 | 18.526 | 81.295 |
How often this matchup comes up
JJ against TT is made up of 36 specific-card matchups in one seat order, 0.0022% of the 1,624,350 ordered deals, and 72 counting both seat orders, 0.0044%.
A worked example
Try it with money: two players each put in $100 and the whole board runs out every possible way. JJ averages $163.98 from the $200, up $63.98; TT averages $36.02, down $63.98.
In 1,000 deals of exactly this matchup, expect about 818 won outright by JJ, about 178 won outright by TT and about 4 split.
The same matchup from the other side
Read it from the other side: TT against JJ is the same matchup with the numbers swapped, so TT holds 18.01% and JJ holds 81.99%. That address sends you back to this page.
Keep exploring
Try JsJh against TdTc in the calculator: the hands share no suit, and every card can be changed. The links after it are the closest matchups in the ranking.
How this was computed
We counted every case. Each suit pattern of the 36 specific JJ against TT deals meets all 1,712,304 boards, and the better five-card hand wins; a split pot is half a win each. The flop table reads each board under all ten of its three-card flops.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
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