81.57%
Wins 81.36%, ties 0.41%
TT
18.43%
Wins 18.23%, ties 0.41%
QQ against TT: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 81.362 | 0.411 | 18.227 | 81.567 | |
| TT | 18.227 | 0.411 | 81.362 | 18.433 |
Two pocket pairs meet here: QQ against TT. A pair against a smaller pair is the classic crush: the smaller pair needs one of its two remaining cards to make a set.
This is one of the lopsided matchups: TT wins only 18.23% of the boards outright. 0.41% of boards are ties, so the equity of each hand is its win rate plus half of that.
Place 3 of 169 belongs to QQ and place 5 belongs to TT in the ranking against a random hand.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50,154,000 | 253,000 | 11,236,000 | |
| TT | 11,236,000 | 253,000 | 50,154,000 |
The total is exact: 36 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards. The three counts are approximate, worked out from the percentages to five decimals and rounded to the nearest thousand.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.425 | 1.229 | 5.486 | 0.226 | |
| TT | 0.226 | 5.486 | 1.229 | 4.425 |
The final column gives the least the pot must offer for each unit called for a call to break even at this equity.
Who is ahead on which flops
If you know the kind of flop that came, the numbers shift: QQ holds 88.70% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) and 75.87% on monotone flops. QQ stays ahead on all five textures.
| Flop | Share of flops | QQ wins | Ties | TT wins | QQ equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 23.138 | 78.565 | 0.160 | 21.275 | 78.645 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 7.771 | 88.178 | 1.039 | 10.783 | 88.698 |
| Two-tone | 46.363 | 80.392 | 0.365 | 19.243 | 80.574 |
| Monotone | 5.152 | 75.001 | 1.737 | 23.262 | 75.869 |
| Paired | 17.576 | 86.457 | 0.193 | 13.350 | 86.553 |
Flop types: rainbow means three different suits, two-tone means one suit twice, monotone means one suit three times, paired means a repeated rank.
Compared with a random hand
Compared with a random opponent, this matchup shifts QQ from 79.93% by +1.64 points and TT from 75.01% by -56.58 points.
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| QQ, all flops | 81.567 | 79.925 | +1.642 | 1.02054 |
| QQ, rainbow, ten or higher | 78.645 | 79.925 | -1.280 | 0.98398 |
| QQ, rainbow, nine or lower | 88.698 | 79.925 | +8.773 | 1.10977 |
| QQ, two-tone | 80.574 | 79.925 | +0.649 | 1.00812 |
| QQ, monotone | 75.869 | 79.925 | -4.056 | 0.94925 |
| QQ, paired | 86.553 | 79.925 | +6.628 | 1.08293 |
| TT, all flops | 18.433 | 75.012 | -56.579 | 0.24573 |
| TT, rainbow, ten or higher | 21.355 | 75.012 | -53.657 | 0.28469 |
| TT, rainbow, nine or lower | 11.302 | 75.012 | -63.710 | 0.15067 |
| TT, two-tone | 19.426 | 75.012 | -55.586 | 0.25897 |
| TT, monotone | 24.131 | 75.012 | -50.881 | 0.32170 |
| TT, paired | 13.447 | 75.012 | -61.565 | 0.17926 |
Does a shared suit matter?
Does suit overlap move the numbers? QQ has 81.70% when the hands share a suit and 80.89% when they do not. QQ does better with a shared suit, by 0.81 points.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | QQ wins | Ties | TT wins | QQ equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 30 | 83.33 | 81.491 | 0.426 | 18.083 | 81.704 |
| No shared suit | 6 | 16.67 | 80.720 | 0.331 | 18.949 | 80.885 |
How often this matchup comes up
You will meet this exact matchup 0.0044% of the time in a random heads-up deal: 72 of 1,624,350, counting either seat order.
A worked example
Worked example: both players commit $100, so $200 sits in the middle. Over every board, QQ's average share is $163.14 (a gain of $63.14) and TT's is $36.86 (a loss of $63.14).
A thousand deals look like this: QQ takes 814, TT takes 182, 4 are ties.
The same matchup from the other side
Read it from the other side: TT against QQ is the same matchup with the numbers swapped, so TT holds 18.43% and QQ holds 81.57%. That address sends you back to this page.
Keep exploring
Try QsQh against TdTc in the calculator: the hands share no suit, and every card can be changed. The links after it are the closest matchups in the ranking.
How this was computed
We counted every case. Each suit pattern of the 36 specific QQ against TT deals meets all 1,712,304 boards, and the better five-card hand wins; a split pot is half a win each. The flop table reads each board under all ten of its three-card flops.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
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