JTo vs 75s: preflop equity

Before any board card is dealt, JTo holds 61.90% equity against 75s, which leaves 75s with 38.10%.

JTo

61.90%

Wins 61.33%, ties 1.15%

75s

38.10%

Wins 37.52%, ties 1.15%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

JTo against 75s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for JTo against 75s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
JTo61.3301.14537.52561.902
75s37.5251.14561.33038.098

JTo is an offsuit hand and 75s is a suited hand. With no overlap in ranks, every card that pairs one hand is a card that does not pair the other.

That is a modest edge, the kind that shows up over many hands and is easy to miss in one. Of every 100 boards, about 1.15 are split pots, and the equity figures already include them.

Place 57 of 169 belongs to JTo and place 124 belongs to 75s in the ranking against a random hand.

Boards behind the percentages: 82,190,592 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
JTo50,407,000941,00030,842,000
75s30,842,000941,00050,407,000

48 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards gives the exact total. The won, tied and lost counts are approximations from the five-decimal percentages, rounded to the nearest thousand.

JTo against 75s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
JTo1.6251.6312.6650.615
75s0.6152.6651.6311.625

The last column is the smallest pot odds, written as a pot-to-call ratio, at which a call breaks even with this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

Split by what the flop looks like, JTo peaks at 69.94% on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better and bottoms out at 38.79% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower). 75s is ahead on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower), even though it trails JTo when every flop is counted.

JTo against 75s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsJTo winsTies75s winsJTo equity
Rainbow, ten or higher24.71769.6140.64929.73769.938
Rainbow, nine or lower6.31338.5430.50160.95638.793
Two-tone46.66760.3620.58639.05260.655
Monotone5.21258.6692.63938.69259.988
Paired17.09161.2193.17235.60962.805

A rainbow flop shows three suits, a two-tone flop repeats one suit, a monotone flop is a single suit, and a paired flop repeats a rank.

Compared with a random hand

Start from the random-hand figures, 55.25% for JTo and 43.68% for 75s. This opponent changes them by +6.65 and -5.58 points.

JTo and 75s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
JTo, all flops61.90255.248+6.6541.12044
JTo, rainbow, ten or higher69.93855.248+14.6901.26589
JTo, rainbow, nine or lower38.79355.248-16.4550.70216
JTo, two-tone60.65555.248+5.4071.09787
JTo, monotone59.98855.248+4.7401.08579
JTo, paired62.80555.248+7.5571.13678
75s, all flops38.09843.676-5.5780.87229
75s, rainbow, ten or higher30.06243.676-13.6140.68830
75s, rainbow, nine or lower61.20743.676+17.5311.40139
75s, two-tone39.34543.676-4.3310.90084
75s, monotone40.01243.676-3.6640.91611
75s, paired37.19543.676-6.4810.85161

Does a shared suit matter?

The suit split reads 62.63% for JTo with a shared suit and 61.18% without one. JTo does better with a shared suit, by 1.45 points.

JTo against 75s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsJTo winsTies75s winsJTo equity
Share a suit2450.0062.0321.18836.78062.626
No shared suit2450.0060.6271.10238.27161.178

How often this matchup comes up

JTo against 75s is made up of 48 specific-card matchups in one seat order, 0.0030% of the 1,624,350 ordered deals, and 96 counting both seat orders, 0.0059%.

A worked example

A $100 all-in from each player makes a $200 pot, and the exact equity says JTo gets $123.80 of it on average and 75s gets $76.20.

Think in thousands: about 613 of 1,000 go to JTo, about 375 go to 75s, and about 12 are chopped.

The same matchup from the other side

If you came looking for 75s against JTo, the numbers are the same with the hands swapped: 38.10% and 61.90%.

JsTh against 7d5d is a ready-made deal for the calculator, with no suit in common between the hands. The neighboring matchups below replace one hand with another of similar strength.

How this was computed

The figures are counted, not estimated: 1,712,304 boards for every suit pattern of the 48 specific deals, with both seven-card hands compared each time. Equity gives half a win for a tie. For the flop rows, a board is counted once under each of the ten flops inside it.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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