JTs
64.81%
Wins 64.24%, ties 1.13%
86s
35.19%
Wins 34.63%, ties 1.13%
JTs against 86s: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JTs | 64.244 | 1.129 | 34.627 | 64.809 |
| 86s | 34.627 | 1.129 | 64.244 | 35.191 |
JTs and 86s are both suited hands. The two hands share no rank, which makes this a pure matchup of card strength, straight chances and flush chances.
A 29.62 point lead is real, and 86s still takes about 346 of every 1,000 deals outright. Split pots make up 1.13% of the boards, and both equity figures count them as half a win each.
Ranked by equity against a random hand, JTs is number 45 of the 169 starting hands and 86s is number 110.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| JTs | 17,601,000 | 309,000 | 9,487,000 |
| 86s | 9,487,000 | 309,000 | 17,601,000 |
The total is exact: 16 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards. The three counts are approximate, worked out from the percentages to five decimals and rounded to the nearest thousand.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JTs | 1.842 | 1.557 | 2.888 | 0.543 |
| 86s | 0.543 | 2.888 | 1.557 | 1.842 |
The last column is the break-even price: the pot odds a call needs to offer, as a ratio of pot to call.
Who is ahead on which flops
Across the five flop textures JTs' equity moves by 28.78 points, from 42.71% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) to 71.49% on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better. On low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) the numbers flip and 86s is the one ahead.
| Flop | Share of flops | JTs wins | Ties | 86s wins | JTs equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 24.595 | 71.193 | 0.587 | 28.220 | 71.487 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 6.314 | 42.491 | 0.445 | 57.064 | 42.714 |
| Two-tone | 46.727 | 64.139 | 0.519 | 35.342 | 64.398 |
| Monotone | 5.273 | 59.946 | 3.586 | 36.468 | 61.739 |
| Paired | 17.091 | 63.894 | 3.072 | 33.034 | 65.430 |
Read the flop types this way: rainbow has three suits, two-tone has two cards of one suit, monotone has three, and paired repeats a rank.
Compared with a random hand
Start from the random-hand figures, 57.53% for JTs and 46.24% for 86s. This opponent changes them by +7.28 and -11.05 points.
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JTs, all flops | 64.809 | 57.528 | +7.281 | 1.12656 |
| JTs, rainbow, ten or higher | 71.487 | 57.528 | +13.959 | 1.24265 |
| JTs, rainbow, nine or lower | 42.714 | 57.528 | -14.814 | 0.74249 |
| JTs, two-tone | 64.398 | 57.528 | +6.870 | 1.11942 |
| JTs, monotone | 61.739 | 57.528 | +4.211 | 1.07320 |
| JTs, paired | 65.430 | 57.528 | +7.902 | 1.13736 |
| 86s, all flops | 35.191 | 46.243 | -11.052 | 0.76100 |
| 86s, rainbow, ten or higher | 28.513 | 46.243 | -17.730 | 0.61659 |
| 86s, rainbow, nine or lower | 57.286 | 46.243 | +11.043 | 1.23880 |
| 86s, two-tone | 35.602 | 46.243 | -10.641 | 0.76989 |
| 86s, monotone | 38.261 | 46.243 | -7.982 | 0.82739 |
| 86s, paired | 34.570 | 46.243 | -11.673 | 0.74757 |
Does a shared suit matter?
When the hands share a suit, JTs holds 67.34%; when they do not, it holds 63.97%. JTs does better with a shared suit, by 3.37 points.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | JTs wins | Ties | 86s wins | JTs equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 4 | 25.00 | 66.722 | 1.238 | 32.040 | 67.341 |
| No shared suit | 12 | 75.00 | 63.418 | 1.093 | 35.489 | 63.965 |
How often this matchup comes up
This page stands for 16 specific-card matchups (0.0010% of 1,624,350 ordered deals), or 32 once you count the seats both ways (0.0020%).
A worked example
Worked example: both players commit $100, so $200 sits in the middle. Over every board, JTs' average share is $129.62 (a gain of $29.62) and 86s' is $70.38 (a loss of $29.62).
In 1,000 deals of exactly this matchup, expect about 643 won outright by JTs, about 346 won outright by 86s and about 11 split.
The same matchup from the other side
86s versus JTs is this same page seen from the other hand: 35.19% for 86s, 64.81% for JTs.
Keep exploring
Try JsTs against 8h6h in the calculator: the hands share no suit, and every card can be changed. The links after it are the closest matchups in the ranking.
How this was computed
We counted every case. Each suit pattern of the 16 specific JTs against 86s deals meets all 1,712,304 boards, and the better five-card hand wins; a split pot is half a win each. The flop table reads each board under all ten of its three-card flops.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
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