JTs
30.78%
Wins 28.93%, ties 3.68%
QTo
69.22%
Wins 67.39%, ties 3.68%
JTs against QTo: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JTs | 28.933 | 3.684 | 67.383 | 30.775 |
| QTo | 67.383 | 3.684 | 28.933 | 69.225 |
JTs is a suited hand and QTo is an offsuit hand. The two hands share a rank, and the one with the better other card dominates: it wins most kicker battles when that shared rank hits.
That is a clear edge, 69.22% to 30.78%, but JTs still wins often enough that one hand proves nothing. Ties are 3.68% of the outcomes here; each tied board gives both hands half the pot.
Among the 169 starting hands, JTs is number 45 and QTo is number 47 by strength against a random hand.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| JTs | 17,835,000 | 2,271,000 | 41,537,000 |
| QTo | 41,537,000 | 2,271,000 | 17,835,000 |
36 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards gives the exact total. The won, tied and lost counts are approximations from the five-decimal percentages, rounded to the nearest thousand.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JTs | 0.445 | 3.456 | 1.484 | 2.249 |
| QTo | 2.249 | 1.484 | 3.456 | 0.445 |
The final column gives the least the pot must offer for each unit called for a call to break even at this equity.
Who is ahead on which flops
Split by what the flop looks like, QTo peaks at 78.37% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) and bottoms out at 64.88% on monotone flops. QTo stays ahead on all five textures.
| Flop | Share of flops | JTs wins | Ties | QTo wins | JTs equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 23.177 | 29.493 | 3.702 | 66.805 | 31.344 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 7.771 | 21.115 | 1.033 | 77.852 | 21.631 |
| Two-tone | 46.527 | 30.901 | 2.892 | 66.207 | 32.347 |
| Monotone | 5.192 | 32.975 | 4.300 | 62.725 | 35.125 |
| Paired | 17.333 | 25.195 | 6.792 | 68.013 | 28.591 |
A rainbow flop shows three suits, a two-tone flop repeats one suit, a monotone flop is a single suit, and a paired flop repeats a rank.
Compared with a random hand
How much does the opponent matter? Compared with its random-hand 57.53%, JTs changes by -26.75 points, and QTo, from 57.29%, by +11.93.
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JTs, all flops | 30.775 | 57.528 | -26.753 | 0.53496 |
| JTs, rainbow, ten or higher | 31.344 | 57.528 | -26.184 | 0.54485 |
| JTs, rainbow, nine or lower | 21.631 | 57.528 | -35.897 | 0.37601 |
| JTs, two-tone | 32.347 | 57.528 | -25.181 | 0.56228 |
| JTs, monotone | 35.125 | 57.528 | -22.403 | 0.61057 |
| JTs, paired | 28.591 | 57.528 | -28.937 | 0.49699 |
| QTo, all flops | 69.225 | 57.291 | +11.934 | 1.20830 |
| QTo, rainbow, ten or higher | 68.656 | 57.291 | +11.365 | 1.19837 |
| QTo, rainbow, nine or lower | 78.369 | 57.291 | +21.078 | 1.36791 |
| QTo, two-tone | 67.653 | 57.291 | +10.362 | 1.18087 |
| QTo, monotone | 64.875 | 57.291 | +7.584 | 1.13238 |
| QTo, paired | 71.409 | 57.291 | +14.118 | 1.24643 |
Does a shared suit matter?
Two kinds of deal exist here. In 12 of them the hands share a suit and QTo holds 70.17%. In 24 they do not, and it holds 68.75%. QTo does better with a shared suit, by 1.42 points.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | JTs wins | Ties | QTo wins | JTs equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 12 | 33.33 | 27.936 | 3.782 | 68.282 | 29.827 |
| No shared suit | 24 | 66.67 | 29.431 | 3.636 | 66.933 | 31.249 |
How often this matchup comes up
Out of 1,624,350 ways to deal two seats two cards each, 36 are JTs in one seat and QTo in the other (0.0022%); with the seats swapped too, 72 (0.0044%).
A worked example
Try it with money: two players each put in $100 and the whole board runs out every possible way. QTo averages $138.44 from the $200, up $38.44; JTs averages $61.56, down $38.44.
Run 1,000 deals and the tally comes out near 674 for QTo, 289 for JTs and 37 ties.
The same matchup from the other side
If you came looking for QTo against JTs, the numbers are the same with the hands swapped: 69.22% and 30.78%.
Keep exploring
JsTs against QhTd is a ready-made deal for the calculator, with no suit in common between the hands. The neighboring matchups below replace one hand with another of similar strength.
How this was computed
All 1,712,304 five-card boards are dealt for every suit pattern among the 36 specific deals of JTs against QTo, and both hands are scored on each. That is a full count, so the percentages are exact. Ties are half a win each, and each board appears once per flop it contains.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
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