K9o vs 43s: preflop equity

If K9o and 43s get all the chips in before the flop, K9o owns 60.68% of the pot in the long run and 43s owns 39.32%.

K9o

60.68%

Wins 60.31%, ties 0.73%

43s

39.32%

Wins 38.96%, ties 0.73%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

K9o against 43s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for K9o against 43s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
K9o60.3130.73438.95360.680
43s38.9530.73460.31339.320

The matchup pits an offsuit hand against a suited hand. The two hands share no rank, which makes this a pure matchup of card strength, straight chances and flush chances.

K9o is ahead, but 43s is far from dead: it takes 390 of every 1,000 deals outright. Ties are part of the picture: 0.73% of boards end in a split pot, and each side counts that as half a win.

Ranked by equity against a random hand, K9o is number 40 of the 169 starting hands and 43s is number 150.

Boards behind the percentages: 82,190,592 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
K9o49,572,000603,00032,016,000
43s32,016,000603,00049,572,000

48 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards gives the exact total. The won, tied and lost counts are approximations from the five-decimal percentages, rounded to the nearest thousand.

K9o against 43s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
K9o1.5431.6582.5670.648
43s0.6482.5671.6581.543

The last column is the break-even price: the pot odds a call needs to offer, as a ratio of pot to call.

Who is ahead on which flops

K9o prefers rainbow flops topped by a ten or better, where it holds 65.20%, and likes low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) least, where it holds 47.35%. On low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) the numbers flip and 43s is the one ahead.

K9o against 43s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsK9o winsTies43s winsK9o equity
Rainbow, ten or higher25.34165.0140.36634.62065.197
Rainbow, nine or lower5.68946.8800.93052.19047.345
Two-tone46.66758.8250.43940.73659.045
Monotone5.21257.5082.63339.85958.825
Paired17.09162.7301.44435.82663.452

Rainbow flops have three suits, two-tone flops repeat one suit, monotone flops are all one suit, and paired flops repeat a rank.

Compared with a random hand

Each hand has a baseline against a random hand: 57.81% for K9o, 38.64% for 43s. Here the change is +2.87 and +0.68 points.

K9o and 43s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
K9o, all flops60.68057.812+2.8681.04961
K9o, rainbow, ten or higher65.19757.812+7.3851.12774
K9o, rainbow, nine or lower47.34557.812-10.4670.81895
K9o, two-tone59.04557.812+1.2331.02133
K9o, monotone58.82557.812+1.0131.01752
K9o, paired63.45257.812+5.6401.09756
43s, all flops39.32038.642+0.6781.01755
43s, rainbow, ten or higher34.80338.642-3.8390.90065
43s, rainbow, nine or lower52.65538.642+14.0131.36264
43s, two-tone40.95538.642+2.3131.05986
43s, monotone41.17538.642+2.5331.06555
43s, paired36.54838.642-2.0940.94581

Does a shared suit matter?

Two kinds of deal exist here. In 24 of them the hands share a suit and K9o holds 61.40%. In 24 they do not, and it holds 59.97%. K9o does better with a shared suit, by 1.43 points.

K9o against 43s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsK9o winsTies43s winsK9o equity
Share a suit2450.0061.0090.77238.21961.395
No shared suit2450.0059.6160.69739.68759.965

How often this matchup comes up

Exactly 48 specific deals fit this matchup in one seat order, which is 0.0030% of 1,624,350; both orders together give 96, or 0.0059%.

A worked example

Try it with money: two players each put in $100 and the whole board runs out every possible way. K9o averages $121.36 from the $200, up $21.36; 43s averages $78.64, down $21.36.

Per 1,000 deals: K9o wins about 603, 43s wins about 390, and about 7 end in a split pot.

The same matchup from the other side

43s versus K9o is this same page seen from the other hand: 39.32% for 43s, 60.68% for K9o.

The calculator link fills in Ks9h against 4d3d, a deal where the two hands share no suit. Change any card to test your own hand. The neighboring matchups below swap one of the two hands for one of similar strength.

How this was computed

The figures are counted, not estimated: 1,712,304 boards for every suit pattern of the 48 specific deals, with both seven-card hands compared each time. Equity gives half a win for a tie. For the flop rows, a board is counted once under each of the ten flops inside it.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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