K9o vs 53s: preflop equity

Averaged over every possible board, K9o is ahead of 53s by 20.42 points of equity, 60.21% to 39.79%.

K9o

60.21%

Wins 59.85%, ties 0.72%

53s

39.79%

Wins 39.43%, ties 0.72%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

K9o against 53s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for K9o against 53s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
K9o59.8480.72239.43060.209
53s39.4300.72259.84839.791

We compare an offsuit hand with a suited hand. With no overlap in ranks, every card that pairs one hand is a card that does not pair the other.

A 20.42 point lead is real, and 53s still takes about 394 of every 1,000 deals outright. The tie share is 0.72%: on those boards the pot is chopped and neither hand wins outright.

Among the 169 starting hands, K9o is number 40 and 53s is number 146 by strength against a random hand.

Boards behind the percentages: 82,190,592 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
K9o49,189,000593,00032,408,000
53s32,408,000593,00049,189,000

Exact total: 48 deals times 1,712,304 boards. The other three counts come from the five-decimal percentages and are rounded to the nearest thousand, so read them as approximate.

K9o against 53s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
K9o1.5131.6712.5360.661
53s0.6612.5361.6711.513

The last column is the smallest pot odds, written as a pot-to-call ratio, at which a call breaks even with this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

K9o prefers rainbow flops topped by a ten or better, where it holds 64.97%, and likes low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) least, where it holds 45.35%. The overall edge for K9o hides low rainbow flops (nine high or lower), where 53s comes out in front.

K9o against 53s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsK9o winsTies53s winsK9o equity
Rainbow, ten or higher25.34164.7840.36634.85064.967
Rainbow, nine or lower5.68944.9170.86554.21845.350
Two-tone46.66758.3380.43041.23258.553
Monotone5.21257.1682.56740.26558.451
Paired17.09162.4381.44036.12263.158

Rainbow flops have three suits, two-tone flops repeat one suit, monotone flops are all one suit, and paired flops repeat a rank.

Compared with a random hand

Against one random hand instead, K9o holds 57.81% and 53s holds 39.69%. Facing each other changes that by +2.40 points for K9o and +0.10 points for 53s.

K9o and 53s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
K9o, all flops60.20957.812+2.3971.04146
K9o, rainbow, ten or higher64.96757.812+7.1551.12376
K9o, rainbow, nine or lower45.35057.812-12.4620.78444
K9o, two-tone58.55357.812+0.7411.01282
K9o, monotone58.45157.812+0.6391.01105
K9o, paired63.15857.812+5.3461.09247
53s, all flops39.79139.693+0.0981.00247
53s, rainbow, ten or higher35.03339.693-4.6600.88260
53s, rainbow, nine or lower54.65039.693+14.9571.37682
53s, two-tone41.44739.693+1.7541.04419
53s, monotone41.54939.693+1.8561.04676
53s, paired36.84239.693-2.8510.92817

Does a shared suit matter?

Two kinds of deal exist here. In 24 of them the hands share a suit and K9o holds 60.92%. In 24 they do not, and it holds 59.50%. K9o does better with a shared suit, by 1.42 points.

K9o against 53s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsK9o winsTies53s winsK9o equity
Share a suit2450.0060.5340.76238.70460.915
No shared suit2450.0059.1610.68240.15759.502

How often this matchup comes up

The class pair covers 48 combinations of specific cards in a fixed seat order, 0.0030% of 1,624,350, and 96 (0.0059%) in either order.

A worked example

Say each player puts $100 in before the flop, making a $200 pot. On average K9o takes back $120.42 of it, which is $20.42 more than it put in, and 53s takes back $79.58, $20.42 less than it put in.

In 1,000 deals of exactly this matchup, expect about 599 won outright by K9o, about 394 won outright by 53s and about 7 split.

The same matchup from the other side

Read it from the other side: 53s against K9o is the same matchup with the numbers swapped, so 53s holds 39.79% and K9o holds 60.21%. That address sends you back to this page.

Try Ks9h against 5d3d in the calculator: the hands share no suit, and every card can be changed. The links after it are the closest matchups in the ranking.

How this was computed

Each figure is a complete count over boards. Take the 48 specific deals, group them by suit pattern, deal all 1,712,304 boards against each, and compare the two seven-card hands. Equity counts a tie as half a win; the flop rows use every one of a board's ten flops.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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