KJs vs Q9s: preflop equity

The exact count puts KJs at 62.77% and Q9s at 37.23% when the two hands see all five board cards.

KJs

62.77%

Wins 62.41%, ties 0.71%

Q9s

37.23%

Wins 36.88%, ties 0.71%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

KJs against Q9s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for KJs against Q9s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
KJs62.4100.71336.87762.767
Q9s36.8770.71362.41037.233

Two suited hands meet here: KJs against Q9s. With no overlap in ranks, every card that pairs one hand is a card that does not pair the other.

A 25.54 point lead is real, and Q9s still takes about 369 of every 1,000 deals outright. Ties are 0.71% of the outcomes here; each tied board gives both hands half the pot.

By strength against a random hand, KJs holds place 20 of 169 and Q9s holds place 43.

Boards behind the percentages: 27,396,864 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
KJs17,098,000195,00010,103,000
Q9s10,103,000195,00017,098,000

The board total is exact, 16 deals at 1,712,304 boards each. Won, tied and lost counts are rounded to the nearest thousand from the five-decimal percentages.

KJs against Q9s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
KJs1.6861.6022.7120.593
Q9s0.5932.7121.6021.686

The last column is the break-even price: the pot odds a call needs to offer, as a ratio of pot to call.

Who is ahead on which flops

If you know the kind of flop that came, the numbers shift: KJs holds 65.25% on paired flops and 58.06% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower). KJs stays ahead on all five textures.

KJs against Q9s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsKJs winsTiesQ9s winsKJs equity
Rainbow, ten or higher23.86764.4760.25635.26864.604
Rainbow, nine or lower7.04257.5950.92541.48058.057
Two-tone46.72761.8180.36437.81862.000
Monotone5.27357.7453.47238.78359.481
Paired17.09164.5691.36734.06465.253

A rainbow flop shows three suits, a two-tone flop repeats one suit, a monotone flop is a single suit, and a paired flop repeats a rank.

Compared with a random hand

How much does the opponent matter? Compared with its random-hand 62.57%, KJs changes by +0.20 points, and Q9s, from 57.66%, by -20.43.

KJs and Q9s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
KJs, all flops62.76762.567+0.2001.00320
KJs, rainbow, ten or higher64.60462.567+2.0371.03256
KJs, rainbow, nine or lower58.05762.567-4.5100.92792
KJs, two-tone62.00062.567-0.5670.99094
KJs, monotone59.48162.567-3.0860.95068
KJs, paired65.25362.567+2.6861.04293
Q9s, all flops37.23357.664-20.4310.64569
Q9s, rainbow, ten or higher35.39657.664-22.2680.61383
Q9s, rainbow, nine or lower41.94357.664-15.7210.72737
Q9s, two-tone38.00057.664-19.6640.65899
Q9s, monotone40.51957.664-17.1450.70267
Q9s, paired34.74757.664-22.9170.60258

Does a shared suit matter?

Split by suits, the deals give KJs 65.20% when the hands overlap in a suit and 61.96% when they do not. KJs does better with a shared suit, by 3.24 points.

KJs against Q9s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsKJs winsTiesQ9s winsKJs equity
Share a suit425.0064.8020.80134.39765.203
No shared suit1275.0061.6130.68437.70361.955

How often this matchup comes up

This page stands for 16 specific-card matchups (0.0010% of 1,624,350 ordered deals), or 32 once you count the seats both ways (0.0020%).

A worked example

Put $100 each into a $200 pot and deal every board once: KJs averages $125.54 back, ahead of its $100 by $25.54, while Q9s averages $74.46, short of its $100 by $25.54.

Scaled to 1,000 deals, that is roughly 624 wins for KJs, 369 for Q9s and 7 chopped pots.

The same matchup from the other side

The mirror image, Q9s against KJs, is 37.23% to 62.77%, and its address redirects to this page.

The calculator link fills in KsJs against Qh9h, a deal where the two hands share no suit. Change any card to test your own hand. The neighboring matchups below swap one of the two hands for one of similar strength.

How this was computed

We counted every case. Each suit pattern of the 16 specific KJs against Q9s deals meets all 1,712,304 boards, and the better five-card hand wins; a split pot is half a win each. The flop table reads each board under all ten of its three-card flops.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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