KK
80.92%
Wins 80.70%, ties 0.45%
44
19.08%
Wins 18.85%, ties 0.45%
KK against 44: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KK | 80.699 | 0.451 | 18.850 | 80.924 |
| 44 | 18.850 | 0.451 | 80.699 | 19.076 |
The matchup is pocket pairs on both sides, KK against 44. Both hands are pairs, so the bigger pair is ahead on every board that does not pair a card below it.
KK is a big favorite here before anyone sees a flop. The tie share is 0.45%: on those boards the pot is chopped and neither hand wins outright.
For context, KK sits at number 2 of 169 starting hands and 44 at number 48 when each is run against a random hand.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| KK | 49,745,000 | 278,000 | 11,620,000 |
| 44 | 11,620,000 | 278,000 | 49,745,000 |
The board total is exact, 36 deals at 1,712,304 boards each. Won, tied and lost counts are rounded to the nearest thousand from the five-decimal percentages.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KK | 4.242 | 1.239 | 5.305 | 0.236 |
| 44 | 0.236 | 5.305 | 1.239 | 4.242 |
The last column is the break-even price: the pot odds a call needs to offer, as a ratio of pot to call.
Who is ahead on which flops
Break the boards down by their first three cards and KK is strongest on paired flops (86.75%) and weakest on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) (66.78%). KK stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal.
| Flop | Share of flops | KK wins | Ties | 44 wins | KK equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 24.595 | 83.653 | 0.255 | 16.092 | 83.781 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 6.314 | 66.210 | 1.137 | 32.653 | 66.779 |
| Two-tone | 46.363 | 79.535 | 0.417 | 20.048 | 79.744 |
| Monotone | 5.152 | 74.366 | 2.051 | 23.583 | 75.392 |
| Paired | 17.576 | 86.695 | 0.100 | 13.205 | 86.745 |
A rainbow flop shows three suits, a two-tone flop repeats one suit, a monotone flop is a single suit, and a paired flop repeats a rank.
Compared with a random hand
Each hand has a baseline against a random hand: 82.40% for KK, 57.02% for 44. Here the change is -1.48 and -37.94 points.
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KK, all flops | 80.924 | 82.396 | -1.472 | 0.98214 |
| KK, rainbow, ten or higher | 83.781 | 82.396 | +1.385 | 1.01681 |
| KK, rainbow, nine or lower | 66.779 | 82.396 | -15.617 | 0.81046 |
| KK, two-tone | 79.744 | 82.396 | -2.652 | 0.96781 |
| KK, monotone | 75.392 | 82.396 | -7.004 | 0.91500 |
| KK, paired | 86.745 | 82.396 | +4.349 | 1.05278 |
| 44, all flops | 19.076 | 57.023 | -37.947 | 0.33453 |
| 44, rainbow, ten or higher | 16.219 | 57.023 | -40.804 | 0.28443 |
| 44, rainbow, nine or lower | 33.221 | 57.023 | -23.802 | 0.58259 |
| 44, two-tone | 20.256 | 57.023 | -36.767 | 0.35523 |
| 44, monotone | 24.608 | 57.023 | -32.415 | 0.43155 |
| 44, paired | 13.255 | 57.023 | -43.768 | 0.23245 |
Does a shared suit matter?
Looking only at deals where the hands share a suit, KK has 81.06%; looking only at deals where they do not, 80.27%. KK does better with a shared suit, by 0.79 points.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | KK wins | Ties | 44 wins | KK equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 30 | 83.33 | 80.824 | 0.465 | 18.711 | 81.056 |
| No shared suit | 6 | 16.67 | 80.073 | 0.384 | 19.543 | 80.265 |
How often this matchup comes up
How often does it happen? 36 of the 1,624,350 ordered deals (0.0022%) are KK against 44, and 72 (0.0044%) if either hand may sit in either seat.
A worked example
Worked example: both players commit $100, so $200 sits in the middle. Over every board, KK's average share is $161.84 (a gain of $61.84) and 44's is $38.16 (a loss of $61.84).
Over a long run, 1,000 deals split into about 807 for KK, 188 for 44 and 5 tied.
The same matchup from the other side
The reversed view, 44 against KK, shows 19.08% for 44 and 80.92% for KK. It is the same count, so it redirects here.
Keep exploring
KsKh against 4d4c is a ready-made deal for the calculator, with no suit in common between the hands. The neighboring matchups below replace one hand with another of similar strength.
How this was computed
The page is built from a full enumeration: 1,712,304 boards, every suit pattern of the 36 specific deals, both seven-card hands evaluated. A tie is worth half a win to each hand, and a board is tallied under each of its ten possible flops for the texture rows.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
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