80.96%
Wins 80.74%, ties 0.44%
44
19.04%
Wins 18.82%, ties 0.44%
QQ against 44: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80.739 | 0.440 | 18.821 | 80.959 | |
| 44 | 18.821 | 0.440 | 80.739 | 19.041 |
Here pocket pairs face each other, QQ on one side and 44 on the other. Two pairs against each other is a one-way street: the lower pair needs one of its two remaining cards.
QQ is a big favorite here before anyone sees a flop. A split pot comes up on 0.44% of boards, so the wins and the equity differ by half of that.
Among the 169 starting hands, QQ is number 3 and 44 is number 48 by strength against a random hand.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49,770,000 | 271,000 | 11,602,000 | |
| 44 | 11,602,000 | 271,000 | 49,770,000 |
Exact total: 36 deals times 1,712,304 boards. The other three counts come from the five-decimal percentages and are rounded to the nearest thousand, so read them as approximate.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.252 | 1.239 | 5.313 | 0.235 | |
| 44 | 0.235 | 5.313 | 1.239 | 4.252 |
In the last column, a pot-to-call ratio at or above the figure makes a call break even or better at this equity.
Who is ahead on which flops
Break the boards down by their first three cards and QQ is strongest on paired flops (86.70%) and weakest on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) (66.81%). QQ stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal.
| Flop | Share of flops | QQ wins | Ties | 44 wins | QQ equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 24.595 | 83.731 | 0.219 | 16.050 | 83.840 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 6.314 | 66.264 | 1.101 | 32.635 | 66.814 |
| Two-tone | 46.363 | 79.604 | 0.383 | 20.013 | 79.796 |
| Monotone | 5.152 | 74.416 | 2.027 | 23.557 | 75.430 |
| Paired | 17.576 | 86.602 | 0.193 | 13.205 | 86.698 |
Read the flop types this way: rainbow has three suits, two-tone has two cards of one suit, monotone has three, and paired repeats a rank.
Compared with a random hand
A random hand would give QQ 79.93% and 44 57.02%. Against each other the change is +1.03 points for QQ and -37.98 for 44.
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| QQ, all flops | 80.959 | 79.925 | +1.034 | 1.01294 |
| QQ, rainbow, ten or higher | 83.840 | 79.925 | +3.915 | 1.04898 |
| QQ, rainbow, nine or lower | 66.814 | 79.925 | -13.111 | 0.83596 |
| QQ, two-tone | 79.796 | 79.925 | -0.129 | 0.99839 |
| QQ, monotone | 75.430 | 79.925 | -4.495 | 0.94376 |
| QQ, paired | 86.698 | 79.925 | +6.773 | 1.08474 |
| 44, all flops | 19.041 | 57.023 | -37.982 | 0.33392 |
| 44, rainbow, ten or higher | 16.160 | 57.023 | -40.863 | 0.28339 |
| 44, rainbow, nine or lower | 33.186 | 57.023 | -23.837 | 0.58198 |
| 44, two-tone | 20.204 | 57.023 | -36.819 | 0.35431 |
| 44, monotone | 24.570 | 57.023 | -32.453 | 0.43088 |
| 44, paired | 13.302 | 57.023 | -43.721 | 0.23327 |
Does a shared suit matter?
Looking only at deals where the hands share a suit, QQ has 81.09%; looking only at deals where they do not, 80.30%. QQ does better with a shared suit, by 0.79 points.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | QQ wins | Ties | 44 wins | QQ equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 30 | 83.33 | 80.865 | 0.453 | 18.682 | 81.091 |
| No shared suit | 6 | 16.67 | 80.113 | 0.372 | 19.515 | 80.299 |
How often this matchup comes up
This page stands for 36 specific-card matchups (0.0022% of 1,624,350 ordered deals), or 72 once you count the seats both ways (0.0044%).
A worked example
Worked example: both players commit $100, so $200 sits in the middle. Over every board, QQ's average share is $161.92 (a gain of $61.92) and 44's is $38.08 (a loss of $61.92).
Per 1,000 deals: QQ wins about 807, 44 wins about 188, and about 5 end in a split pot.
The same matchup from the other side
One page covers both views. From 44's side the equity is 19.04%, and from QQ's side it is 80.96%.
Keep exploring
Open the calculator with QsQh against 4d4c already entered, a deal with no shared suit, and change any card to try your own hand. The matchups after it each swap one hand for a nearby one in the ranking.
How this was computed
We counted every case. Each suit pattern of the 36 specific QQ against 44 deals meets all 1,712,304 boards, and the better five-card hand wins; a split pot is half a win each. The flop table reads each board under all ten of its three-card flops.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
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