KK vs 77: preflop equity

If KK and 77 get all the chips in before the flop, KK owns 80.47% of the pot in the long run and 77 owns 19.53%.

KK

80.47%

Wins 80.30%, ties 0.35%

77

19.53%

Wins 19.35%, ties 0.35%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

KK against 77: the numbers

Exact preflop results for KK against 77, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
KK80.2960.35319.35180.473
7719.3510.35380.29619.527

KK meets 77, and both are pocket pairs. Two pairs against each other is a one-way street: the lower pair needs one of its two remaining cards.

That is a heavy lead: 77 needs the board to help it on most runouts and still falls behind far more often than not. About 0.35% of boards chop the pot, which is why equity sits slightly above the win figure for both hands.

KK ranks number 2 of 169 starting hands, and 77 ranks number 9, by equity against a random hand.

Boards behind the percentages: 61,642,944 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
KK49,497,000218,00011,929,000
7711,929,000218,00049,497,000

The total is exact: 36 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards. The three counts are approximate, worked out from the percentages to five decimals and rounded to the nearest thousand.

KK against 77 read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
KK4.1211.2455.1680.243
770.2435.1681.2454.121

The final column gives the least the pot must offer for each unit called for a call to break even at this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

Break the boards down by their first three cards and KK is strongest on paired flops (86.37%) and weakest on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) (66.43%). KK stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal.

KK against 77 by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsKK winsTies77 winsKK equity
Rainbow, ten or higher24.59583.1650.21416.62183.272
Rainbow, nine or lower6.31466.0440.76433.19266.426
Two-tone46.36379.1260.31420.56079.283
Monotone5.15274.0481.72224.23074.909
Paired17.57686.3210.10013.57986.371

Flop types: rainbow means three different suits, two-tone means one suit twice, monotone means one suit three times, paired means a repeated rank.

Compared with a random hand

Relative to a random opponent, KK changes by -1.93 points (baseline 82.40%) and 77 by -46.71 points (baseline 66.24%).

KK and 77 here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
KK, all flops80.47382.396-1.9230.97666
KK, rainbow, ten or higher83.27282.396+0.8761.01063
KK, rainbow, nine or lower66.42682.396-15.9700.80618
KK, two-tone79.28382.396-3.1130.96222
KK, monotone74.90982.396-7.4870.90913
KK, paired86.37182.396+3.9751.04824
77, all flops19.52766.236-46.7090.29481
77, rainbow, ten or higher16.72866.236-49.5080.25255
77, rainbow, nine or lower33.57466.236-32.6620.50688
77, two-tone20.71766.236-45.5190.31278
77, monotone25.09166.236-41.1450.37881
77, paired13.62966.236-52.6070.20576

Does a shared suit matter?

Split by suits, the deals give KK 80.60% when the hands overlap in a suit and 79.81% when they do not. KK does better with a shared suit, by 0.79 points.

KK against 77 by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsKK winsTies77 winsKK equity
Share a suit3083.3380.4200.36919.21180.604
No shared suit616.6779.6780.27320.04979.814

How often this matchup comes up

KK against 77 is made up of 36 specific-card matchups in one seat order, 0.0022% of the 1,624,350 ordered deals, and 72 counting both seat orders, 0.0044%.

A worked example

Take a $200 pot built from $100 each. KK's equity of 80.47% is worth $160.94, a $60.94 edge, and 77's 19.53% is worth $39.06, which is $60.94 under its stake.

A thousand deals look like this: KK takes 803, 77 takes 193, 4 are ties.

The same matchup from the other side

77 versus KK is this same page seen from the other hand: 19.53% for 77, 80.47% for KK.

KsKh against 7d7c is a ready-made deal for the calculator, with no suit in common between the hands. The neighboring matchups below replace one hand with another of similar strength.

How this was computed

Each figure is a complete count over boards. Take the 36 specific deals, group them by suit pattern, deal all 1,712,304 boards against each, and compare the two seven-card hands. Equity counts a tie as half a win; the flop rows use every one of a board's ten flops.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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