KK vs AJs: preflop equity

Counting every board, the equity split is 67.79% for KK and 32.21% for AJs, so KK leads by 35.58 points.

KK

67.79%

Wins 67.58%, ties 0.42%

AJs

32.21%

Wins 32.00%, ties 0.42%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

KK against AJs: the numbers

Exact preflop results for KK against AJs, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
KK67.5810.42331.99667.793
AJs31.9960.42367.58132.207

One side is a pocket pair, the other is a suited hand. The pair is ahead of one card and behind the other, so the board decides how that plays out.

KK is well ahead, and AJs needs a specific kind of board to catch up. About 0.42% of boards chop the pot, which is why equity sits slightly above the win figure for both hands.

The hand ranking puts KK at 2 and AJs at 11 out of 169 starting hands.

Boards behind the percentages: 41,095,296 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
KK27,773,000174,00013,149,000
AJs13,149,000174,00027,773,000

24 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards gives the exact total. The won, tied and lost counts are approximations from the five-decimal percentages, rounded to the nearest thousand.

KK against AJs read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
KK2.1051.4803.1250.475
AJs0.4753.1251.4802.105

The last column is the smallest pot odds, written as a pot-to-call ratio, at which a call breaks even with this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

Across the five flop textures KK's equity moves by 18.35 points, from 63.13% on monotone flops to 81.48% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower). KK stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal.

KK against AJs by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsKK winsTiesAJs winsKK equity
Rainbow, ten or higher23.13864.9470.13234.92165.013
Rainbow, nine or lower7.77180.8771.20917.91481.482
Two-tone46.54565.7150.36533.92065.897
Monotone5.21261.9122.43135.65763.127
Paired17.33471.8530.01028.13771.858

Flop types: rainbow means three different suits, two-tone means one suit twice, monotone means one suit three times, paired means a repeated rank.

Compared with a random hand

A random hand would give KK 82.40% and AJs 65.39%. Against each other the change is -14.61 points for KK and -33.18 for AJs.

KK and AJs here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
KK, all flops67.79382.396-14.6030.82277
KK, rainbow, ten or higher65.01382.396-17.3830.78903
KK, rainbow, nine or lower81.48282.396-0.9140.98891
KK, two-tone65.89782.396-16.4990.79976
KK, monotone63.12782.396-19.2690.76614
KK, paired71.85882.396-10.5380.87211
AJs, all flops32.20765.393-33.1860.49251
AJs, rainbow, ten or higher34.98765.393-30.4060.53503
AJs, rainbow, nine or lower18.51865.393-46.8750.28318
AJs, two-tone34.10365.393-31.2900.52151
AJs, monotone36.87365.393-28.5200.56387
AJs, paired28.14265.393-37.2510.43035

Does a shared suit matter?

When the hands share a suit, KK holds 68.06%; when they do not, it holds 67.52%. KK does better with a shared suit, by 0.54 points.

KK against AJs by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsKK winsTiesAJs winsKK equity
Share a suit1250.0067.8320.46331.70568.064
No shared suit1250.0067.3310.38232.28767.522

How often this matchup comes up

The class pair covers 24 combinations of specific cards in a fixed seat order, 0.0015% of 1,624,350, and 48 (0.0030%) in either order.

A worked example

With $100 from each side, the $200 pot is split on average as $135.58 for KK and $64.42 for AJs; the first side gains $35.58 per all-in and the second gives up $35.58.

Per 1,000 deals: KK wins about 676, AJs wins about 320, and about 4 end in a split pot.

The same matchup from the other side

If you came looking for AJs against KK, the numbers are the same with the hands swapped: 32.21% and 67.79%.

Try KsKh against AdJd in the calculator: the hands share no suit, and every card can be changed. The links after it are the closest matchups in the ranking.

How this was computed

Nothing here is simulated. The 24 deals of KK against AJs fall into a few suit patterns, each dealt against all 1,712,304 boards, with both best five-card hands compared on every board. Ties give each hand half a win, and the flop rows count a board under each of its ten flops.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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