KK vs A3s: preflop equity

The exact count puts KK at 67.39% and A3s at 32.61% when the two hands see all five board cards.

KK

67.39%

Wins 67.16%, ties 0.46%

A3s

32.61%

Wins 32.38%, ties 0.46%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

KK against A3s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for KK against A3s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
KK67.1590.45932.38267.389
A3s32.3820.45967.15932.611

One side is a pocket pair, the other is a suited hand. One of the other hand's cards outranks the pair and one is below it, which makes this a closer race than a pair against two small cards.

That is a clear edge, 67.39% to 32.61%, but A3s still wins often enough that one hand proves nothing. Split pots make up 0.46% of the boards, and both equity figures count them as half a win each.

Ranked by equity against a random hand, KK is number 2 of the 169 starting hands and A3s is number 38.

Boards behind the percentages: 41,095,296 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
KK27,599,000189,00013,307,000
A3s13,307,000189,00027,599,000

Exact total: 24 deals times 1,712,304 boards. The other three counts come from the five-decimal percentages and are rounded to the nearest thousand, so read them as approximate.

KK against A3s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
KK2.0661.4893.0880.484
A3s0.4843.0881.4892.066

In the last column, a pot-to-call ratio at or above the figure makes a call break even or better at this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

By flop texture, KK's equity runs from 62.99% on monotone flops up to 73.97% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower). KK stays ahead on all five textures.

KK against A3s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsKK winsTiesA3s winsKK equity
Rainbow, ten or higher23.86767.1670.19832.63567.266
Rainbow, nine or lower7.04273.3171.29625.38773.965
Two-tone46.54565.3690.40934.22265.574
Monotone5.21261.7602.46535.77562.992
Paired17.33471.0740.01028.91671.079

Rainbow flops have three suits, two-tone flops repeat one suit, monotone flops are all one suit, and paired flops repeat a rank.

Compared with a random hand

How much does the opponent matter? Compared with its random-hand 82.40%, KK changes by -15.01 points, and A3s, from 58.22%, by -25.61.

KK and A3s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
KK, all flops67.38982.396-15.0070.81787
KK, rainbow, ten or higher67.26682.396-15.1300.81637
KK, rainbow, nine or lower73.96582.396-8.4310.89768
KK, two-tone65.57482.396-16.8220.79584
KK, monotone62.99282.396-19.4040.76450
KK, paired71.07982.396-11.3170.86265
A3s, all flops32.61158.220-25.6090.56013
A3s, rainbow, ten or higher32.73458.220-25.4860.56225
A3s, rainbow, nine or lower26.03558.220-32.1850.44718
A3s, two-tone34.42658.220-23.7940.59131
A3s, monotone37.00858.220-21.2120.63566
A3s, paired28.92158.220-29.2990.49675

Does a shared suit matter?

Looking only at deals where the hands share a suit, KK has 67.68%; looking only at deals where they do not, 67.10%. KK does better with a shared suit, by 0.58 points.

KK against A3s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsKK winsTiesA3s winsKK equity
Share a suit1250.0067.4280.50032.07267.678
No shared suit1250.0066.8900.41832.69267.099

How often this matchup comes up

Exactly 24 specific deals fit this matchup in one seat order, which is 0.0015% of 1,624,350; both orders together give 48, or 0.0030%.

A worked example

Try it with money: two players each put in $100 and the whole board runs out every possible way. KK averages $134.78 from the $200, up $34.78; A3s averages $65.22, down $34.78.

Over a long run, 1,000 deals split into about 672 for KK, 324 for A3s and 4 tied.

The same matchup from the other side

A3s against KK adds nothing new: it is 32.61% for A3s and 67.39% for KK, the same figures reversed.

KsKh against Ad3d is a ready-made deal for the calculator, with no suit in common between the hands. The neighboring matchups below replace one hand with another of similar strength.

How this was computed

We counted every case. Each suit pattern of the 24 specific KK against A3s deals meets all 1,712,304 boards, and the better five-card hand wins; a split pot is half a win each. The flop table reads each board under all ten of its three-card flops.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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