KQo
39.98%
Wins 39.71%, ties 0.53%
A2s
60.02%
Wins 59.76%, ties 0.53%
KQo against A2s: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KQo | 39.713 | 0.527 | 59.760 | 39.976 |
| A2s | 59.760 | 0.527 | 39.713 | 60.024 |
The matchup pits an offsuit hand against a suited hand. The two hands share no rank, which makes this a pure matchup of card strength, straight chances and flush chances.
A2s is ahead, but KQo is far from dead: it takes 397 of every 1,000 deals outright. 0.53% of boards are ties, so the equity of each hand is its win rate plus half of that.
Among the 169 starting hands, KQo is number 23 and A2s is number 46 by strength against a random hand.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| KQo | 32,640,000 | 433,000 | 49,117,000 |
| A2s | 49,117,000 | 433,000 | 32,640,000 |
Exact total: 48 deals times 1,712,304 boards. The other three counts come from the five-decimal percentages and are rounded to the nearest thousand, so read them as approximate.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KQo | 0.666 | 2.518 | 1.673 | 1.502 |
| A2s | 1.502 | 1.673 | 2.518 | 0.666 |
In the last column, a pot-to-call ratio at or above the figure makes a call break even or better at this equity.
Who is ahead on which flops
Split by what the flop looks like, A2s peaks at 77.79% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) and bottoms out at 52.35% on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better. A2s stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal.
| Flop | Share of flops | KQo wins | Ties | A2s wins | KQo equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 23.988 | 47.592 | 0.122 | 52.286 | 47.653 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 7.042 | 21.545 | 1.337 | 77.118 | 22.213 |
| Two-tone | 46.667 | 40.110 | 0.361 | 59.529 | 40.290 |
| Monotone | 5.212 | 42.148 | 2.431 | 55.421 | 43.364 |
| Paired | 17.091 | 34.313 | 0.636 | 65.051 | 34.631 |
Rainbow flops have three suits, two-tone flops repeat one suit, monotone flops are all one suit, and paired flops repeat a rank.
Compared with a random hand
Compared with a random opponent, this matchup shifts KQo from 61.46% by -21.48 points and A2s from 57.38% by +2.64 points.
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KQo, all flops | 39.976 | 61.456 | -21.480 | 0.65048 |
| KQo, rainbow, ten or higher | 47.653 | 61.456 | -13.803 | 0.77540 |
| KQo, rainbow, nine or lower | 22.213 | 61.456 | -39.243 | 0.36145 |
| KQo, two-tone | 40.290 | 61.456 | -21.166 | 0.65559 |
| KQo, monotone | 43.364 | 61.456 | -18.092 | 0.70561 |
| KQo, paired | 34.631 | 61.456 | -26.825 | 0.56351 |
| A2s, all flops | 60.024 | 57.379 | +2.645 | 1.04610 |
| A2s, rainbow, ten or higher | 52.347 | 57.379 | -5.032 | 0.91230 |
| A2s, rainbow, nine or lower | 77.787 | 57.379 | +20.408 | 1.35567 |
| A2s, two-tone | 59.710 | 57.379 | +2.331 | 1.04062 |
| A2s, monotone | 56.636 | 57.379 | -0.743 | 0.98705 |
| A2s, paired | 65.369 | 57.379 | +7.990 | 1.13925 |
Does a shared suit matter?
Does suit overlap move the numbers? A2s has 59.69% when the hands share a suit and 60.36% when they do not. A2s does better with no shared suit, by 0.67 points.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | KQo wins | Ties | A2s wins | KQo equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 24 | 50.00 | 40.031 | 0.568 | 59.401 | 40.315 |
| No shared suit | 24 | 50.00 | 39.395 | 0.487 | 60.118 | 39.638 |
How often this matchup comes up
KQo against A2s is made up of 48 specific-card matchups in one seat order, 0.0030% of the 1,624,350 ordered deals, and 96 counting both seat orders, 0.0059%.
A worked example
Worked example: both players commit $100, so $200 sits in the middle. Over every board, A2s' average share is $120.04 (a gain of $20.04) and KQo's is $79.96 (a loss of $20.04).
Out of 1,000 deals you should see around 598 outright wins for A2s, 397 for KQo, and 5 split pots.
The same matchup from the other side
If you came looking for A2s against KQo, the numbers are the same with the hands swapped: 60.02% and 39.98%.
Keep exploring
Try KsQh against Ad2d in the calculator: the hands share no suit, and every card can be changed. The links after it are the closest matchups in the ranking.
How this was computed
Nothing here is simulated. The 48 deals of KQo against A2s fall into a few suit patterns, each dealt against all 1,712,304 boards, with both best five-card hands compared on every board. Ties give each hand half a win, and the flop rows count a board under each of its ten flops.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
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