KQo vs QTo: preflop equity

The exact count puts KQo at 73.80% and QTo at 26.20% when the two hands see all five board cards.

KQo

73.80%

Wins 72.56%, ties 2.49%

QTo

26.20%

Wins 24.95%, ties 2.49%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

KQo against QTo: the numbers

Exact preflop results for KQo against QTo, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
KQo72.5582.48624.95673.801
QTo24.9562.48672.55826.199

This is a contest between two offsuit hands, KQo and QTo. The two hands share a rank, and the one with the better other card dominates: it wins most kicker battles when that shared rank hits.

That is a clear edge, 73.80% to 26.20%, but QTo still wins often enough that one hand proves nothing. Split pots make up 2.49% of the boards, and both equity figures count them as half a win each.

In the ranking of all 169 starting hands, KQo is number 23 and QTo is number 47.

Boards behind the percentages: 184,928,832 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
KQo134,181,0004,597,00046,151,000
QTo46,151,0004,597,000134,181,000

Exact total: 108 deals times 1,712,304 boards. The other three counts come from the five-decimal percentages and are rounded to the nearest thousand, so read them as approximate.

KQo against QTo read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
KQo2.8171.3784.0070.355
QTo0.3554.0071.3782.817

The last column is the break-even price: the pot odds a call needs to offer, as a ratio of pot to call.

Who is ahead on which flops

Low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) are the best for KQo (83.27%); monotone flops are the worst (70.04%). KQo stays ahead on all five textures.

KQo against QTo by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsKQo winsTiesQTo winsKQo equity
Rainbow, ten or higher23.27569.1582.34828.49470.332
Rainbow, nine or lower7.77182.7341.06816.19883.268
Two-tone46.47772.2081.97625.81673.196
Monotone5.14468.5862.91228.50270.042
Paired17.33374.6814.54720.77276.955

Rainbow flops have three suits, two-tone flops repeat one suit, monotone flops are all one suit, and paired flops repeat a rank.

Compared with a random hand

Against one random hand instead, KQo holds 61.46% and QTo holds 57.29%. Facing each other changes that by +12.34 points for KQo and -31.09 points for QTo.

KQo and QTo here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
KQo, all flops73.80161.456+12.3451.20088
KQo, rainbow, ten or higher70.33261.456+8.8761.14443
KQo, rainbow, nine or lower83.26861.456+21.8121.35492
KQo, two-tone73.19661.456+11.7401.19103
KQo, monotone70.04261.456+8.5861.13971
KQo, paired76.95561.456+15.4991.25220
QTo, all flops26.19957.291-31.0920.45730
QTo, rainbow, ten or higher29.66857.291-27.6230.51785
QTo, rainbow, nine or lower16.73257.291-40.5590.29205
QTo, two-tone26.80457.291-30.4870.46786
QTo, monotone29.95857.291-27.3330.52291
QTo, paired23.04557.291-34.2460.40224

Does a shared suit matter?

The suit split reads 73.97% for KQo with a shared suit and 73.21% without one. KQo does better with a shared suit, by 0.76 points.

KQo against QTo by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsKQo winsTiesQTo winsKQo equity
Share a suit8477.7872.7142.51224.77473.970
No shared suit2422.2272.0112.39525.59473.208

How often this matchup comes up

Out of 1,624,350 ways to deal two seats two cards each, 108 are KQo in one seat and QTo in the other (0.0066%); with the seats swapped too, 216 (0.0133%).

A worked example

Worked example: both players commit $100, so $200 sits in the middle. Over every board, KQo's average share is $147.60 (a gain of $47.60) and QTo's is $52.40 (a loss of $47.60).

In 1,000 deals of exactly this matchup, expect about 726 won outright by KQo, about 249 won outright by QTo and about 25 split.

The same matchup from the other side

QTo against KQo adds nothing new: it is 26.20% for QTo and 73.80% for KQo, the same figures reversed.

KsQh against QdTc is a ready-made deal for the calculator, with no suit in common between the hands. The neighboring matchups below replace one hand with another of similar strength.

How this was computed

The figures are counted, not estimated: 1,712,304 boards for every suit pattern of the 108 specific deals, with both seven-card hands compared each time. Equity gives half a win for a tie. For the flop rows, a board is counted once under each of the ten flops inside it.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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