KQo vs A5s: preflop equity

Dealt all in against each other, A5s takes 60.28% of the pot on average and KQo takes the other 39.72%.

KQo

39.72%

Wins 39.48%, ties 0.49%

A5s

60.28%

Wins 60.03%, ties 0.49%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

KQo against A5s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for KQo against A5s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
KQo39.4770.49260.03139.723
A5s60.0310.49239.47760.277

The first hand is an offsuit hand; the second is a suited hand. The two hands share no rank, which makes this a pure matchup of card strength, straight chances and flush chances.

A5s is ahead, but KQo is far from dead: it takes 395 of every 1,000 deals outright. Ties are part of the picture: 0.49% of boards end in a split pot, and each side counts that as half a win.

Among the 169 starting hands, KQo is number 23 and A5s is number 30 by strength against a random hand.

Boards behind the percentages: 82,190,592 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
KQo32,446,000404,00049,340,000
A5s49,340,000404,00032,446,000

Exact total: 48 deals times 1,712,304 boards. The other three counts come from the five-decimal percentages and are rounded to the nearest thousand, so read them as approximate.

KQo against A5s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
KQo0.6592.5331.6661.517
A5s1.5171.6662.5330.659

The last column is the break-even price: the pot odds a call needs to offer, as a ratio of pot to call.

Who is ahead on which flops

Across the five flop textures A5s' equity moves by 25.85 points, from 52.59% on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better to 78.44% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower). A5s stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal.

KQo against A5s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsKQo winsTiesA5s winsKQo equity
Rainbow, ten or higher23.98847.3520.12252.52647.413
Rainbow, nine or lower7.04220.9991.12477.87721.561
Two-tone46.66739.8310.32559.84439.994
Monotone5.21241.9562.41355.63143.162
Paired17.09134.3130.62465.06334.625

A rainbow flop shows three suits, a two-tone flop repeats one suit, a monotone flop is a single suit, and a paired flop repeats a rank.

Compared with a random hand

Start from the random-hand figures, 61.46% for KQo and 59.92% for A5s. This opponent changes them by -21.74 and +0.36 points.

KQo and A5s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
KQo, all flops39.72361.456-21.7330.64636
KQo, rainbow, ten or higher47.41361.456-14.0430.77150
KQo, rainbow, nine or lower21.56161.456-39.8950.35084
KQo, two-tone39.99461.456-21.4620.65077
KQo, monotone43.16261.456-18.2940.70232
KQo, paired34.62561.456-26.8310.56341
A5s, all flops60.27759.923+0.3541.00591
A5s, rainbow, ten or higher52.58759.923-7.3360.87758
A5s, rainbow, nine or lower78.43959.923+18.5161.30900
A5s, two-tone60.00659.923+0.0831.00139
A5s, monotone56.83859.923-3.0850.94852
A5s, paired65.37559.923+5.4521.09098

Does a shared suit matter?

Split by suits, the deals give A5s 59.95% when the hands overlap in a suit and 60.61% when they do not. A5s does better with no shared suit, by 0.66 points.

KQo against A5s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsKQo winsTiesA5s winsKQo equity
Share a suit2450.0039.7880.53359.67940.055
No shared suit2450.0039.1650.45260.38339.391

How often this matchup comes up

Out of 1,624,350 ways to deal two seats two cards each, 48 are KQo in one seat and A5s in the other (0.0030%); with the seats swapped too, 96 (0.0059%).

A worked example

To see what the equity is worth, imagine $100 each in a $200 pot. A5s is worth $120.56 on average (+$20.56); KQo is worth $79.44 (-$20.56).

Run 1,000 deals and the tally comes out near 600 for A5s, 395 for KQo and 5 ties.

The same matchup from the other side

Swap the hands and you get A5s with 60.28% against KQo with 39.72%. We keep one page per matchup, with the better-ranked hand first.

KsQh against Ad5d is a ready-made deal for the calculator, with no suit in common between the hands. The neighboring matchups below replace one hand with another of similar strength.

How this was computed

The figures are counted, not estimated: 1,712,304 boards for every suit pattern of the 48 specific deals, with both seven-card hands compared each time. Equity gives half a win for a tie. For the flop rows, a board is counted once under each of the ten flops inside it.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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