KQo vs KTo: preflop equity

Counting every board, the equity split is 73.62% for KQo and 26.38% for KTo, so KQo leads by 47.24 points.

KQo

73.62%

Wins 70.83%, ties 5.60%

KTo

26.38%

Wins 23.57%, ties 5.60%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

KQo against KTo: the numbers

Exact preflop results for KQo against KTo, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
KQo70.8265.59623.57873.624
KTo23.5785.59670.82626.376

The matchup is offsuit hands on both sides, KQo against KTo. Because the hands share one rank, the one with the higher kicker is ahead when that rank pairs and the other hand is mostly drawing.

That is a clear edge, 73.62% to 26.38%, but KTo still wins often enough that one hand proves nothing. Of every 100 boards, about 5.60 are split pots, and the equity figures already include them.

Ranked by equity against a random hand, KQo is number 23 of the 169 starting hands and KTo is number 33.

Boards behind the percentages: 184,928,832 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
KQo130,978,00010,349,00043,603,000
KTo43,603,00010,349,000130,978,000

The board total is exact, 108 deals at 1,712,304 boards each. Won, tied and lost counts are rounded to the nearest thousand from the five-decimal percentages.

KQo against KTo read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
KQo2.7911.4124.2410.358
KTo0.3584.2411.4122.791

The last column is the smallest pot odds, written as a pot-to-call ratio, at which a call breaks even with this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

Across the five flop textures KQo's equity moves by 15.10 points, from 68.55% on monotone flops to 83.65% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower). KQo stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal.

KQo against KTo by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsKQo winsTiesKTo winsKQo equity
Rainbow, ten or higher23.27569.9073.42026.67371.617
Rainbow, nine or lower7.77181.7573.79514.44883.654
Two-tone46.47772.2003.46324.33773.932
Monotone5.14466.3524.39729.25168.550
Paired17.33364.80415.40119.79572.504

A rainbow flop shows three suits, a two-tone flop repeats one suit, a monotone flop is a single suit, and a paired flop repeats a rank.

Compared with a random hand

A random hand would give KQo 61.46% and KTo 59.74%. Against each other the change is +12.16 points for KQo and -33.36 for KTo.

KQo and KTo here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
KQo, all flops73.62461.456+12.1681.19800
KQo, rainbow, ten or higher71.61761.456+10.1611.16534
KQo, rainbow, nine or lower83.65461.456+22.1981.36120
KQo, two-tone73.93261.456+12.4761.20301
KQo, monotone68.55061.456+7.0941.11543
KQo, paired72.50461.456+11.0481.17977
KTo, all flops26.37659.739-33.3630.44152
KTo, rainbow, ten or higher28.38359.739-31.3560.47512
KTo, rainbow, nine or lower16.34659.739-43.3930.27362
KTo, two-tone26.06859.739-33.6710.43636
KTo, monotone31.45059.739-28.2890.52646
KTo, paired27.49659.739-32.2430.46027

Does a shared suit matter?

When the hands share a suit, KQo holds 73.73%; when they do not, it holds 73.26%. KQo does better with a shared suit, by 0.47 points.

KQo against KTo by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsKQo winsTiesKTo winsKQo equity
Share a suit8477.7870.9185.62223.46073.729
No shared suit2422.2270.5055.50423.99173.257

How often this matchup comes up

Counting specific cards, KQo against KTo appears in 108 of the 1,624,350 ordered heads-up deals (0.0066%), and in 216 when the seats are swapped too (0.0133%).

A worked example

A $100 all-in from each player makes a $200 pot, and the exact equity says KQo gets $147.24 of it on average and KTo gets $52.76.

In 1,000 deals of exactly this matchup, expect about 708 won outright by KQo, about 236 won outright by KTo and about 56 split.

The same matchup from the other side

The mirror image, KTo against KQo, is 26.38% to 73.62%, and its address redirects to this page.

Open the calculator with KsQh against KdTc already entered, a deal with no shared suit, and change any card to try your own hand. The matchups after it each swap one hand for a nearby one in the ranking.

How this was computed

Each figure is a complete count over boards. Take the 108 specific deals, group them by suit pattern, deal all 1,712,304 boards against each, and compare the two seven-card hands. Equity counts a tie as half a win; the flop rows use every one of a board's ten flops.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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