KQs vs A5s: preflop equity

The exact count puts A5s at 57.47% and KQs at 42.53% when the two hands see all five board cards.

KQs

42.53%

Wins 42.26%, ties 0.53%

A5s

57.47%

Wins 57.21%, ties 0.53%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

KQs against A5s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for KQs against A5s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
KQs42.2620.53157.20742.527
A5s57.2070.53142.26257.473

Both hands are suited hands: KQs and A5s. With no overlap in ranks, every card that pairs one hand is a card that does not pair the other.

The lead is steady rather than large, and the flop still has plenty of say in who wins. A split pot comes up on 0.53% of boards, so the wins and the equity differ by half of that.

Ranked by equity against a random hand, KQs is number 16 of the 169 starting hands and A5s is number 30.

Boards behind the percentages: 27,396,864 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
KQs11,578,000145,00015,673,000
A5s15,673,000145,00011,578,000

Exact total: 16 deals times 1,712,304 boards. The other three counts come from the five-decimal percentages and are rounded to the nearest thousand, so read them as approximate.

KQs against A5s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
KQs0.7402.3661.7481.351
A5s1.3511.7482.3660.740

In the last column, a pot-to-call ratio at or above the figure makes a call break even or better at this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

Break the boards down by their first three cards and A5s is strongest on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) (75.94%) and weakest on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better (51.27%). A5s stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal.

KQs against A5s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsKQs winsTiesA5s winsKQs equity
Rainbow, ten or higher23.86748.6690.11751.21448.728
Rainbow, nine or lower7.04223.5271.07775.39624.065
Two-tone46.72743.5250.29856.17743.674
Monotone5.27343.4603.44253.09845.181
Paired17.09137.2100.62462.16637.522

Flop types: rainbow means three different suits, two-tone means one suit twice, monotone means one suit three times, paired means a repeated rank.

Compared with a random hand

Relative to a random opponent, KQs changes by -20.87 points (baseline 63.40%) and A5s by -2.45 points (baseline 59.92%).

KQs and A5s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
KQs, all flops42.52763.400-20.8730.67077
KQs, rainbow, ten or higher48.72863.400-14.6720.76858
KQs, rainbow, nine or lower24.06563.400-39.3350.37957
KQs, two-tone43.67463.400-19.7260.68886
KQs, monotone45.18163.400-18.2190.71263
KQs, paired37.52263.400-25.8780.59183
A5s, all flops57.47359.923-2.4500.95911
A5s, rainbow, ten or higher51.27259.923-8.6510.85563
A5s, rainbow, nine or lower75.93559.923+16.0121.26721
A5s, two-tone56.32659.923-3.5970.93997
A5s, monotone54.81959.923-5.1040.91482
A5s, paired62.47859.923+2.5551.04264

Does a shared suit matter?

Suit overlap shows up in the numbers. With a suit in common A5s has 59.41% equity, and with none in common it has 56.83%. A5s does better with a shared suit, by 2.58 points.

KQs against A5s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsKQs winsTiesA5s winsKQs equity
Share a suit425.0040.2790.61359.10840.586
No shared suit1275.0042.9220.50456.57443.174

How often this matchup comes up

Exactly 16 specific deals fit this matchup in one seat order, which is 0.0010% of 1,624,350; both orders together give 32, or 0.0020%.

A worked example

Take a $200 pot built from $100 each. A5s' equity of 57.47% is worth $114.94, a $14.94 edge, and KQs' 42.53% is worth $85.06, which is $14.94 under its stake.

Per 1,000 deals: A5s wins about 572, KQs wins about 423, and about 5 end in a split pot.

The same matchup from the other side

A5s versus KQs is this same page seen from the other hand: 57.47% for A5s, 42.53% for KQs.

KsQs against Ah5h is a ready-made deal for the calculator, with no suit in common between the hands. The neighboring matchups below replace one hand with another of similar strength.

How this was computed

Method: exact enumeration. The 16 specific deals are grouped by suit pattern, each is run against all 1,712,304 boards, and both seven-card hands are scored. Equity adds half of every tie, and flop textures are tallied over the ten flops inside each board.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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