KQs
66.20%
Wins 65.85%, ties 0.69%
JTo
33.80%
Wins 33.46%, ties 0.69%
KQs against JTo: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KQs | 65.852 | 0.686 | 33.462 | 66.195 |
| JTo | 33.462 | 0.686 | 65.852 | 33.805 |
The first hand is a suited hand; the second is an offsuit hand. Neither hand shares a rank with the other, so this is a contest of high cards, connection and suits.
A lead of 32.40 points is large but not decisive: JTo still takes about 335 of every 1,000 deals. Ties are part of the picture: 0.69% of boards end in a split pot, and each side counts that as half a win.
The hand ranking puts KQs at 16 and JTo at 57 out of 169 starting hands.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| KQs | 54,124,000 | 564,000 | 27,503,000 |
| JTo | 27,503,000 | 564,000 | 54,124,000 |
The board total is exact, 48 deals at 1,712,304 boards each. Won, tied and lost counts are rounded to the nearest thousand from the five-decimal percentages.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KQs | 1.958 | 1.519 | 2.988 | 0.511 |
| JTo | 0.511 | 2.988 | 1.519 | 1.958 |
The last column is the break-even price: the pot odds a call needs to offer, as a ratio of pot to call.
Who is ahead on which flops
Break the boards down by their first three cards and KQs is strongest on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) (71.56%) and weakest on monotone flops (61.78%). KQs stays ahead on all five textures.
| Flop | Share of flops | KQs wins | Ties | JTo wins | KQs equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 23.260 | 63.317 | 0.262 | 36.421 | 63.448 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 7.770 | 71.095 | 0.935 | 27.970 | 71.562 |
| Two-tone | 46.667 | 66.223 | 0.396 | 33.381 | 66.421 |
| Monotone | 5.212 | 60.549 | 2.463 | 36.988 | 61.780 |
| Paired | 17.091 | 67.523 | 1.402 | 31.075 | 68.224 |
A rainbow flop shows three suits, a two-tone flop repeats one suit, a monotone flop is a single suit, and a paired flop repeats a rank.
Compared with a random hand
The table below sets each hand against its own random-hand baseline: a change of +2.80 points for KQs, from 63.40%, and -21.45 for JTo, from 55.25%.
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KQs, all flops | 66.195 | 63.400 | +2.795 | 1.04409 |
| KQs, rainbow, ten or higher | 63.448 | 63.400 | +0.048 | 1.00076 |
| KQs, rainbow, nine or lower | 71.562 | 63.400 | +8.162 | 1.12874 |
| KQs, two-tone | 66.421 | 63.400 | +3.021 | 1.04765 |
| KQs, monotone | 61.780 | 63.400 | -1.620 | 0.97445 |
| KQs, paired | 68.224 | 63.400 | +4.824 | 1.07609 |
| JTo, all flops | 33.805 | 55.248 | -21.443 | 0.61188 |
| JTo, rainbow, ten or higher | 36.552 | 55.248 | -18.696 | 0.66160 |
| JTo, rainbow, nine or lower | 28.438 | 55.248 | -26.810 | 0.51473 |
| JTo, two-tone | 33.579 | 55.248 | -21.669 | 0.60779 |
| JTo, monotone | 38.220 | 55.248 | -17.028 | 0.69179 |
| JTo, paired | 31.776 | 55.248 | -23.472 | 0.57515 |
Does a shared suit matter?
The suit split reads 66.03% for KQs with a shared suit and 66.37% without one. KQs does better with no shared suit, by 0.34 points.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | KQs wins | Ties | JTo wins | KQs equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 24 | 50.00 | 65.662 | 0.726 | 33.612 | 66.025 |
| No shared suit | 24 | 50.00 | 66.042 | 0.647 | 33.311 | 66.365 |
How often this matchup comes up
How often does it happen? 48 of the 1,624,350 ordered deals (0.0030%) are KQs against JTo, and 96 (0.0059%) if either hand may sit in either seat.
A worked example
Try it with money: two players each put in $100 and the whole board runs out every possible way. KQs averages $132.40 from the $200, up $32.40; JTo averages $67.60, down $32.40.
Run 1,000 deals and the tally comes out near 658 for KQs, 335 for JTo and 7 ties.
The same matchup from the other side
JTo versus KQs is this same page seen from the other hand: 33.80% for JTo, 66.20% for KQs.
Keep exploring
Open the calculator with KsQs against JhTd already entered, a deal with no shared suit, and change any card to try your own hand. The matchups after it each swap one hand for a nearby one in the ranking.
How this was computed
Nothing here is simulated. The 48 deals of KQs against JTo fall into a few suit patterns, each dealt against all 1,712,304 boards, with both best five-card hands compared on every board. Ties give each hand half a win, and the flop rows count a board under each of its ten flops.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
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