KQs
63.34%
Wins 62.98%, ties 0.72%
JTs
36.66%
Wins 36.30%, ties 0.72%
KQs against JTs: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KQs | 62.979 | 0.718 | 36.303 | 63.338 |
| JTs | 36.303 | 0.718 | 62.979 | 36.662 |
Each side holds one of the suited hands: KQs and JTs. With no overlap in ranks, every card that pairs one hand is a card that does not pair the other.
That is a modest edge, the kind that shows up over many hands and is easy to miss in one. A split pot comes up on 0.72% of boards, so the wins and the equity differ by half of that.
KQs ranks number 16 of 169 starting hands, and JTs ranks number 45, by equity against a random hand.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| KQs | 17,254,000 | 197,000 | 9,946,000 |
| JTs | 9,946,000 | 197,000 | 17,254,000 |
The board total is exact, 16 deals at 1,712,304 boards each. Won, tied and lost counts are rounded to the nearest thousand from the five-decimal percentages.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KQs | 1.728 | 1.588 | 2.755 | 0.579 |
| JTs | 0.579 | 2.755 | 1.588 | 1.728 |
The final column gives the least the pot must offer for each unit called for a call to break even at this equity.
Who is ahead on which flops
Break the boards down by their first three cards and KQs is strongest on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) (69.32%) and weakest on monotone flops (60.33%). KQs stays ahead on all five textures.
| Flop | Share of flops | KQs wins | Ties | JTs wins | KQs equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 23.138 | 61.736 | 0.254 | 38.010 | 61.863 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 7.771 | 68.866 | 0.901 | 30.233 | 69.317 |
| Two-tone | 46.727 | 62.509 | 0.370 | 37.121 | 62.694 |
| Monotone | 5.273 | 58.593 | 3.475 | 37.932 | 60.331 |
| Paired | 17.091 | 64.621 | 1.363 | 34.016 | 65.303 |
Rainbow flops have three suits, two-tone flops repeat one suit, monotone flops are all one suit, and paired flops repeat a rank.
Compared with a random hand
How much does the opponent matter? Compared with its random-hand 63.40%, KQs changes by -0.06 points, and JTs, from 57.53%, by -20.87.
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KQs, all flops | 63.338 | 63.400 | -0.062 | 0.99902 |
| KQs, rainbow, ten or higher | 61.863 | 63.400 | -1.537 | 0.97576 |
| KQs, rainbow, nine or lower | 69.317 | 63.400 | +5.917 | 1.09333 |
| KQs, two-tone | 62.694 | 63.400 | -0.706 | 0.98886 |
| KQs, monotone | 60.331 | 63.400 | -3.069 | 0.95159 |
| KQs, paired | 65.303 | 63.400 | +1.903 | 1.03002 |
| JTs, all flops | 36.662 | 57.528 | -20.866 | 0.63729 |
| JTs, rainbow, ten or higher | 38.137 | 57.528 | -19.391 | 0.66293 |
| JTs, rainbow, nine or lower | 30.683 | 57.528 | -26.845 | 0.53336 |
| JTs, two-tone | 37.306 | 57.528 | -20.222 | 0.64848 |
| JTs, monotone | 39.669 | 57.528 | -17.859 | 0.68956 |
| JTs, paired | 34.697 | 57.528 | -22.831 | 0.60313 |
Does a shared suit matter?
Suit overlap shows up in the numbers. With a suit in common KQs has 65.75% equity, and with none in common it has 62.53%. KQs does better with a shared suit, by 3.22 points.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | KQs wins | Ties | JTs wins | KQs equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 4 | 25.00 | 65.349 | 0.805 | 33.846 | 65.751 |
| No shared suit | 12 | 75.00 | 62.188 | 0.689 | 37.123 | 62.533 |
How often this matchup comes up
Exactly 16 specific deals fit this matchup in one seat order, which is 0.0010% of 1,624,350; both orders together give 32, or 0.0020%.
A worked example
Say each player puts $100 in before the flop, making a $200 pot. On average KQs takes back $126.68 of it, which is $26.68 more than it put in, and JTs takes back $73.32, $26.68 less than it put in.
In 1,000 deals of exactly this matchup, expect about 630 won outright by KQs, about 363 won outright by JTs and about 7 split.
The same matchup from the other side
The reversed view, JTs against KQs, shows 36.66% for JTs and 63.34% for KQs. It is the same count, so it redirects here.
Keep exploring
Open the calculator with KsQs against JhTh already entered, a deal with no shared suit, and change any card to try your own hand. The matchups after it each swap one hand for a nearby one in the ranking.
How this was computed
All 1,712,304 five-card boards are dealt for every suit pattern among the 16 specific deals of KQs against JTs, and both hands are scored on each. That is a full count, so the percentages are exact. Ties are half a win each, and each board appears once per flop it contains.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
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