KQs vs K9s: preflop equity

Over all 1,712,304 boards that can follow this deal, KQs finishes with 70.68% of the pot and K9s with 29.32%.

KQs

70.68%

Wins 68.08%, ties 5.19%

K9s

29.32%

Wins 26.73%, ties 5.19%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

KQs against K9s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for KQs against K9s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
KQs68.0845.19426.72270.681
K9s26.7225.19468.08429.319

KQs and K9s are both suited hands. The two hands share a rank, and the one with the better other card dominates: it wins most kicker battles when that shared rank hits.

KQs is well ahead, and K9s needs a specific kind of board to catch up. A split pot comes up on 5.19% of boards, so the wins and the equity differ by half of that.

For context, KQs sits at number 16 of 169 starting hands and K9s at number 29 when each is run against a random hand.

Boards behind the percentages: 20,547,648 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
KQs13,990,0001,067,0005,491,000
K9s5,491,0001,067,00013,990,000

12 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards gives the exact total. The won, tied and lost counts are approximations from the five-decimal percentages, rounded to the nearest thousand.

KQs against K9s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
KQs2.4111.4693.7420.415
K9s0.4153.7421.4692.411

The final column gives the least the pot must offer for each unit called for a call to break even at this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

KQs prefers rainbow flops topped by a ten or better, where it holds 76.79%, and likes low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) least, where it holds 60.54%. KQs stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal.

KQs against K9s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsKQs winsTiesK9s winsKQs equity
Rainbow, ten or higher23.86774.9843.62021.39676.794
Rainbow, nine or lower7.04259.1522.77738.07160.540
Two-tone46.54368.5383.13428.32870.105
Monotone5.21561.7225.14933.12964.297
Paired17.33362.90913.88823.20369.853

Rainbow flops have three suits, two-tone flops repeat one suit, monotone flops are all one suit, and paired flops repeat a rank.

Compared with a random hand

Relative to a random opponent, KQs changes by +7.28 points (baseline 63.40%) and K9s by -30.67 points (baseline 59.99%).

KQs and K9s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
KQs, all flops70.68163.400+7.2811.11484
KQs, rainbow, ten or higher76.79463.400+13.3941.21126
KQs, rainbow, nine or lower60.54063.400-2.8600.95489
KQs, two-tone70.10563.400+6.7051.10576
KQs, monotone64.29763.400+0.8971.01415
KQs, paired69.85363.400+6.4531.10178
K9s, all flops29.31959.988-30.6690.48875
K9s, rainbow, ten or higher23.20659.988-36.7820.38684
K9s, rainbow, nine or lower39.46059.988-20.5280.65780
K9s, two-tone29.89559.988-30.0930.49835
K9s, monotone35.70359.988-24.2850.59517
K9s, paired30.14759.988-29.8410.50255

Does a shared suit matter?

The hands cannot hold a suit in common here, which leaves a single case and a single number: 70.68% for KQs.

KQs against K9s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsKQs winsTiesK9s winsKQs equity
Share a suit00.00not possiblenot possiblenot possiblenot possible
No shared suit12100.0068.0845.19426.72270.681

How often this matchup comes up

KQs against K9s is made up of 12 specific-card matchups in one seat order, 0.0007% of the 1,624,350 ordered deals, and 24 counting both seat orders, 0.0015%.

A worked example

A $100 all-in from each player makes a $200 pot, and the exact equity says KQs gets $141.36 of it on average and K9s gets $58.64.

Over a long run, 1,000 deals split into about 681 for KQs, 267 for K9s and 52 tied.

The same matchup from the other side

One page covers both views. From K9s' side the equity is 29.32%, and from KQs' side it is 70.68%.

Try KsQs against Kh9h in the calculator: the hands share no suit, and every card can be changed. The links after it are the closest matchups in the ranking.

How this was computed

The page is built from a full enumeration: 1,712,304 boards, every suit pattern of the 12 specific deals, both seven-card hands evaluated. A tie is worth half a win to each hand, and a board is tallied under each of its ten possible flops for the texture rows.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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