KTo
60.42%
Wins 60.10%, ties 0.64%
98s
39.58%
Wins 39.26%, ties 0.64%
KTo against 98s: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KTo | 60.101 | 0.644 | 39.255 | 60.423 |
| 98s | 39.255 | 0.644 | 60.101 | 39.577 |
The matchup pits an offsuit hand against a suited hand. The two hands share no rank, which makes this a pure matchup of card strength, straight chances and flush chances.
KTo is ahead, but 98s is far from dead: it takes 393 of every 1,000 deals outright. A split pot comes up on 0.64% of boards, so the wins and the equity differ by half of that.
By strength against a random hand, KTo holds place 33 of 169 and 98s holds place 83.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| KTo | 49,397,000 | 529,000 | 32,264,000 |
| 98s | 32,264,000 | 529,000 | 49,397,000 |
Exact total: 48 deals times 1,712,304 boards. The other three counts come from the five-decimal percentages and are rounded to the nearest thousand, so read them as approximate.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KTo | 1.527 | 1.664 | 2.547 | 0.655 |
| 98s | 0.655 | 2.547 | 1.664 | 1.527 |
The last column is the break-even price: the pot odds a call needs to offer, as a ratio of pot to call.
Who is ahead on which flops
If you know the kind of flop that came, the numbers shift: KTo holds 67.50% on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better and 38.92% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower). 98s takes over on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower), so the favorite before the flop is the underdog on those boards.
| Flop | Share of flops | KTo wins | Ties | 98s wins | KTo equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 24.717 | 67.330 | 0.329 | 32.341 | 67.495 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 6.313 | 38.649 | 0.543 | 60.808 | 38.920 |
| Two-tone | 46.667 | 58.710 | 0.347 | 40.943 | 58.884 |
| Monotone | 5.212 | 57.408 | 2.436 | 40.156 | 58.626 |
| Paired | 17.091 | 62.189 | 1.399 | 36.412 | 62.888 |
Read the flop types this way: rainbow has three suits, two-tone has two cards of one suit, monotone has three, and paired repeats a rank.
Compared with a random hand
A random hand would give KTo 59.74% and 98s 50.80%. Against each other the change is +0.68 points for KTo and -11.22 for 98s.
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KTo, all flops | 60.423 | 59.739 | +0.684 | 1.01145 |
| KTo, rainbow, ten or higher | 67.495 | 59.739 | +7.756 | 1.12983 |
| KTo, rainbow, nine or lower | 38.920 | 59.739 | -20.819 | 0.65150 |
| KTo, two-tone | 58.884 | 59.739 | -0.855 | 0.98569 |
| KTo, monotone | 58.626 | 59.739 | -1.113 | 0.98137 |
| KTo, paired | 62.888 | 59.739 | +3.149 | 1.05271 |
| 98s, all flops | 39.577 | 50.801 | -11.224 | 0.77906 |
| 98s, rainbow, ten or higher | 32.505 | 50.801 | -18.296 | 0.63985 |
| 98s, rainbow, nine or lower | 61.080 | 50.801 | +10.279 | 1.20234 |
| 98s, two-tone | 41.116 | 50.801 | -9.685 | 0.80935 |
| 98s, monotone | 41.374 | 50.801 | -9.427 | 0.81443 |
| 98s, paired | 37.112 | 50.801 | -13.689 | 0.73054 |
Does a shared suit matter?
Suit overlap shows up in the numbers. With a suit in common KTo has 61.09% equity, and with none in common it has 59.76%. KTo does better with a shared suit, by 1.33 points.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | KTo wins | Ties | 98s wins | KTo equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 24 | 50.00 | 60.747 | 0.685 | 38.568 | 61.090 |
| No shared suit | 24 | 50.00 | 59.455 | 0.602 | 39.943 | 59.756 |
How often this matchup comes up
Exactly 48 specific deals fit this matchup in one seat order, which is 0.0030% of 1,624,350; both orders together give 96, or 0.0059%.
A worked example
Put $100 each into a $200 pot and deal every board once: KTo averages $120.84 back, ahead of its $100 by $20.84, while 98s averages $79.16, short of its $100 by $20.84.
Run 1,000 deals and the tally comes out near 601 for KTo, 393 for 98s and 6 ties.
The same matchup from the other side
The mirror image, 98s against KTo, is 39.58% to 60.42%, and its address redirects to this page.
Keep exploring
KsTh against 9d8d is a ready-made deal for the calculator, with no suit in common between the hands. The neighboring matchups below replace one hand with another of similar strength.
How this was computed
Nothing here is simulated. The 48 deals of KTo against 98s fall into a few suit patterns, each dealt against all 1,712,304 boards, with both best five-card hands compared on every board. Ties give each hand half a win, and the flop rows count a board under each of its ten flops.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
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