KTo
40.62%
Wins 40.37%, ties 0.50%
A2s
59.38%
Wins 59.13%, ties 0.50%
KTo against A2s: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KTo | 40.372 | 0.503 | 59.125 | 40.623 |
| A2s | 59.125 | 0.503 | 40.372 | 59.377 |
We compare an offsuit hand with a suited hand. Neither hand shares a rank with the other, so this is a contest of high cards, connection and suits.
A2s is ahead, but KTo is far from dead: it takes 404 of every 1,000 deals outright. Split pots make up 0.50% of the boards, and both equity figures count them as half a win each.
Place 33 of 169 belongs to KTo and place 46 belongs to A2s in the ranking against a random hand.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| KTo | 33,182,000 | 413,000 | 48,595,000 |
| A2s | 48,595,000 | 413,000 | 33,182,000 |
Exact total: 48 deals times 1,712,304 boards. The other three counts come from the five-decimal percentages and are rounded to the nearest thousand, so read them as approximate.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KTo | 0.684 | 2.477 | 1.691 | 1.462 |
| A2s | 1.462 | 1.691 | 2.477 | 0.684 |
The final column gives the least the pot must offer for each unit called for a call to break even at this equity.
Who is ahead on which flops
A2s prefers low rainbow flops (nine high or lower), where it holds 75.69%, and likes rainbow flops topped by a ten or better least, where it holds 51.95%. A2s stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal.
| Flop | Share of flops | KTo wins | Ties | A2s wins | KTo equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 23.988 | 47.969 | 0.169 | 51.862 | 48.054 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 7.042 | 23.797 | 1.025 | 75.178 | 24.309 |
| Two-tone | 46.667 | 40.837 | 0.332 | 58.831 | 41.003 |
| Monotone | 5.212 | 42.657 | 2.412 | 54.931 | 43.863 |
| Paired | 17.091 | 34.568 | 0.645 | 64.787 | 34.891 |
A rainbow flop shows three suits, a two-tone flop repeats one suit, a monotone flop is a single suit, and a paired flop repeats a rank.
Compared with a random hand
Compared with a random opponent, this matchup shifts KTo from 59.74% by -19.12 points and A2s from 57.38% by +2.00 points.
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KTo, all flops | 40.623 | 59.739 | -19.116 | 0.68001 |
| KTo, rainbow, ten or higher | 48.054 | 59.739 | -11.685 | 0.80440 |
| KTo, rainbow, nine or lower | 24.309 | 59.739 | -35.430 | 0.40692 |
| KTo, two-tone | 41.003 | 59.739 | -18.736 | 0.68637 |
| KTo, monotone | 43.863 | 59.739 | -15.876 | 0.73424 |
| KTo, paired | 34.891 | 59.739 | -24.848 | 0.58406 |
| A2s, all flops | 59.377 | 57.379 | +1.998 | 1.03482 |
| A2s, rainbow, ten or higher | 51.946 | 57.379 | -5.433 | 0.90531 |
| A2s, rainbow, nine or lower | 75.691 | 57.379 | +18.312 | 1.31914 |
| A2s, two-tone | 58.997 | 57.379 | +1.618 | 1.02820 |
| A2s, monotone | 56.137 | 57.379 | -1.242 | 0.97835 |
| A2s, paired | 65.109 | 57.379 | +7.730 | 1.13472 |
Does a shared suit matter?
Split by suits, the deals give A2s 59.03% when the hands overlap in a suit and 59.72% when they do not. A2s does better with no shared suit, by 0.69 points.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | KTo wins | Ties | A2s wins | KTo equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 24 | 50.00 | 40.694 | 0.545 | 58.761 | 40.967 |
| No shared suit | 24 | 50.00 | 40.049 | 0.461 | 59.490 | 40.280 |
How often this matchup comes up
Out of 1,624,350 ways to deal two seats two cards each, 48 are KTo in one seat and A2s in the other (0.0030%); with the seats swapped too, 96 (0.0059%).
A worked example
With $100 from each side, the $200 pot is split on average as $118.76 for A2s and $81.24 for KTo; the first side gains $18.76 per all-in and the second gives up $18.76.
Think in thousands: about 591 of 1,000 go to A2s, about 404 go to KTo, and about 5 are chopped.
The same matchup from the other side
Read it from the other side: A2s against KTo is the same matchup with the numbers swapped, so A2s holds 59.38% and KTo holds 40.62%. That address sends you back to this page.
Keep exploring
Try KsTh against Ad2d in the calculator: the hands share no suit, and every card can be changed. The links after it are the closest matchups in the ranking.
How this was computed
Nothing here is simulated. The 48 deals of KTo against A2s fall into a few suit patterns, each dealt against all 1,712,304 boards, with both best five-card hands compared on every board. Ties give each hand half a win, and the flop rows count a board under each of its ten flops.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
Bring your own hands to a session
Review the spots you actually play against these numbers in a Game Assessment, and leave with a one-page written plan.
Book a session