KTo vs A3s: preflop equity

Counting every board, the equity split is 59.46% for A3s and 40.54% for KTo, so A3s leads by 18.92 points.

KTo

40.54%

Wins 40.29%, ties 0.49%

A3s

59.46%

Wins 59.22%, ties 0.49%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

KTo against A3s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for KTo against A3s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
KTo40.2930.49259.21540.539
A3s59.2150.49240.29359.461

KTo is an offsuit hand and A3s is a suited hand. The two hands share no rank, which makes this a pure matchup of card strength, straight chances and flush chances.

A3s is ahead, but KTo is far from dead: it takes 403 of every 1,000 deals outright. 0.49% of boards are ties, so the equity of each hand is its win rate plus half of that.

The hand ranking puts KTo at 33 and A3s at 38 out of 169 starting hands.

Boards behind the percentages: 82,190,592 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
KTo33,117,000404,00048,669,000
A3s48,669,000404,00033,117,000

The total is exact: 48 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards. The three counts are approximate, worked out from the percentages to five decimals and rounded to the nearest thousand.

KTo against A3s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
KTo0.6822.4821.6891.467
A3s1.4671.6892.4820.682

The last column is the break-even price: the pot odds a call needs to offer, as a ratio of pot to call.

Who is ahead on which flops

Split by what the flop looks like, A3s peaks at 75.91% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) and bottoms out at 52.03% on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better. A3s stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal.

KTo against A3s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsKTo winsTiesA3s winsKTo equity
Rainbow, ten or higher23.98847.8890.16951.94247.973
Rainbow, nine or lower7.04223.6140.95575.43124.092
Two-tone46.66740.7450.31958.93640.904
Monotone5.21242.5932.40655.00143.796
Paired17.09134.5680.64164.79134.889

A rainbow flop shows three suits, a two-tone flop repeats one suit, a monotone flop is a single suit, and a paired flop repeats a rank.

Compared with a random hand

Compared with a random opponent, this matchup shifts KTo from 59.74% by -19.20 points and A3s from 58.22% by +1.24 points.

KTo and A3s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
KTo, all flops40.53959.739-19.2000.67860
KTo, rainbow, ten or higher47.97359.739-11.7660.80304
KTo, rainbow, nine or lower24.09259.739-35.6470.40329
KTo, two-tone40.90459.739-18.8350.68471
KTo, monotone43.79659.739-15.9430.73312
KTo, paired34.88959.739-24.8500.58402
A3s, all flops59.46158.220+1.2411.02132
A3s, rainbow, ten or higher52.02758.220-6.1930.89363
A3s, rainbow, nine or lower75.90858.220+17.6881.30381
A3s, two-tone59.09658.220+0.8761.01505
A3s, monotone56.20458.220-2.0160.96537
A3s, paired65.11158.220+6.8911.11836

Does a shared suit matter?

Of the deals of this matchup, 24 share a suit (A3s at 59.12%) and 24 do not (59.80%). A3s does better with no shared suit, by 0.68 points.

KTo against A3s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsKTo winsTiesA3s winsKTo equity
Share a suit2450.0040.6140.53358.85340.880
No shared suit2450.0039.9720.45059.57840.197

How often this matchup comes up

KTo against A3s is made up of 48 specific-card matchups in one seat order, 0.0030% of the 1,624,350 ordered deals, and 96 counting both seat orders, 0.0059%.

A worked example

Take a $200 pot built from $100 each. A3s' equity of 59.46% is worth $118.92, a $18.92 edge, and KTo's 40.54% is worth $81.08, which is $18.92 under its stake.

Per 1,000 deals: A3s wins about 592, KTo wins about 403, and about 5 end in a split pot.

The same matchup from the other side

Read it from the other side: A3s against KTo is the same matchup with the numbers swapped, so A3s holds 59.46% and KTo holds 40.54%. That address sends you back to this page.

KsTh against Ad3d is a ready-made deal for the calculator, with no suit in common between the hands. The neighboring matchups below replace one hand with another of similar strength.

How this was computed

All 1,712,304 five-card boards are dealt for every suit pattern among the 48 specific deals of KTo against A3s, and both hands are scored on each. That is a full count, so the percentages are exact. Ties are half a win each, and each board appears once per flop it contains.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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