KTo vs JTs: preflop equity

Over all 1,712,304 boards that can follow this deal, KTo finishes with 68.14% of the pot and JTs with 31.86%.

KTo

68.14%

Wins 66.78%, ties 2.74%

JTs

31.86%

Wins 30.48%, ties 2.74%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

KTo against JTs: the numbers

Exact preflop results for KTo against JTs, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
KTo66.7762.73530.48968.143
JTs30.4892.73566.77631.857

KTo, an offsuit hand, plays JTs, a suited hand. Because the hands share one rank, the one with the higher kicker is ahead when that rank pairs and the other hand is mostly drawing.

KTo is well ahead, and JTs needs a specific kind of board to catch up. Ties are 2.74% of the outcomes here; each tied board gives both hands half the pot.

In the ranking of all 169 starting hands, KTo is number 33 and JTs is number 45.

Boards behind the percentages: 61,642,944 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
KTo41,163,0001,686,00018,794,000
JTs18,794,0001,686,00041,163,000

The board total is exact, 36 deals at 1,712,304 boards each. Won, tied and lost counts are rounded to the nearest thousand from the five-decimal percentages.

KTo against JTs read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
KTo2.1391.4983.2800.468
JTs0.4683.2801.4982.139

The final column gives the least the pot must offer for each unit called for a call to break even at this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

If you know the kind of flop that came, the numbers shift: KTo holds 76.43% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) and 63.96% on monotone flops. KTo stays ahead on all five textures.

KTo against JTs by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsKTo winsTiesJTs winsKTo equity
Rainbow, ten or higher23.17766.0832.65331.26467.409
Rainbow, nine or lower7.77175.6891.47122.84076.425
Two-tone46.52765.2252.23332.54266.341
Monotone5.19262.1063.71334.18163.963
Paired17.33369.2694.46626.26571.502

Rainbow flops have three suits, two-tone flops repeat one suit, monotone flops are all one suit, and paired flops repeat a rank.

Compared with a random hand

A random hand would give KTo 59.74% and JTs 57.53%. Against each other the change is +8.40 points for KTo and -25.67 for JTs.

KTo and JTs here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
KTo, all flops68.14359.739+8.4041.14068
KTo, rainbow, ten or higher67.40959.739+7.6701.12839
KTo, rainbow, nine or lower76.42559.739+16.6861.27932
KTo, two-tone66.34159.739+6.6021.11051
KTo, monotone63.96359.739+4.2241.07071
KTo, paired71.50259.739+11.7631.19691
JTs, all flops31.85757.528-25.6710.55377
JTs, rainbow, ten or higher32.59157.528-24.9370.56652
JTs, rainbow, nine or lower23.57557.528-33.9530.40980
JTs, two-tone33.65957.528-23.8690.58509
JTs, monotone36.03757.528-21.4910.62643
JTs, paired28.49857.528-29.0300.49538

Does a shared suit matter?

Split by suits, the deals give KTo 69.12% when the hands overlap in a suit and 67.66% when they do not. KTo does better with a shared suit, by 1.46 points.

KTo against JTs by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsKTo winsTiesJTs winsKTo equity
Share a suit1233.3367.7052.82029.47569.115
No shared suit2466.6766.3112.69230.99767.657

How often this matchup comes up

This page stands for 36 specific-card matchups (0.0022% of 1,624,350 ordered deals), or 72 once you count the seats both ways (0.0044%).

A worked example

Take a $200 pot built from $100 each. KTo's equity of 68.14% is worth $136.28, a $36.28 edge, and JTs' 31.86% is worth $63.72, which is $36.28 under its stake.

In 1,000 deals of exactly this matchup, expect about 668 won outright by KTo, about 305 won outright by JTs and about 27 split.

The same matchup from the other side

Swap the hands and you get JTs with 31.86% against KTo with 68.14%. We keep one page per matchup, with the better-ranked hand first.

Open the calculator with KsTh against JdTd already entered, a deal with no shared suit, and change any card to try your own hand. The matchups after it each swap one hand for a nearby one in the ranking.

How this was computed

We counted every case. Each suit pattern of the 36 specific KTo against JTs deals meets all 1,712,304 boards, and the better five-card hand wins; a split pot is half a win each. The flop table reads each board under all ten of its three-card flops.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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