KTs
61.57%
Wins 61.23%, ties 0.69%
QJo
38.43%
Wins 38.08%, ties 0.69%
KTs against QJo: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KTs | 61.227 | 0.687 | 38.086 | 61.570 |
| QJo | 38.086 | 0.687 | 61.227 | 38.430 |
The matchup pits a suited hand against an offsuit hand. With no overlap in ranks, every card that pairs one hand is a card that does not pair the other.
The lead is steady rather than large, and the flop still has plenty of say in who wins. Ties are part of the picture: 0.69% of boards end in a split pot, and each side counts that as half a win.
By strength against a random hand, KTs holds place 22 of 169 and QJo holds place 39.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| KTs | 50,323,000 | 565,000 | 31,303,000 |
| QJo | 31,303,000 | 565,000 | 50,323,000 |
The total is exact: 48 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards. The three counts are approximate, worked out from the percentages to five decimals and rounded to the nearest thousand.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KTs | 1.602 | 1.633 | 2.626 | 0.624 |
| QJo | 0.624 | 2.626 | 1.633 | 1.602 |
In the last column, a pot-to-call ratio at or above the figure makes a call break even or better at this equity.
Who is ahead on which flops
The flop changes the picture. KTs does best on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower), at 75.95%, and worst on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better, at 54.89%. KTs stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal.
| Flop | Share of flops | KTs wins | Ties | QJo wins | KTs equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 23.260 | 54.759 | 0.262 | 44.979 | 54.890 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 7.770 | 75.479 | 0.935 | 23.586 | 75.946 |
| Two-tone | 46.667 | 61.127 | 0.396 | 38.477 | 61.325 |
| Monotone | 5.212 | 56.353 | 2.463 | 41.184 | 57.584 |
| Paired | 17.091 | 65.310 | 1.402 | 33.288 | 66.011 |
A rainbow flop shows three suits, a two-tone flop repeats one suit, a monotone flop is a single suit, and a paired flop repeats a rank.
Compared with a random hand
A random hand would give KTs 61.79% and QJo 58.14%. Against each other the change is -0.22 points for KTs and -19.71 for QJo.
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KTs, all flops | 61.570 | 61.789 | -0.219 | 0.99646 |
| KTs, rainbow, ten or higher | 54.890 | 61.789 | -6.899 | 0.88835 |
| KTs, rainbow, nine or lower | 75.946 | 61.789 | +14.157 | 1.22912 |
| KTs, two-tone | 61.325 | 61.789 | -0.464 | 0.99249 |
| KTs, monotone | 57.584 | 61.789 | -4.205 | 0.93195 |
| KTs, paired | 66.011 | 61.789 | +4.222 | 1.06833 |
| QJo, all flops | 38.430 | 58.135 | -19.705 | 0.66105 |
| QJo, rainbow, ten or higher | 45.110 | 58.135 | -13.025 | 0.77595 |
| QJo, rainbow, nine or lower | 24.054 | 58.135 | -34.081 | 0.41376 |
| QJo, two-tone | 38.675 | 58.135 | -19.460 | 0.66526 |
| QJo, monotone | 42.416 | 58.135 | -15.719 | 0.72961 |
| QJo, paired | 33.989 | 58.135 | -24.146 | 0.58466 |
Does a shared suit matter?
When the hands share a suit, KTs holds 61.30%; when they do not, it holds 61.84%. KTs does better with no shared suit, by 0.54 points.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | KTs wins | Ties | QJo wins | KTs equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 24 | 50.00 | 60.940 | 0.726 | 38.334 | 61.303 |
| No shared suit | 24 | 50.00 | 61.515 | 0.647 | 37.838 | 61.838 |
How often this matchup comes up
Out of 1,624,350 ways to deal two seats two cards each, 48 are KTs in one seat and QJo in the other (0.0030%); with the seats swapped too, 96 (0.0059%).
A worked example
Put $100 each into a $200 pot and deal every board once: KTs averages $123.14 back, ahead of its $100 by $23.14, while QJo averages $76.86, short of its $100 by $23.14.
Out of 1,000 deals you should see around 612 outright wins for KTs, 381 for QJo, and 7 split pots.
The same matchup from the other side
The reversed view, QJo against KTs, shows 38.43% for QJo and 61.57% for KTs. It is the same count, so it redirects here.
Keep exploring
Try KsTs against QhJd in the calculator: the hands share no suit, and every card can be changed. The links after it are the closest matchups in the ranking.
How this was computed
The page is built from a full enumeration: 1,712,304 boards, every suit pattern of the 48 specific deals, both seven-card hands evaluated. A tie is worth half a win to each hand, and a board is tallied under each of its ten possible flops for the texture rows.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
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