Q9s vs T9o: preflop equity

The exact count puts Q9s at 72.71% and T9o at 27.29% when the two hands see all five board cards.

Q9s

72.71%

Wins 70.85%, ties 3.71%

T9o

27.29%

Wins 25.44%, ties 3.71%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

Q9s against T9o: the numbers

Exact preflop results for Q9s against T9o, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
Q9s70.8533.71125.43672.708
T9o25.4363.71170.85327.292

Q9s and T9o are a suited hand and an offsuit hand, in that order. Because the hands share one rank, the one with the higher kicker is ahead when that rank pairs and the other hand is mostly drawing.

Q9s is well ahead, and T9o needs a specific kind of board to catch up. Ties are 3.71% of the outcomes here; each tied board gives both hands half the pot.

The hand ranking puts Q9s at 43 and T9o at 78 out of 169 starting hands.

Boards behind the percentages: 61,642,944 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
Q9s43,676,0002,288,00015,679,000
T9o15,679,0002,288,00043,676,000

Exact total: 36 deals times 1,712,304 boards. The other three counts come from the five-decimal percentages and are rounded to the nearest thousand, so read them as approximate.

Q9s against T9o read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
Q9s2.6641.4113.9310.375
T9o0.3753.9311.4112.664

The last column is the smallest pot odds, written as a pot-to-call ratio, at which a call breaks even with this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

Q9s prefers low rainbow flops (nine high or lower), where it holds 78.50%, and likes monotone flops least, where it holds 65.45%. Q9s stays ahead on all five textures.

Q9s against T9o by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsQ9s winsTiesT9o winsQ9s equity
Rainbow, ten or higher24.63469.3333.13627.53170.901
Rainbow, nine or lower6.31477.1162.77620.10878.504
Two-tone46.52771.2482.90925.84372.703
Monotone5.19263.3074.29132.40265.452
Paired17.33371.9296.84921.22275.354

A rainbow flop shows three suits, a two-tone flop repeats one suit, a monotone flop is a single suit, and a paired flop repeats a rank.

Compared with a random hand

The table below sets each hand against its own random-hand baseline: a change of +15.05 points for Q9s, from 57.66%, and -24.24 for T9o, from 51.53%.

Q9s and T9o here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
Q9s, all flops72.70857.664+15.0441.26089
Q9s, rainbow, ten or higher70.90157.664+13.2371.22955
Q9s, rainbow, nine or lower78.50457.664+20.8401.36140
Q9s, two-tone72.70357.664+15.0391.26080
Q9s, monotone65.45257.664+7.7881.13506
Q9s, paired75.35457.664+17.6901.30678
T9o, all flops27.29251.532-24.2400.52961
T9o, rainbow, ten or higher29.09951.532-22.4330.56468
T9o, rainbow, nine or lower21.49651.532-30.0360.41714
T9o, two-tone27.29751.532-24.2350.52971
T9o, monotone34.54851.532-16.9840.67042
T9o, paired24.64651.532-26.8860.47827

Does a shared suit matter?

Does suit overlap move the numbers? Q9s has 72.50% when the hands share a suit and 72.81% when they do not. Q9s does better with no shared suit, by 0.31 points.

Q9s against T9o by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsQ9s winsTiesT9o winsQ9s equity
Share a suit1233.3370.5943.81725.58972.502
No shared suit2466.6770.9823.65825.36072.811

How often this matchup comes up

Q9s against T9o is made up of 36 specific-card matchups in one seat order, 0.0022% of the 1,624,350 ordered deals, and 72 counting both seat orders, 0.0044%.

A worked example

Put $100 each into a $200 pot and deal every board once: Q9s averages $145.42 back, ahead of its $100 by $45.42, while T9o averages $54.58, short of its $100 by $45.42.

Run 1,000 deals and the tally comes out near 709 for Q9s, 254 for T9o and 37 ties.

The same matchup from the other side

T9o versus Q9s is this same page seen from the other hand: 27.29% for T9o, 72.71% for Q9s.

Qs9s against Th9d is a ready-made deal for the calculator, with no suit in common between the hands. The neighboring matchups below replace one hand with another of similar strength.

How this was computed

We counted every case. Each suit pattern of the 36 specific Q9s against T9o deals meets all 1,712,304 boards, and the better five-card hand wins; a split pot is half a win each. The flop table reads each board under all ten of its three-card flops.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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