QJo vs 53s: preflop equity

In equity, QJo against 53s stands at 60.80% to 39.20%, a gap of 21.60 points.

QJo

60.80%

Wins 60.33%, ties 0.94%

53s

39.20%

Wins 38.73%, ties 0.94%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

QJo against 53s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for QJo against 53s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
QJo60.3300.94138.72960.801
53s38.7290.94160.33039.199

QJo and 53s are an offsuit hand and a suited hand, in that order. Neither hand shares a rank with the other, so this is a contest of high cards, connection and suits.

The lead is steady rather than large, and the flop still has plenty of say in who wins. Of every 100 boards, about 0.94 are split pots, and the equity figures already include them.

By strength against a random hand, QJo holds place 39 of 169 and 53s holds place 146.

Boards behind the percentages: 82,190,592 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
QJo49,586,000773,00031,832,000
53s31,832,000773,00049,586,000

The total is exact: 48 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards. The three counts are approximate, worked out from the percentages to five decimals and rounded to the nearest thousand.

QJo against 53s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
QJo1.5511.6582.5820.645
53s0.6452.5821.6581.551

In the last column, a pot-to-call ratio at or above the figure makes a call break even or better at this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

QJo prefers rainbow flops topped by a ten or better, where it holds 69.00%, and likes low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) least, where it holds 35.37%. QJo is the favorite overall but falls behind on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower).

QJo against 53s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsQJo winsTies53s winsQJo equity
Rainbow, ten or higher24.71768.7700.45030.78068.995
Rainbow, nine or lower6.31334.8810.97764.14235.370
Two-tone46.66759.0260.52740.44759.289
Monotone5.21257.6822.64839.67059.006
Paired17.09161.8972.24735.85663.021

Rainbow flops have three suits, two-tone flops repeat one suit, monotone flops are all one suit, and paired flops repeat a rank.

Compared with a random hand

Each hand has a baseline against a random hand: 58.14% for QJo, 39.69% for 53s. Here the change is +2.66 and -0.49 points.

QJo and 53s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
QJo, all flops60.80158.135+2.6661.04586
QJo, rainbow, ten or higher68.99558.135+10.8601.18681
QJo, rainbow, nine or lower35.37058.135-22.7650.60841
QJo, two-tone59.28958.135+1.1541.01985
QJo, monotone59.00658.135+0.8711.01498
QJo, paired63.02158.135+4.8861.08405
53s, all flops39.19939.693-0.4940.98755
53s, rainbow, ten or higher31.00539.693-8.6880.78112
53s, rainbow, nine or lower64.63039.693+24.9371.62825
53s, two-tone40.71139.693+1.0181.02565
53s, monotone40.99439.693+1.3011.03278
53s, paired36.97939.693-2.7140.93163

Does a shared suit matter?

Does suit overlap move the numbers? QJo has 61.52% when the hands share a suit and 60.09% when they do not. QJo does better with a shared suit, by 1.43 points.

QJo against 53s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsQJo winsTies53s winsQJo equity
Share a suit2450.0061.0270.98137.99261.517
No shared suit2450.0059.6340.90139.46560.085

How often this matchup comes up

Exactly 48 specific deals fit this matchup in one seat order, which is 0.0030% of 1,624,350; both orders together give 96, or 0.0059%.

A worked example

To see what the equity is worth, imagine $100 each in a $200 pot. QJo is worth $121.60 on average (+$21.60); 53s is worth $78.40 (-$21.60).

Over a long run, 1,000 deals split into about 603 for QJo, 387 for 53s and 10 tied.

The same matchup from the other side

Read it from the other side: 53s against QJo is the same matchup with the numbers swapped, so 53s holds 39.20% and QJo holds 60.80%. That address sends you back to this page.

QsJh against 5d3d is a ready-made deal for the calculator, with no suit in common between the hands. The neighboring matchups below replace one hand with another of similar strength.

How this was computed

Nothing here is simulated. The 48 deals of QJo against 53s fall into a few suit patterns, each dealt against all 1,712,304 boards, with both best five-card hands compared on every board. Ties give each hand half a win, and the flop rows count a board under each of its ten flops.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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