QQ vs QTo: preflop equity

Dealt all in against each other, QQ takes 88.74% of the pot on average and QTo takes the other 11.26%.

QQ

88.74%

Wins 87.93%, ties 1.62%

QTo

11.26%

Wins 10.45%, ties 1.62%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

QQ against QTo: the numbers

Exact preflop results for QQ against QTo, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
QQ87.9331.62110.44688.744
QTo10.4461.62187.93311.256

We compare a pocket pair with an offsuit hand. One hand holds a card of the same rank as the pair, which removes a card the pair needs and makes the pair a bigger favorite.

QQ is a big favorite here before anyone sees a flop. Of every 100 boards, about 1.62 are split pots, and the equity figures already include them.

QQ ranks number 3 of 169 starting hands, and QTo ranks number 47, by equity against a random hand.

Boards behind the percentages: 61,642,944 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
QQ54,204,000999,0006,439,000
QTo6,439,000999,00054,204,000

The total is exact: 36 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards. The three counts are approximate, worked out from the percentages to five decimals and rounded to the nearest thousand.

QQ against QTo read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
QQ7.8841.1379.5730.127
QTo0.1279.5731.1377.884

The last column is the smallest pot odds, written as a pot-to-call ratio, at which a call breaks even with this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

Low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) are the best for QQ (94.37%); monotone flops are the worst (80.48%). QQ stays ahead on all five textures.

QQ against QTo by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsQQ winsTiesQTo winsQQ equity
Rainbow, ten or higher23.05386.9611.98711.05287.955
Rainbow, nine or lower7.77193.7731.1985.02994.372
Two-tone46.21587.6211.70710.67288.474
Monotone5.13079.3862.18318.43180.478
Paired17.83189.9160.9469.13890.389

A rainbow flop shows three suits, a two-tone flop repeats one suit, a monotone flop is a single suit, and a paired flop repeats a rank.

Compared with a random hand

Relative to a random opponent, QQ changes by +8.81 points (baseline 79.93%) and QTo by -46.03 points (baseline 57.29%).

QQ and QTo here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
QQ, all flops88.74479.925+8.8191.11034
QQ, rainbow, ten or higher87.95579.925+8.0301.10047
QQ, rainbow, nine or lower94.37279.925+14.4471.18076
QQ, two-tone88.47479.925+8.5491.10696
QQ, monotone80.47879.925+0.5531.00692
QQ, paired90.38979.925+10.4641.13092
QTo, all flops11.25657.291-46.0350.19647
QTo, rainbow, ten or higher12.04557.291-45.2460.21024
QTo, rainbow, nine or lower5.62857.291-51.6630.09824
QTo, two-tone11.52657.291-45.7650.20118
QTo, monotone19.52257.291-37.7690.34075
QTo, paired9.61157.291-47.6800.16776

Does a shared suit matter?

The suit split reads 89.02% for QQ with a shared suit and 88.19% without one. QQ does better with a shared suit, by 0.83 points.

QQ against QTo by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsQQ winsTiesQTo winsQQ equity
Share a suit2466.6788.1931.65410.15389.020
No shared suit1233.3387.4141.55411.03288.191

How often this matchup comes up

How often does it happen? 36 of the 1,624,350 ordered deals (0.0022%) are QQ against QTo, and 72 (0.0044%) if either hand may sit in either seat.

A worked example

Worked example: both players commit $100, so $200 sits in the middle. Over every board, QQ's average share is $177.48 (a gain of $77.48) and QTo's is $22.52 (a loss of $77.48).

A thousand deals look like this: QQ takes 879, QTo takes 105, 16 are ties.

The same matchup from the other side

The reversed view, QTo against QQ, shows 11.26% for QTo and 88.74% for QQ. It is the same count, so it redirects here.

Try QsQh against QdTc in the calculator: the hands share no suit, and every card can be changed. The links after it are the closest matchups in the ranking.

How this was computed

The page is built from a full enumeration: 1,712,304 boards, every suit pattern of the 36 specific deals, both seven-card hands evaluated. A tie is worth half a win to each hand, and a board is tallied under each of its ten possible flops for the texture rows.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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