QTo vs 76s: preflop equity

The exact count puts QTo at 60.21% and 76s at 39.79% when the two hands see all five board cards.

QTo

60.21%

Wins 59.79%, ties 0.85%

76s

39.79%

Wins 39.36%, ties 0.85%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

QTo against 76s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for QTo against 76s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
QTo59.7860.85339.36160.212
76s39.3610.85359.78639.788

One side is an offsuit hand, the other is a suited hand. Neither hand shares a rank with the other, so this is a contest of high cards, connection and suits.

That is a modest edge, the kind that shows up over many hands and is easy to miss in one. A split pot comes up on 0.85% of boards, so the wins and the equity differ by half of that.

Among the 169 starting hands, QTo is number 47 and 76s is number 115 by strength against a random hand.

Boards behind the percentages: 82,190,592 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
QTo49,138,000701,00032,351,000
76s32,351,000701,00049,138,000

Exact total: 48 deals times 1,712,304 boards. The other three counts come from the five-decimal percentages and are rounded to the nearest thousand, so read them as approximate.

QTo against 76s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
QTo1.5131.6732.5410.661
76s0.6612.5411.6731.513

In the last column, a pot-to-call ratio at or above the figure makes a call break even or better at this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

Split by what the flop looks like, QTo peaks at 68.63% on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better and bottoms out at 34.18% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower). QTo is the favorite overall but falls behind on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower).

QTo against 76s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsQTo winsTies76s winsQTo equity
Rainbow, ten or higher24.71768.4100.44731.14368.634
Rainbow, nine or lower6.31333.9560.43965.60534.176
Two-tone46.66758.5890.42440.98758.801
Monotone5.21257.3002.51340.18758.557
Paired17.09160.8822.25836.86062.011

Rainbow flops have three suits, two-tone flops repeat one suit, monotone flops are all one suit, and paired flops repeat a rank.

Compared with a random hand

Against one random hand instead, QTo holds 57.29% and 76s holds 45.37%. Facing each other changes that by +2.92 points for QTo and -5.58 points for 76s.

QTo and 76s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
QTo, all flops60.21257.291+2.9211.05099
QTo, rainbow, ten or higher68.63457.291+11.3431.19799
QTo, rainbow, nine or lower34.17657.291-23.1150.59653
QTo, two-tone58.80157.291+1.5101.02636
QTo, monotone58.55757.291+1.2661.02210
QTo, paired62.01157.291+4.7201.08239
76s, all flops39.78845.372-5.5840.87693
76s, rainbow, ten or higher31.36645.372-14.0060.69131
76s, rainbow, nine or lower65.82445.372+20.4521.45076
76s, two-tone41.19945.372-4.1730.90803
76s, monotone41.44345.372-3.9290.91340
76s, paired37.98945.372-7.3830.83728

Does a shared suit matter?

Looking only at deals where the hands share a suit, QTo has 60.91%; looking only at deals where they do not, 59.52%. QTo does better with a shared suit, by 1.39 points.

QTo against 76s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsQTo winsTies76s winsQTo equity
Share a suit2450.0060.4580.89538.64760.905
No shared suit2450.0059.1140.81140.07559.520

How often this matchup comes up

Exactly 48 specific deals fit this matchup in one seat order, which is 0.0030% of 1,624,350; both orders together give 96, or 0.0059%.

A worked example

Try it with money: two players each put in $100 and the whole board runs out every possible way. QTo averages $120.42 from the $200, up $20.42; 76s averages $79.58, down $20.42.

In 1,000 deals of exactly this matchup, expect about 598 won outright by QTo, about 394 won outright by 76s and about 8 split.

The same matchup from the other side

Swap the hands and you get 76s with 39.79% against QTo with 60.21%. We keep one page per matchup, with the better-ranked hand first.

QsTh against 7d6d is a ready-made deal for the calculator, with no suit in common between the hands. The neighboring matchups below replace one hand with another of similar strength.

How this was computed

Method: exact enumeration. The 48 specific deals are grouped by suit pattern, each is run against all 1,712,304 boards, and both seven-card hands are scored. Equity adds half of every tie, and flop textures are tallied over the ten flops inside each board.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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