T9s
65.17%
Wins 64.30%, ties 1.73%
86s
34.83%
Wins 33.97%, ties 1.73%
T9s against 86s: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| T9s | 64.299 | 1.733 | 33.968 | 65.165 |
| 86s | 33.968 | 1.733 | 64.299 | 34.835 |
Two suited hands meet here: T9s against 86s. Neither hand shares a rank with the other, so this is a contest of high cards, connection and suits.
That is a clear edge, 65.17% to 34.83%, but 86s still wins often enough that one hand proves nothing. Split pots make up 1.73% of the boards, and both equity figures count them as half a win each.
In the ranking of all 169 starting hands, T9s is number 64 and 86s is number 110.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| T9s | 17,616,000 | 475,000 | 9,306,000 |
| 86s | 9,306,000 | 475,000 | 17,616,000 |
The board total is exact, 16 deals at 1,712,304 boards each. Won, tied and lost counts are rounded to the nearest thousand from the five-decimal percentages.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| T9s | 1.871 | 1.555 | 2.944 | 0.535 |
| 86s | 0.535 | 2.944 | 1.555 | 1.871 |
In the last column, a pot-to-call ratio at or above the figure makes a call break even or better at this equity.
Who is ahead on which flops
Break the boards down by their first three cards and T9s is strongest on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better (69.65%) and weakest on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) (50.53%). T9s stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal.
| Flop | Share of flops | T9s wins | Ties | 86s wins | T9s equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 25.220 | 69.088 | 1.123 | 29.789 | 69.650 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 5.689 | 50.356 | 0.338 | 49.306 | 50.525 |
| Two-tone | 46.727 | 64.386 | 0.892 | 34.722 | 64.832 |
| Monotone | 5.273 | 60.109 | 3.830 | 36.061 | 62.024 |
| Paired | 17.091 | 62.926 | 4.754 | 32.320 | 65.303 |
Read the flop types this way: rainbow has three suits, two-tone has two cards of one suit, monotone has three, and paired repeats a rank.
Compared with a random hand
Each hand has a baseline against a random hand: 54.03% for T9s, 46.24% for 86s. Here the change is +11.14 and -11.41 points.
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| T9s, all flops | 65.165 | 54.028 | +11.137 | 1.20613 |
| T9s, rainbow, ten or higher | 69.650 | 54.028 | +15.622 | 1.28915 |
| T9s, rainbow, nine or lower | 50.525 | 54.028 | -3.503 | 0.93516 |
| T9s, two-tone | 64.832 | 54.028 | +10.804 | 1.19997 |
| T9s, monotone | 62.024 | 54.028 | +7.996 | 1.14800 |
| T9s, paired | 65.303 | 54.028 | +11.275 | 1.20869 |
| 86s, all flops | 34.835 | 46.243 | -11.408 | 0.75330 |
| 86s, rainbow, ten or higher | 30.350 | 46.243 | -15.893 | 0.65632 |
| 86s, rainbow, nine or lower | 49.475 | 46.243 | +3.232 | 1.06989 |
| 86s, two-tone | 35.168 | 46.243 | -11.075 | 0.76050 |
| 86s, monotone | 37.976 | 46.243 | -8.267 | 0.82123 |
| 86s, paired | 34.697 | 46.243 | -11.546 | 0.75032 |
Does a shared suit matter?
Suit overlap shows up in the numbers. With a suit in common T9s has 67.78% equity, and with none in common it has 64.30%. T9s does better with a shared suit, by 3.48 points.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | T9s wins | Ties | 86s wins | T9s equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 4 | 25.00 | 66.836 | 1.878 | 31.286 | 67.775 |
| No shared suit | 12 | 75.00 | 63.453 | 1.685 | 34.862 | 64.296 |
How often this matchup comes up
You will meet this exact matchup 0.0020% of the time in a random heads-up deal: 32 of 1,624,350, counting either seat order.
A worked example
Try it with money: two players each put in $100 and the whole board runs out every possible way. T9s averages $130.34 from the $200, up $30.34; 86s averages $69.66, down $30.34.
Per 1,000 deals: T9s wins about 643, 86s wins about 340, and about 17 end in a split pot.
The same matchup from the other side
The reversed view, 86s against T9s, shows 34.83% for 86s and 65.17% for T9s. It is the same count, so it redirects here.
Keep exploring
The calculator link fills in Ts9s against 8h6h, a deal where the two hands share no suit. Change any card to test your own hand. The neighboring matchups below swap one of the two hands for one of similar strength.
How this was computed
Each figure is a complete count over boards. Take the 16 specific deals, group them by suit pattern, deal all 1,712,304 boards against each, and compare the two seven-card hands. Equity counts a tie as half a win; the flop rows use every one of a board's ten flops.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
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