TT vs 76s: preflop equity

The exact count puts TT at 78.96% and 76s at 21.04% when the two hands see all five board cards.

TT

78.96%

Wins 78.74%, ties 0.45%

76s

21.04%

Wins 20.81%, ties 0.45%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

TT against 76s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for TT against 76s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
TT78.7370.44920.81478.962
76s20.8140.44978.73721.038

One side is a pocket pair, the other is a suited hand. A pair against two lower cards is a lopsided matchup: the pair is ahead and the other hand has no overcard to catch.

A lead of 57.92 points is large but not decisive: 76s still takes about 208 of every 1,000 deals. A split pot comes up on 0.45% of boards, so the wins and the equity differ by half of that.

By strength against a random hand, TT holds place 5 of 169 and 76s holds place 115.

Boards behind the percentages: 41,095,296 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
TT32,357,000185,0008,554,000
76s8,554,000185,00032,357,000

24 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards gives the exact total. The won, tied and lost counts are approximations from the five-decimal percentages, rounded to the nearest thousand.

TT against 76s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
TT3.7531.2704.8040.266
76s0.2664.8041.2703.753

The last column is the break-even price: the pot odds a call needs to offer, as a ratio of pot to call.

Who is ahead on which flops

Split by what the flop looks like, TT peaks at 84.48% on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better and bottoms out at 65.03% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower). TT stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal.

TT against 76s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsTT winsTies76s winsTT equity
Rainbow, ten or higher24.59584.3600.23515.40584.477
Rainbow, nine or lower6.31464.8160.43334.75165.033
Two-tone46.54576.9240.26322.81377.055
Monotone5.21272.4322.38925.17973.626
Paired17.33482.5950.67416.73182.932

A rainbow flop shows three suits, a two-tone flop repeats one suit, a monotone flop is a single suit, and a paired flop repeats a rank.

Compared with a random hand

Compared with a random opponent, this matchup shifts TT from 75.01% by +3.95 points and 76s from 45.37% by -24.33 points.

TT and 76s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
TT, all flops78.96275.012+3.9501.05266
TT, rainbow, ten or higher84.47775.012+9.4651.12618
TT, rainbow, nine or lower65.03375.012-9.9790.86697
TT, two-tone77.05575.012+2.0431.02724
TT, monotone73.62675.012-1.3860.98152
TT, paired82.93275.012+7.9201.10558
76s, all flops21.03845.372-24.3340.46368
76s, rainbow, ten or higher15.52345.372-29.8490.34213
76s, rainbow, nine or lower34.96745.372-10.4050.77067
76s, two-tone22.94545.372-22.4270.50571
76s, monotone26.37445.372-18.9980.58128
76s, paired17.06845.372-28.3040.37618

Does a shared suit matter?

Suit overlap shows up in the numbers. With a suit in common TT has 79.52% equity, and with none in common it has 78.40%. TT does better with a shared suit, by 1.12 points.

TT against 76s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsTT winsTies76s winsTT equity
Share a suit1250.0079.2740.49220.23479.520
No shared suit1250.0078.2010.40521.39478.404

How often this matchup comes up

Exactly 24 specific deals fit this matchup in one seat order, which is 0.0015% of 1,624,350; both orders together give 48, or 0.0030%.

A worked example

A $100 all-in from each player makes a $200 pot, and the exact equity says TT gets $157.92 of it on average and 76s gets $42.08.

Think in thousands: about 787 of 1,000 go to TT, about 208 go to 76s, and about 5 are chopped.

The same matchup from the other side

The reversed view, 76s against TT, shows 21.04% for 76s and 78.96% for TT. It is the same count, so it redirects here.

Open the calculator with TsTh against 7d6d already entered, a deal with no shared suit, and change any card to try your own hand. The matchups after it each swap one hand for a nearby one in the ranking.

How this was computed

The figures are counted, not estimated: 1,712,304 boards for every suit pattern of the 24 specific deals, with both seven-card hands compared each time. Equity gives half a win for a tie. For the flop rows, a board is counted once under each of the ten flops inside it.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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