99
80.21%
Wins 79.90%, ties 0.62%
76s
19.79%
Wins 19.48%, ties 0.62%
99 against 76s: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 99 | 79.898 | 0.616 | 19.486 | 80.206 |
| 76s | 19.486 | 0.616 | 79.898 | 19.794 |
99 is a pocket pair and 76s is a suited hand. A pair against two lower cards is a lopsided matchup: the pair is ahead and the other hand has no overcard to catch.
That is a heavy lead: 76s needs the board to help it on most runouts and still falls behind far more often than not. Of every 100 boards, about 0.62 are split pots, and the equity figures already include them.
The hand ranking puts 99 at 6 and 76s at 115 out of 169 starting hands.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| 99 | 32,834,000 | 253,000 | 8,008,000 |
| 76s | 8,008,000 | 253,000 | 32,834,000 |
24 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards gives the exact total. The won, tied and lost counts are approximations from the five-decimal percentages, rounded to the nearest thousand.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 99 | 4.052 | 1.252 | 5.132 | 0.247 |
| 76s | 0.247 | 5.132 | 1.252 | 4.052 |
In the last column, a pot-to-call ratio at or above the figure makes a call break even or better at this equity.
Who is ahead on which flops
The flop changes the picture. 99 does best on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better, at 84.62%, and worst on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower), at 68.33%. 99 stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal.
| Flop | Share of flops | 99 wins | Ties | 76s wins | 99 equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 25.844 | 84.439 | 0.351 | 15.210 | 84.615 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 5.065 | 68.120 | 0.420 | 31.460 | 68.330 |
| Two-tone | 46.545 | 78.205 | 0.342 | 21.453 | 78.376 |
| Monotone | 5.212 | 73.307 | 2.448 | 24.245 | 74.531 |
| Paired | 17.334 | 83.098 | 1.250 | 15.652 | 83.723 |
A rainbow flop shows three suits, a two-tone flop repeats one suit, a monotone flop is a single suit, and a paired flop repeats a rank.
Compared with a random hand
Against one random hand instead, 99 holds 72.06% and 76s holds 45.37%. Facing each other changes that by +8.15 points for 99 and -25.58 points for 76s.
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 99, all flops | 80.206 | 72.057 | +8.149 | 1.11309 |
| 99, rainbow, ten or higher | 84.615 | 72.057 | +12.558 | 1.17428 |
| 99, rainbow, nine or lower | 68.330 | 72.057 | -3.727 | 0.94828 |
| 99, two-tone | 78.376 | 72.057 | +6.319 | 1.08769 |
| 99, monotone | 74.531 | 72.057 | +2.474 | 1.03433 |
| 99, paired | 83.723 | 72.057 | +11.666 | 1.16190 |
| 76s, all flops | 19.794 | 45.372 | -25.578 | 0.43626 |
| 76s, rainbow, ten or higher | 15.385 | 45.372 | -29.987 | 0.33909 |
| 76s, rainbow, nine or lower | 31.670 | 45.372 | -13.702 | 0.69801 |
| 76s, two-tone | 21.624 | 45.372 | -23.748 | 0.47659 |
| 76s, monotone | 25.469 | 45.372 | -19.903 | 0.56134 |
| 76s, paired | 16.277 | 45.372 | -29.095 | 0.35875 |
Does a shared suit matter?
Split by suits, the deals give 99 80.76% when the hands overlap in a suit and 79.65% when they do not. 99 does better with a shared suit, by 1.11 points.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | 99 wins | Ties | 76s wins | 99 equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 12 | 50.00 | 80.434 | 0.658 | 18.908 | 80.763 |
| No shared suit | 12 | 50.00 | 79.363 | 0.573 | 20.064 | 79.649 |
How often this matchup comes up
Out of 1,624,350 ways to deal two seats two cards each, 24 are 99 in one seat and 76s in the other (0.0015%); with the seats swapped too, 48 (0.0030%).
A worked example
Say each player puts $100 in before the flop, making a $200 pot. On average 99 takes back $160.42 of it, which is $60.42 more than it put in, and 76s takes back $39.58, $60.42 less than it put in.
Per 1,000 deals: 99 wins about 799, 76s wins about 195, and about 6 end in a split pot.
The same matchup from the other side
The reversed view, 76s against 99, shows 19.79% for 76s and 80.21% for 99. It is the same count, so it redirects here.
Keep exploring
Open the calculator with 9s9h against 7d6d already entered, a deal with no shared suit, and change any card to try your own hand. The matchups after it each swap one hand for a nearby one in the ranking.
How this was computed
Method: exact enumeration. The 24 specific deals are grouped by suit pattern, each is run against all 1,712,304 boards, and both seven-card hands are scored. Equity adds half of every tie, and flop textures are tallied over the ten flops inside each board.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
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