TT
53.77%
Wins 53.57%, ties 0.41%
KJs
46.23%
Wins 46.02%, ties 0.41%
TT against KJs: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TT | 53.567 | 0.407 | 46.026 | 53.771 |
| KJs | 46.026 | 0.407 | 53.567 | 46.229 |
The matchup pits a pocket pair against a suited hand. This is a pair against two overcards, a matchup that stays close because the other hand only needs one of its ranks to appear.
With only 7.54 points between them, the board decides this matchup far more than the cards in hand. Ties are 0.41% of the outcomes here; each tied board gives both hands half the pot.
For context, TT sits at number 5 of 169 starting hands and KJs at number 20 when each is run against a random hand.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| TT | 22,014,000 | 167,000 | 18,915,000 |
| KJs | 18,915,000 | 167,000 | 22,014,000 |
The total is exact: 24 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards. The three counts are approximate, worked out from the percentages to five decimals and rounded to the nearest thousand.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TT | 1.163 | 1.867 | 2.173 | 0.860 |
| KJs | 0.860 | 2.173 | 1.867 | 1.163 |
The last column is the smallest pot odds, written as a pot-to-call ratio, at which a call breaks even with this equity.
Who is ahead on which flops
Across the five flop textures TT's equity moves by 25.17 points, from 47.58% on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better to 72.75% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower). Watch for rainbow flops topped by a ten or better: on those flops KJs holds the better equity.
| Flop | Share of flops | TT wins | Ties | KJs wins | TT equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 23.138 | 47.508 | 0.139 | 52.353 | 47.578 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 7.771 | 72.275 | 0.946 | 26.779 | 72.748 |
| Two-tone | 46.545 | 51.379 | 0.311 | 48.310 | 51.534 |
| Monotone | 5.212 | 50.869 | 2.395 | 46.736 | 52.066 |
| Paired | 17.334 | 59.958 | 0.180 | 39.862 | 60.048 |
A rainbow flop shows three suits, a two-tone flop repeats one suit, a monotone flop is a single suit, and a paired flop repeats a rank.
Compared with a random hand
Start from the random-hand figures, 75.01% for TT and 62.57% for KJs. This opponent changes them by -21.24 and -16.34 points.
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TT, all flops | 53.771 | 75.012 | -21.241 | 0.71683 |
| TT, rainbow, ten or higher | 47.578 | 75.012 | -27.434 | 0.63427 |
| TT, rainbow, nine or lower | 72.748 | 75.012 | -2.264 | 0.96982 |
| TT, two-tone | 51.534 | 75.012 | -23.478 | 0.68701 |
| TT, monotone | 52.066 | 75.012 | -22.946 | 0.69410 |
| TT, paired | 60.048 | 75.012 | -14.964 | 0.80051 |
| KJs, all flops | 46.229 | 62.567 | -16.338 | 0.73887 |
| KJs, rainbow, ten or higher | 52.422 | 62.567 | -10.145 | 0.83785 |
| KJs, rainbow, nine or lower | 27.252 | 62.567 | -35.315 | 0.43557 |
| KJs, two-tone | 48.466 | 62.567 | -14.101 | 0.77463 |
| KJs, monotone | 47.934 | 62.567 | -14.633 | 0.76612 |
| KJs, paired | 39.952 | 62.567 | -22.615 | 0.63855 |
Does a shared suit matter?
Does suit overlap move the numbers? TT has 53.90% when the hands share a suit and 53.64% when they do not. TT does better with a shared suit, by 0.26 points.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | TT wins | Ties | KJs wins | TT equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 12 | 50.00 | 53.677 | 0.447 | 45.876 | 53.900 |
| No shared suit | 12 | 50.00 | 53.458 | 0.366 | 46.176 | 53.641 |
How often this matchup comes up
Counting specific cards, TT against KJs appears in 24 of the 1,624,350 ordered heads-up deals (0.0015%), and in 48 when the seats are swapped too (0.0030%).
A worked example
Put $100 each into a $200 pot and deal every board once: TT averages $107.54 back, ahead of its $100 by $7.54, while KJs averages $92.46, short of its $100 by $7.54.
Run 1,000 deals and the tally comes out near 536 for TT, 460 for KJs and 4 ties.
The same matchup from the other side
KJs versus TT is this same page seen from the other hand: 46.23% for KJs, 53.77% for TT.
Keep exploring
The calculator link fills in TsTh against KdJd, a deal where the two hands share no suit. Change any card to test your own hand. The neighboring matchups below swap one of the two hands for one of similar strength.
How this was computed
All 1,712,304 five-card boards are dealt for every suit pattern among the 24 specific deals of TT against KJs, and both hands are scored on each. That is a full count, so the percentages are exact. Ties are half a win each, and each board appears once per flop it contains.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
Bring your own hands to a session
Review the spots you actually play against these numbers in a Game Assessment, and leave with a one-page written plan.
Book a session